TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$NOC
NONOC

Northrop Grumman Corporation

$NOC·$77B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$521.57+0.6%YTD-8.9%1Y-0.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 346 posts2026-07-10: 288 posts2026-07-11: 103 posts2026-07-12: 187 posts2026-07-13: 202 posts2026-07-14: 94 posts2026-07-15: 96 posts1,334-6%
Price updated 36m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
NONOC
$NOCNorthrop Grumman Corporation
$521.57+0.56%1.3k posts-6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NOC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

The B-21 and drone-tech incumbent going into July 21 earnings — Trump's disclosed NOC stake is the wildcard.

Northrop Grumman is one of the top three US defense primes — the specific one that owns the B-21 stealth bomber program and increasingly leads on advanced drone and autonomous-systems platforms. The stock is at 9% of its 52-week range going into July 21 earnings.

Why the setup is asymmetric:

  • Fundamentals are stable-defensive: 11% operating margin, 10% return on invested capital, 4.3% free cash flow yield at 16.9x TTM P/E — those are numbers that would fit a durable industrial name, priced at a real discount.
  • The NATO contract signal is category-defining: NATO Secretary General Rutte announced upcoming defense contracts of several tens of billions with LMT, NOC, and RXT as beneficiaries — meaning the geopolitical CapEx pipeline is durable and running through Northrop specifically.
  • Trump's disclosed NOC ownership up to $1M is a specific political-signal that reinforces the drone-tech announcement — meaning administration policy has a direct alignment with the sale of advanced US drone technology through Northrop.
  • The tape is coiled at extreme lows: sitting at 9% of the 52-week range with volume 24% above average — the pattern of a stock repositioning into a specific catalyst, not a broken structure.

July 21 earnings is the trigger. A number confirming free cash flow recovery plus B-21 program milestone commentary extends the leg materially; a soft cash flow print with continued B-21 execution concerns extends the compression.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the NATO contract flow, the Trump-disclosed NOC stake, and the wedge breakout, and the fundamentals genuinely justify a re-rate — 16.9x P/E on a large defense prime at these operating margins is a real discount. The gap the corpus isn't sizing is that the B-21 execution risk is the specific line item earnings has to address.

What to watch: The July 21 print — free cash flow trajectory, B-21 program margin commentary, and any commentary on drone-tech export contracts. Above-consensus FCF plus B-21 milestone confirmation extends the leg; a soft FCF print with continued program concerns extends the compression.

On the calendar: 2026-07-21 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13

NATO Secretary General Rutte announced upcoming defense contracts worth several tens of billions with LMT, NOC, and RXT beneficiaries, and at NATO Trump said Northrop Grumman is moving forward with advanced US drone-technology sales while also disclosing up to $1M in NOC ownership. The stock broke out of a long-term wedge and is basing on the 50-day moving average as a launchpad setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NOC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes the B-21 stealth bomber, space systems, missile defense interceptors, and C4ISR electronics for US defense.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NOC.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $NOC

Direct beneficiary — Makes the B-21 stealth bomber, space systems, missile defense interceptors, and C4ISR electronics for US defense; core operations sit in the path of the defense budget expansion and space commercialization.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+18.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
11.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
28.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
20.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$6.14$6.06+1.3%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$7.23$6.98+3.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$7.67$6.44+19.1%
Q2 2025Jul 22, 2025$7.11$6.92+2.7%
Next earningsTue, Jul 21·consensus EPS $6.84

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$9.9B+4.4%19.8%10.0%$6.16$-1.8B
Q4 FY25$11.7B+9.6%19.6%8.9%$9.99$3.2B
Q3 FY25$10.4B+4.3%21.4%11.9%$7.69$1.3B
Q2 FY25$10.4B+1.3%21.4%13.8%$8.17$637.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$44.0B$43.9B – $44.2B$27.95$27.69 – $28.1216
FY27$47.0B$46.1B – $48.1B$30.17$29.42 – $30.9516
FY28$49.9B$49.8B – $50.1B$32.77$29.75 – $34.6717
FY29$51.9B$51.3B – $52.7B$34.45$33.95 – $35.1214
FY30$55.0B$54.4B – $55.8B$37.06$36.51 – $37.788

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.9%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-15.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 141.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.105-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 4Mark A WelshDirector95 sh$54KSellMar 2Kathryn G SimpsonCorp VP & General Counsel873 sh$650KSellFeb 27Roshan S RoederCVP & Pres. Mission Systems1.8K sh$1.3MSellFeb 19Michael A HardestyCorp VP, Controller & CAO147 sh$108KSellFeb 19Kathryn G SimpsonCorp VP & General Counsel194 sh$141KSellFeb 19Roshan S RoederCVP & Pres. Mission Systems512 sh$373KSellFeb 18Benjamin R. DaviesCVP & Pres. Defense Systems2.2K sh$1.6MSellFeb 17Michael A HardestyCorp VP, Controller & CAO716 sh$502KSellFeb 17Kathryn G SimpsonCorp VP & General Counsel779 sh$547KSellFeb 17Roshan S RoederCVP & Pres. Mission Systems318 sh$223K
1–10 of 11
+ 32 other (16 awards · 8 exempts · 8 inkinds) in window

See when $NOC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 218-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Northrop Grumman is a Falls Church, Virginia-based global aerospace and defense contractor listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 21S-3ASR
AI summary

NOC filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-21. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 193
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 15 other (3 13Gs · 2 11-K/As · 2 11-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

2 Stocks On My Buy List: Northrop Grumman And CCL Industriesseekingalpha.com·1d agoNorthrop Grumman to Post Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expectzacks.com·1d agoWall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of Northrop Grumman (NOC) Q2 Earningszacks.com·1d agoMissed Out On The SpaceX IPO? Buy These Industrial Giants Instead.fool.com·3d agoNorthrop Grumman Breaks Ground on New Facility to Support Strategic Deterrence and Advanced Aerospace Missions in Utahglobenewswire.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

More in Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$SPCX$RKLB$ACHR$RTX$RDW$LUNR$BA$LMT
Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport