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RKRKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

$RKLB·$47B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$67.62+0.4%YTD-4.3%1Y+31.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 2,158 posts2026-07-11: 1,078 posts2026-07-12: 696 posts2026-07-13: 3,703 posts2026-07-14: 5,525 posts2026-07-15: 8,190 posts2026-07-16: 8,061 posts29,499+46%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
RKRKLB
$RKLBRocket Lab USA, Inc.
$67.62+0.40%29k posts+46%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RKLB, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Space growth story digesting a founder-led sale and a huge new ATM, right into August 6 earnings.

Rocket Lab makes the Electron and forthcoming Neutron rockets and builds spacecraft components — it's the closest thing to a viable US competitor to SpaceX in small-launch, and it just proposed to buy satellite operator Iridium to add a communications network on top of its rockets. After nearly doubling in a year, the tape is digesting a founder-led insider sale and a very large ATM program.

  • Revenue grew 63% YoY to $200M last quarter and Q2 revenue guidance is $225-240M — the launch and space-systems businesses are scaling faster than the market gave credit for a year ago.
  • CEO Peter Beck sold $286M of stock in early July via a pre-planned 10b5-1 across three days at $82-$95 — a big number, but it's mostly cleared, so the specific overhang the tape was pricing has passed.
  • A fresh $3B at-the-market equity program was filed May 20 through 15 banks — that's roughly 6% of the float if fully drawn, so future dilution is baked into the multiple whether the shelf gets used or not.
  • Trades at 94x sales with negative FCF and no earnings — the entire multiple is riding on the Neutron ramp landing and the Iridium acquisition integrating; a delay or a bad quarter is where the multiple resets sharply.
  • A $2.2B backlog and a 16h 42m rocket-recycle record are real progress markers, but they don't earn a 94x multiple by themselves — the market needs a first Neutron launch date.

August 6 earnings is the reset: bulls need Q2 revenue at or above the top of guide plus a Neutron date and Iridium integration confidence. A guide cut, or the Iridium deal running into antitrust, is where the pullback turns into a real de-rating. The company is executing; the price just leaves no room for a stumble.

Agrees with X sentimentX's take on the Beck 10b5-1 being largely behind us and the Iridium deal expanding the addressable market is fair. Where the bulls are thin: the $3B ATM is ongoing dilution supply the stock will have to absorb whether or not Q2 blows out — Morgan Stanley's $293 bull-case PT ignores how much stock will exist at the top of that ramp.

What to watch: Aug 6 earnings — need Q2 revenue at the top of $225-240M guide plus a Neutron launch-date announcement. Guide cut or Iridium antitrust hiccup restarts the drawdown.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

float missingbeta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment31 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Rocket Lab is being described as one of the sharpest space-sector drawdowns, falling from $151 to $75 in step with SpaceX slipping below its IPO price. Morgan Stanley carries a bull-case target of $293 anchored on Neutron, the Iridium acquisition, a $2.2B backlog and progress toward a fully integrated space platform; Piper Sandler initiated at Neutral with a $83 target. Bulls buy the dip aggressively, cite the 200-day moving average holding, and see Peter Beck's BBC interview and NASA FFR mission as validation. Bears counter that RKLB now trades in near-lockstep with SPCX at 38x price ratio, that recent equity dilution contradicts management, and that further downside is likely if $74.79 does not hold.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RKLB

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides small satellite launch (Electron rocket) and spacecraft manufacturing, with Neutron medium-lift rocket in development.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RKLB.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $RKLB

Partial — Provides small satellite launch (Electron rocket) and spacecraft manufacturing, with Neutron medium-lift rocket in development; the defense budget expansion and space commercialization is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+17.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-365.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-33.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
93.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-12.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
36.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.02$-0.07+70.2%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$-0.09$-0.10+8.9%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.01$-0.10+110.1%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.10$-0.10-5.0%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-0.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$200.3M+63.5%38.2%-27.9%$-0.07$-77.4M
Q4 FY25$179.7M+35.7%38.0%-28.4%$-0.09$-114.2M
Q3 FY25$155.1M+48.0%37.0%-38.0%$-0.03$-69.4M
Q2 FY25$144.5M+36.0%32.1%-41.3%$-0.13$-55.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$915.7M$906.8M – $935.5M-$0.21-$0.33 – -$0.1014
FY27$1.3B$1.1B – $1.4B$0.01-$0.01 – $0.0414
FY28$1.6B$1.6B – $1.6B$0.23$0.10 – $0.539
FY29$2.1B$1.9B – $2.4B$0.57$0.50 – $0.654
FY30$2.7B$2.4B – $2.9B$0.92$0.80 – $1.044

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-28.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 539.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 8Peter BeckCEO991.0K sh$82.1MSellJul 7Peter BeckCEO1.3M sh$110.3MSellJul 6Peter BeckCEO986.2K sh$94.0MSellJun 18Arjun KampaniSVP & General Counsel88.0K sh$9.5MSellJun 2Alexander R SluskyDirector40.0K sh$4.9MSellMay 28Alexander R SluskyDirector60.0K sh$9.0MSellMay 28Frank KleinChief Operations Officer36.9K sh$5.4MSellMay 28Clevenger Marvin BradfordPresident3.5K sh$513KSellMay 28Arjun KampaniSVP & General Counsel14.5K sh$2.1MSellMay 27Arjun KampaniSVP & General Counsel60.9K sh$8.8M
1–10 of 23
+ 15 other (9 awards · 5 gifts · 1 conversion) in window

See when $RKLB insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Rocket Lab entered an Agreement and Plan of Merger with Iridium Communications on June 28, 2026; Iridium will become an indirect wholly-owned RKLB subsidiary via a two-step merger (Merger Sub I into Iridium, then Iridium into Merger Sub II). Full deal terms and consideration are cut off in the excerpt. Transformative proposed acquisition of Iridium by Rocket Lab; Iridium's LEO satellite network would complement Rocket Lab's launch capabilities.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of RKLB securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at RKLB.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 58-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

RKLB (RKLB) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in Chief Financial Officer. Individuals named in the filing include Its Charter, Other Jurisdiction. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

8-KShareholder voteMay 218-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Rocket Lab is a Long Beach, California-based space launch and satellite technology company listed on Nasdaq. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 20424B5
AI summary

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on May 20, 2026, establishing an at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program of up to $3 billion of common stock through 15 sales agents including BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Deutsche Bank. The ATM also includes forward sale provisions allowing for capital-efficient forward equity offerings. This is a very large ATM program for a space technology company; while shares need not all be sold at once, the $3B ceiling signals significant potential future dilution as Rocket Lab executes its growth strategy.

8-KUnregistered equity saleApr 148-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

RKLB filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-14. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 63
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for RKLB on 2026-04-06, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 308-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

RKLB disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-30). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Peter Beck, the Company’s Chairman and Chief Executive. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 23 other (4 425s · 3 routine 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Rocket Lab Stock Is Losing Altitude Todayfool.com·1d agoRocket Lab stock price crash is gaining steam: how low can it go?invezz.com·1d agoThese 2 Space Stocks Skyrocketed 388% and 174% in 2025: Here's 1 Reason I Wouldn't Buy in 2026.fool.com·1d agoTech Rally Fizzles as UnitedHealth Props Up Dowschaeffersresearch.com·2d agoBuy ASTS, Watch SpaceX and Rocket Lab From the Launch Pad: Piper Sandler's Space Playbookbenzinga.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

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