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LULUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

$LUNR·$2.6B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$15.36-0.1%YTD-16.8%1Y+76.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 31 posts2026-08-23: 22 posts492-3%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
LULUNR
$LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.
$15.36-0.07%492 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LUNR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

A lunar-services stock trading like a meme while its fundamentals lap the old numbers — real backlog, real drawdown, real setup.

Intuitive Machines builds moon landers, satellite platforms, and lunar-comms infrastructure for NASA and DoD — a small-cap space stock that just landed a $600M defense contract and a NASA EAGLE-VSWIR selection. It's ~50% off 12-month highs on the broader space-sector selloff.

  • Revenue growth is real and step-changing: latest quarter printed $187M (+199% YoY off a $50M base), and analyst FY26 revenue of $937M implies the current $1.8B backlog converts fast — that's the compounding thesis.
  • Operating margin at -21% and free cash outflow of $65M mean the business is still cash-negative, but the ramp is what the equity is priced against — FY27 analyst estimates cross into positive EPS territory for the first time.
  • Insider selling has been aggressive from co-founder Ghaffarian ($6.7M in August across two prints, still holding 19.7% per SC 13D/A) — a small slice of a large position, not a directional call, but the tape read it as one.
  • Position sits at only 19% of the 52-week range with volume 45% of normal — after a 30%+ drawdown, the tape stopped selling but isn't buying, exactly what a coil ahead of the Nov 12 print looks like.

The path forward is decided by whether the Nov 12 print holds Q1's YoY growth pace and whether backlog conversion visibility widens into 2027. A named commercial-lunar or DoD prime-contract expansion re-rates the multiple; another EPS miss into continued insider selling seals the breakdown at these levels.

Agrees with X sentimentAligned with the bulls' 'trading like a meme, business is not' framing — Q1 revenue $187M off a $50M base, $1.8B backlog, and the $600M satellite win are all real. BofA's Underperform at $13 is a fair pushback while the burn rate hasn't clearly turned, but the growth is not the memecoin narrative it's being priced as.

What to watch: The Nov 12 Q3 print — YoY revenue growth holding above 100% and backlog conversion into 2027 named contracts. Another EPS miss into continued Ghaffarian insider selling invalidates the setup; a raise plus a named DoD prime-contract expansion restarts the compounding thesis.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment16 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Sentiment is mixed. Bulls emphasize the disconnect between fundamentals and tape: Intuitive Machines "just printed $206M in a quarter" (versus $50M a year prior), an $1.8B backlog and a $600M satellite deal, with one writer calling it "trading like a meme. The business is not." Bears note the "great space selloff of 2026" and BofA's Underperform tag at a $13 PT, and one long-term holder calls the drops "really disappointing" while keeping LUNR a "higher-conviction long-term" position.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LUNR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides lunar landers and in-space services under NASA's CLPS program, plus orbital services and lunar data infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LUNR.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $LUNR

Direct beneficiary — commercial launch cadence and satellite constellation demand are the primary revenue drivers; Intuitive Machines, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-35.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-34.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.29$-0.09-220.9%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.25$-0.04-485.1%
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$-0.04$-0.040.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.06$-0.04-50.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.12

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$186.7M+198.7%39.0%-21.0%$-0.25$-64.6M
Q4 FY25$44.8M-18.6%30.2%-73.9%$-0.34$-23.0M
Q3 FY25$52.4M-10.3%21.7%-29.4%$-0.06$-19.0M
Q2 FY25$50.3M+21.5%-23.5%-56.9%$-0.24$-27.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$936.7M$914.9M – $957.6M-$0.40-$0.53 – -$0.126
FY27$1.1B$1.1B – $1.3B$0.00-$0.01 – $0.016
FY28$1.4B$1.1B – $1.7B$0.33-$0.10 – $0.752
FY29$1.7B$1.5B – $1.9B$0.72$0.62 – $0.861
FY30$2.0B$1.8B – $2.3B$1.36$1.16 – $1.621

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.19%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 129.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 27Steven VonturSee Remarks3.0K sh$49KSellAug 24Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector141.9K sh$2.4MSellAug 10Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector267.4K sh$4.3MSellJul 28Advent International, L.p.10% owner11.5M sh$147.6MSellJul 27Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector47.3K sh$624KSellJul 13Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector111.0K sh$1.7MSellJun 29Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector141.9K sh$2.9MSellJun 18Crain Timothy Price IiCTO150.0K sh$3.3MSellJun 15Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector141.9K sh$3.7MSellJun 8Liquori William John JrDirector18.3K sh$547K
1–10 of 21
+ 35 other (14 exempts · 14 returns · 6 awards · 1 other) in window

See when $LUNR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

LUNR entered into a Purchase Agreement with Goonhilly Holdings USA Inc.. The transaction involves approximately $10 million. pursuant to which Buyer acquired all of the issued and outstanding membership interests of COMSAT LLC (formerly Goonhilly Inc. SEC Item 1.01 requires prompt disclosure of any material agreement not in the ordinary course of business, giving investors visibility into significant contractual commitments by LUNR.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 7SC 13D/A
AI summary

Kamal Ghaffarian, co-founder of Intuitive Machines, filed Amendment No. 12 to his Schedule 13D disclosing that he continues to beneficially own approximately 19.7% of Intuitive Machines (approximately 38.4 million shares). The amendment reflects routine updates to his ownership position, likely due to changes in total share count or minor transactions. As the company's largest individual insider shareholder and a key figure in its lunar lander and space infrastructure business, Ghaffarian's continued significant ownership is closely monitored by investors tracking insider alignment.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 1SC 13D/A
AI summary

Seyed Kamal Ghaffarian and Ghaffarian Enterprises, LLC filed an amended Schedule 13D for Intuitive Machines (LUNR), disclosing a group holding approximately 38.4M shares (19.7% individually plus 18.7% via Ghaffarian Enterprises). Ghaffarian is LUNR's founder; update to a founder position disclosure with no change in stated intent.

8-KShareholder voteJun 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $500.0 million. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 3424B5
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement related to an at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program. The program allows the company to sell up to $500,000,000 of common shares over time through a sales agent into the market at prevailing prices. ATM programs provide flexible, dilution-minimized capital access without a traditional underwritten deal, typically used for growth capital or balance sheet management.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJun 3S-3ASR
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) with the SEC. The registration covers the potential offering of up to $0 in common stock. As an S-3ASR (automatic shelf), this registration is immediately effective upon filing — a privilege reserved for well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) with large public floats. The shelf registration does not commit the company to any specific offering but provides flexible capital markets access for future transactions.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 1S-3ASR
AI summary

LUNR filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-01. This is primarily a resale shelf for existing stockholders — not new share issuance — limiting direct dilution to public investors. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

+ 17 other (7 13Gs · 4 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Rocket Lab Falls 6% as SpaceX Flags Iridium Deal to the FCC, Intuitive Machines Slides 5%247wallst.com·4d agoCan LUNR Turn Its Backlog Into Sustained Space Infrastructure Growth?zacks.com·13d agoIntuitive Machines Selected to Provide Spacecraft Platform and Mission Solutions for NASA's EAGLE-VSWIR Earth Science Missionglobenewswire.com·14d agoMoonshot to Money: Intuitive Machines Lands $600M Defense Winmarketbeat.com·14d agoCan Space Stocks Bounce Back? This $1 Billion Air Force Contract Might Help.fool.com·14d ago

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