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LULUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

$LUNR·$2.2B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$10.78-6.8%YTD-27.4%1Y-8.9%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
LULUNR
$LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.
$10.78-6.83%650 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $LUNR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

650X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $LUNR's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-14

Intuitive Machines holders point to $900M in new Q2 awards and a $1.8B backlog, arguing 'insanely undervalued' at ~$15. Traders openly say a turnaround has started, and it appears on multiple 'benefit-from-the-next-growth-wave' lists in the space cohort with SPCX/RKLB. No visible bear voice.

Read what X is saying about $LUNR

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $LUNR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Space-services pure-play with a $1.8B backlog and the Artemis cadence — insider sold $2M and the stock is still 17% off its 52-week range.

Intuitive Machines is a US space-services pure-play — lunar landers for NASA, communications and data relay in cislunar space, and Mars adjacency through Artemis. The business is scaling faster than Wall Street models, but the stock sits off its highs with a big insider sale on the tape.

  • The revenue inflection is real: Q1 2026 of $187M was up +199% YoY after Q4 2025 at -19% — the backlog is converting to revenue, with consensus at $925M for 2026 and $1.14B for 2027.
  • The P&L is still red: Q1 operating margin of -21% means every dollar of revenue burns another 21 cents — plausible for a program-business with lumpy milestone recognition, but needs the cadence to hold.
  • The insider cluster is a tell: officer Timothy Crain Price II sold ~$2.1M across Sep 18–21 (two separate transactions) — not catastrophic but worth tracking when the stock is already 17% off its range on no clear thesis break.

A Nov 12 Q3 print holding above $150M revenue plus a new Artemis-related contract wins keep the thesis; a program delay or further insider selling and the stock drifts.

Agrees with X sentimentX cites $900M in Q2 awards and a $1.8B backlog as proof the thesis is working — real and backed by the filings. The crowd isn't centering the Timothy Crain insider cluster ($2.1M across two days in September) which is the first visible C-suite distribution.

What to watch: Nov 12 Q3 earnings — revenue holding above $150M, program backlog update, and any new Artemis-related or DoD contract wins. A missed launch window or further insider selling and the drift continues; a signed data-relay or cislunar contract re-rates it.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $LUNR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides lunar landers and in-space services under NASA's CLPS program, plus orbital services and lunar data infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LUNR.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $LUNR

Neutral — Provides lunar landers and in-space services under NASA's CLPS program, plus orbital services and lunar data infrastructure.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
+1.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-35.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-34.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.29$-0.09-220.9%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.25$-0.04-485.1%
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$-0.04$-0.040.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.06$-0.04-50.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.12

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$186.7M+198.7%39.0%-21.0%$-0.25$-64.6M
Q4 FY25$44.8M-18.6%30.2%-73.9%$-0.34$-23.0M
Q3 FY25$52.4M-10.3%21.7%-29.4%$-0.06$-19.0M
Q2 FY25$50.3M+21.5%-23.5%-56.9%$-0.24$-27.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$925.5M$907.3M – $958.1M-$0.64-$0.75 – -$0.434
FY27$1.1B$1.1B – $1.2B-$0.21-$0.31 – -$0.143
FY28$1.4B$1.3B – $1.4B$0.11$0.10 – $0.111
FY29$1.8B$1.8B – $1.9B$0.56$0.53 – $0.571
FY30$2.0B$2.0B – $2.1B$0.94$0.90 – $0.971

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.8%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-29.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-46.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 131.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today5.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 21Crain Timothy Price IiCTO50.0K sh$753KSellSep 18Crain Timothy Price IiCTO100.0K sh$1.4MSellSep 9Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector1.7K sh$27KSellSep 8Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector94.6K sh$1.5MSellAug 27Steven VonturSee Remarks3.0K sh$49KSellAug 24Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector141.9K sh$2.4MSellAug 10Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector267.4K sh$4.3MSellJul 28Advent International, L.p.10% owner11.5M sh$147.6MSellJul 27Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector47.3K sh$624KSellJul 13Ghaffarian Kamal SeyedDirector111.0K sh$1.7M
1–10 of 18
+ 36 other (15 returns · 15 exempts · 5 awards · 1 other) in window

See when $LUNR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

LUNR entered into a Purchase Agreement with Goonhilly Holdings USA Inc.. The transaction involves approximately $10 million. pursuant to which Buyer acquired all of the issued and outstanding membership interests of COMSAT LLC (formerly Goonhilly Inc. SEC Item 1.01 requires prompt disclosure of any material agreement not in the ordinary course of business, giving investors visibility into significant contractual commitments by LUNR.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 7SC 13D/A
AI summary

Kamal Ghaffarian, co-founder of Intuitive Machines, filed Amendment No. 12 to his Schedule 13D disclosing that he continues to beneficially own approximately 19.7% of Intuitive Machines (approximately 38.4 million shares). The amendment reflects routine updates to his ownership position, likely due to changes in total share count or minor transactions. As the company's largest individual insider shareholder and a key figure in its lunar lander and space infrastructure business, Ghaffarian's continued significant ownership is closely monitored by investors tracking insider alignment.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 1SC 13D/A
AI summary

Seyed Kamal Ghaffarian and Ghaffarian Enterprises, LLC filed an amended Schedule 13D for Intuitive Machines (LUNR), disclosing a group holding approximately 38.4M shares (19.7% individually plus 18.7% via Ghaffarian Enterprises). Ghaffarian is LUNR's founder; update to a founder position disclosure with no change in stated intent.

8-KShareholder voteJun 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $500.0 million. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 3424B5
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement related to an at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program. The program allows the company to sell up to $500,000,000 of common shares over time through a sales agent into the market at prevailing prices. ATM programs provide flexible, dilution-minimized capital access without a traditional underwritten deal, typically used for growth capital or balance sheet management.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJun 3S-3ASR
AI summary

LUNR (LUNR) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) with the SEC. The registration covers the potential offering of up to $0 in common stock. As an S-3ASR (automatic shelf), this registration is immediately effective upon filing — a privilege reserved for well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) with large public floats. The shelf registration does not commit the company to any specific offering but provides flexible capital markets access for future transactions.

+ 13 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Firefly Aerospace vs. Intuitive Machines: Which Space Infrastructure Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·4d agoSpaceX Drops 4% on Agreement to Testify in New York City AI Safety Probe; Intuitive Machines Sinks 6%, Virgin Galactic Holdings Slips247wallst.com·4d agoAST SpaceMobile vs. Intuitive Machines: Which Space Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·5d agoIntuitive Machines Falls 7% Despite Scaling Up Satellite Manufacturing; Rocket Lab and Redwire Drop 5%247wallst.com·10d agoIs LUNR Scaling Into a High-Volume Satellite Manufacturer?zacks.com·10d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space Economy

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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