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HAHAWK

HawkEye 360, Inc.

$HAWK·$2.5B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$17.65-3.9%1Y-46.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-26: 0 posts2026-08-27: 46 posts2026-08-28: 40 posts2026-08-29: 46 posts2026-08-30: 38 posts2026-08-31: 43 posts2026-09-01: 43 posts303
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 3h ago
HAHAWK
$HAWKHawkEye 360, Inc.
$17.65-3.87%303 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HAWK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-09-02

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

A newly-IPO'd RF-satellite play with today's lock-up release and a 9/21 Russell add stacked on the calendar.

HawkEye 360 operates a commercial satellite constellation that captures radio-frequency signals from space — useful for maritime domain awareness, spectrum mapping, and defense intelligence. The company IPO'd in May 2026, its 180-day lock-up released early on 9/2 (today), and preliminary Russell 2000 inclusion lands 9/21 — three catalysts stacked into one month with a stock down 46% since IPO.

  • The commercial fundamentals are unusually strong for a recent IPO: gross margins of 92% and a small positive operating margin (~3%) already, plus a fresh NRO Commercial RF Capability Augmentation Contract (announced 8/18) that anchors government-side demand.
  • The near-term calendar is dominated by mechanical events: today's early lock-up release could bring a supply overhang from pre-IPO insiders, and the 9/21 Russell 2000 preliminary inclusion adds passive-fund demand — the two roughly offset, so the actual direction depends on how insiders behave.
  • The Q2 print landed a 35% beat but the tape crashed anyway: Q2 EPS of -$0.07 beat the -$0.11 estimate, yet the stock fell on 8/14 — the "why did great numbers produce red tape" pattern suggests either lock-up front-running or profit-taking from IPO buyers into the release.

The event-ahead tape resolves as those two catalysts play out — a clean lock-up release plus confirmed Russell 2000 add restarts the tape toward the IPO price, while heavy pre-IPO selling into 9/2 and continued below-200-day action confirms the 46%-off pattern.

Agrees with X sentimentX sentiment is thin (only 5 posts) but flags the two real signals — Russell 2000 preliminary inclusion 9/21 as the positive mechanical catalyst, and bearish chart action (Bollinger Band expansion, yellow candles) as the near-term risk. Both are pointing at the same event-driven setup; agreement is on the mechanics.

What to watch: 9/2 lock-up release insider activity, 9/21 Russell 2000 final inclusion, and the 11/12 Q3 print. Clean lock-up plus confirmed index add restarts the tape; heavy pre-IPO selling into 9/2 confirms the below-200-day pattern.

On the calendar: 2026-09-21 - Russell 2000 inclusion decision

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-01

Sentiment is mixed on HawkEye 360. The clear positive is preliminary inclusion in the Russell 2000 Index effective Sept 21, 2026, pending final reconstitution. Countering that, one chartist flags yellow/bearish candles with a sell signal, price riding the Bollinger Band down and BBs expanding lower. A separate irrelevant thread nostalgic about the crashed Hailey Welch 'Hawk Tuah' memecoin from earlier this year also uses the ticker. No fundamental catalyst frames the tape either direction beyond the index add.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HAWK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Commercial RF satellite constellation providing maritime domain awareness and spectrum intelligence for defense and commercial clients.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HAWK.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $HAWK

Neutral — network operator exposure is to subscriber economics and capex cycles, not directly to the industry macro driver.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+13.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
12.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-21.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
92.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.07$-0.11+34.9%
Q1 2026Jun 22, 2026$-0.45$-0.08-462.5%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.02

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.—Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.—Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 77.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.425-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

HAWK (HAWK) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $125.0 million. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 113
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of HAWK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at HAWK.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 113
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of HAWK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at HAWK.

8-KCharter amendmentMay 88-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
AI summary

HAWK (HAWK) disclosed an amendment to its articles of incorporation or bylaws under 8-K Item 5.03. Such amendments may involve changes to authorized share count, governance procedures, director election standards, or other structural corporate provisions. Bylaw and charter amendments require board approval and, depending on the nature of the change, may require shareholder approval. These filings are material because they modify the foundational legal documents governing the company's structure and shareholder rights.

424B4Prospectus supplement (offering)May 7424B4
AI summary

HAWK (HAWK) filed a 424B4 final prospectus for a firm-commitment underwritten public offering of common stock. The offering covers 16,000,000 Shares for gross proceeds of approximately $26. Unlike ATM programs, a firm-commitment offering involves underwriters who purchase all offered shares at a set price, providing immediate capital certainty. Net proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, which may include expansion, acquisitions, or debt repayment.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 63
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of HAWK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at HAWK.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 63
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of HAWK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at HAWK.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 63
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of HAWK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at HAWK.

+ 29 other (15 3s · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 S-1/As) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

HawkEye 360 Confirms Early Lock-up Release for September 2nd; Announces Preliminary Inclusion in the Russell 2000® Indexgurufocus.com·3d agoHawkEye 360 Confirms Early Lock-up Release for September 2nd; Announces Preliminary Inclusion in the Russell 2000® Indexprnewswire.com·3d agoHawkEye 360 Awarded NRO Commercial RF Capability Augmentation Contractprnewswire.com·16d agoWhy HawkEye 360 Stock Crashed Fridayfool.com·19d agoHawkEye 360 Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·20d ago

In themes

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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