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KTKTOS

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

Trending onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$KTOS·$9.0B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$46.03-2.0%YTD-39.9%1Y-21.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 51 posts2026-07-11: 19 posts2026-07-12: 31 posts2026-07-13: 89 posts2026-07-14: 127 posts2026-07-15: 124 posts2026-07-16: 78 posts524+16%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
KTKTOS
$KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$46.03-1.98%524 posts+16%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KTOS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Kratos hits 52-week low with $400M hypersonic funding — defense-drone bet has real backlog now.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions makes tactical drones, hypersonic-vehicle prototypes, satellite ground systems, and defense-microelectronics — the picks-and-shovels of the next-gen defense industrial base. The stock is at the 4th percentile of its 52-week range despite continued contract wins.

  • Revenue grew 23% YoY last quarter with a modest 2% operating margin — the top line is accelerating on defense-orders wave, but the operating margin remains thin due to program investment ahead of scaling.
  • The July 14 announcement of ~$400M in new funding for the hypersonic system and other programs is a real contract-award signal — this is exactly the kind of visible dated revenue the defense-industrial thesis needs.
  • The July 15 opening of a new 167,000-sq-ft Pennsylvania manufacturing facility signals continued capacity investment — capex ahead of the revenue ramp is the operational proof point.
  • Multiple officer distributions in early July ($1M+ across Carter, Lund, Rock, Fendley) — meaningful cluster of insider selling near the multi-month lows, worth naming as a signal despite the bullish narrative.
  • 52-week position 4th percentile with position vs 200-day MA -36% — the tape has done real damage; the 'community frustrated with 66% drawdown' framing captures the setup.

August 6 Q2 earnings is where the defense-orders story either extends or contracts: revenue growth accelerating past 25% plus specific hypersonic program contribution commentary is what turns coiling into a base; a modest beat plus continued officer selling is where the -35% YTD extends further. Real defense-industrial exposure with real orders and real insider distribution — the setup is genuinely two-sided.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on the $400M hypersonic funding, potential $10B revenue, and the RTX Patriot missile hardware framing is analytically fair on the fundamentals. The 66% drawdown frustration is real; the officer selling cluster is a signal to watch alongside the contract wins.

What to watch: Aug 6 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth accelerating past 25% and specific hypersonic program contribution. A modest beat plus continued officer selling is where -35% YTD extends further.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

beta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment32 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Kratos is being described as an underappreciated defense contractor mid-drawdown of about 64% from its year-to-date high. Recent catalysts include roughly $400M in Department of War hypersonic funding (Stifel calls this validation of the hypersonic franchise and reiterates Buy at $134), a $100M sole-source award, a $156M DOE/NNSA On-The-Move C-UAS Special Operations Vehicle contract via Nomad GCS, opening of a new 167,000-square-foot manufacturing facility in York, PA, and confirmation as one of the named participants in the Pennsylvania Innovation Summit's ~$10B new defense investments. Bears reduce to chart weakness, one Stifel-adjacent Hold rating at $32, and Jim Cramer souring publicly. The tone is patient accumulation into a well-catalyzed thesis.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KTOS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes affordable unmanned aerial systems, satellite ground equipment, and microwave electronics for US military.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KTOS.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $KTOS

Direct beneficiary — Makes affordable unmanned aerial systems, satellite ground equipment, and microwave electronics for US military; the business model is a direct conduit for the defense budget expansion and space commercialization.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+17.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
351.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
1.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.16$0.13+19.2%
Q4 2025Feb 23, 2026$0.18$0.16+14.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.14$0.13+12.0%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$0.11$0.10+15.8%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $0.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$371.0M+22.6%22.6%2.1%$0.07$-48.4M
Q4 FY25$345.1M+21.9%21.4%3.0%$0.03$-12.1M
Q3 FY25$347.6M+26.0%22.2%2.0%$0.05$-41.3M
Q2 FY25$351.5M+17.1%21.0%1.1%$0.02$-32.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.7B$1.7B – $1.8B$0.76$0.59 – $0.8913
FY27$2.2B$2.0B – $2.4B$1.07$0.87 – $1.1613
FY28$2.6B$2.6B – $2.6B$1.39$1.05 – $2.029
FY29$3.0B$2.8B – $3.2B$2.08$1.96 – $2.328
FY30$3.4B$3.3B – $3.7B$2.46$2.32 – $2.744

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-15.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-40.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 184.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.075-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 8David M CarterPresident4.0K sh$202KSellJul 1Deanna H LundCFO5.0K sh$264KSellJun 30Stacey G RockPresident4.7K sh$234KSellJun 29Steven S. FendleyPresident7.0K sh$339KSellJun 15Marie MendozaSVP & General Counsel1.5K sh$87KSellJun 15Phillip D CarraiPresident6.5K sh$375KSellJun 8Steven S. FendleyPresident35.0K sh$2.0MSellJun 5David M CarterPresident4.0K sh$237KSellJun 1Deanna H LundCFO5.0K sh$319KSellMay 28Stacey G RockPresident4.0K sh$262K
1–10 of 30
+ 9 other (7 awards · 2 exempts) in window

See when $KTOS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

KTOS held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-15 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 9 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 303
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for KTOS on 2026-03-30, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

KTOS disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Governance Committee, the Board of Director. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KAcquisition completedMar 68-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed
8-KMaterial agreementMar 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Feb 27424B5
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Feb 26424B5
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 26S-3ASR
+ 15 other (5 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Kratos Opens New 167,000-Square-Foot Manufacturing Facility in Pennsylvania, Expanding Existing Footprint in the Stateglobenewswire.com·3d agoKratos: The Numbers That Matter Aren't The Ones You're Watchingseekingalpha.com·3d agoHow Is KTOS Benefiting From the US Defense Industrial Base Expansion?zacks.com·4d agoKratos Receives Approximately $400 Million in New Funding for Hypersonic System and Other Programsglobenewswire.com·4d ago$50 Billion Is About to Flood Into Defense Stocks: Here's Who Cashes In247wallst.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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