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KTKTOS

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 23% YoYStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (460/wk), no spike
$KTOS·$7.6B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$40.42-0.8%YTD-47.3%1Y-54.4%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
KTKTOS
$KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$40.42-0.79%460 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $KTOS on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

460X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $KTOS's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

Kratos is a bruised long. The stock is down nearly 65% from ATH and one poster frames it as a potential asymmetric inverse H&S with a small starter position, citing high beta and negative FCF as the reason to size light. Bulls stack shares on weakness and cheer the Pacific Dragon 2026 exercise using the ARAV-B target, but the tape is drifting alongside a broader drone-sector slump waiting on AVAV's print to steady the group.

Read what X is saying about $KTOS

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $KTOS — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Kratos is near 52-week lows and down 65% from ATH — Pacific Dragon 2026 is the drone-sector catalyst, Nov 3 is the test.

Kratos Defense is a defense and security contractor — unmanned aircraft (drones), missile targets, satellite ground systems. The stock has been crushed with the broader drone sector and sits at the floor of its range.

  • The business is still growing: Q1 revenue +23% YoY, but operating margin is only 2% and FCF is negative — the growth is there, but the financial profile has not caught up to peer defense primes, which is the honest tension.
  • 52-week range position is literally 1% with vol multiplier 1.29 — this is capitulation territory for a defense name, and the near-term catalyst is the Pacific Dragon 2026 exercise using Kratos's ARAV-B target vehicle.
  • At 352x PE on tiny earnings the stock is not cheap on earnings math — the thesis is drone-TAM growth closing the gap with AVAV and other defense names, which has been the pitch for years without the financial follow-through.

Nov 3 Q3 is the gate — any drone-contract award plus FCF stabilization extends the stock off the floor. Another miss on FCF or a drone-sector slump continuation and the stock stays pinned at the 52-week low.

What to watch: Nov 3 Q3 — drone-contract awards, FCF trajectory, operating margin, and any Pacific Dragon 2026 commentary. Continued negative FCF plus a drone-sector-wide pullback is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $KTOS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes affordable unmanned aerial systems, satellite ground equipment, and microwave electronics for US military.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KTOS.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $KTOS

Neutral — Makes affordable unmanned aerial systems, satellite ground equipment, and microwave electronics for US military.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
+1.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
351.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
1.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.21$0.14+51.3%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.16$0.13+19.2%
Q4 2025Feb 23, 2026$0.18$0.16+14.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.14$0.13+12.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.21

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$371.0M+22.6%22.6%2.1%$0.07$-48.4M
Q4 FY25$345.1M+21.9%21.4%3.0%$0.03$-12.1M
Q3 FY25$347.6M+26.0%22.2%2.0%$0.05$-41.3M
Q2 FY25$351.5M+17.1%21.0%1.1%$0.02$-32.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.8B$1.8B – $1.8B$0.84$0.74 – $0.9014
FY27$2.2B$2.0B – $2.4B$1.12$0.84 – $1.6715
FY28$2.7B$2.3B – $3.0B$1.45$0.91 – $2.1114
FY29$3.1B$2.9B – $3.3B$1.97$1.78 – $2.167
FY30$3.6B$3.3B – $3.9B$2.52$2.28 – $2.769

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-39.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 185.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.115-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 15Phillip D CarraiPresident6.5K sh$259KSellSep 21Deanna H LundCFO7.0K sh$341KSellSep 15Marie MendozaSVP & General Counsel1.0K sh$49KSellSep 15Phillip D CarraiPresident6.5K sh$311KSellAug 24Steven S. FendleyPresident7.0K sh$393KSellAug 18Scot B JarvisDirector10.0K sh$635KSellAug 17Phillip D CarraiPresident26.5K sh$1.7MSellAug 17Marie MendozaSVP & General Counsel1.5K sh$97KSellAug 14Eric M DemarcoCEO300.0K sh$19.3MSellAug 5David M CarterPresident4.0K sh$224K
1–10 of 34
+ 9 other (7 awards · 2 exempts) in window

See when $KTOS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 283
AI summary

William Peter Wilson, President of the C5ISR Division at Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS), filed an initial ownership report disclosing 27,696 shares of common stock held directly (including ~12,695 via the 401(k) plan) plus unvested RSUs totaling 34,932 shares across three grant tranches vesting over 2024–2026 grant anniversaries. This is a routine insider initial ownership disclosure with no material corporate event.

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

KTOS held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-15 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 9 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 9 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 POSASR) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Norway's $2 trillion wealth fund was frozen out of major defense companies. That may be about to changecnbc.com·21h agoOndas Retreats 6% Despite Regna AI Launch With Palantir; AeroVironment Drops 3%, Kratos Slips247wallst.com·3d agoCan Rising Demand for Turbojet Engines Strengthen Kratos' Growth?zacks.com·3d agoKratos Breaks Ground on New AN/SPY-1 Radar and Helios Hypersonics Testing Facilities in Indianaglobenewswire.com·3d agoCan Kratos' 5G Ground Systems Support Satellite Connectivity Growth?zacks.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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