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AVAVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

$AVAV·$6.9B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$121.79-1.2%YTD-50.4%1Y-67.4%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
AVAVAV
$AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.
$121.79-1.16%286 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $AVAV on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

286X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $AVAV's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data23 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

AeroVironment posters closed Q1 in a good mood, with adj EPS of $0.59 crushing $0.25, revenue $480.5M vs $456M, and funded backlog at a record $1.5B, up 37% YoY. Bulls point at operating loss collapsing from -$69M to -$11M and two post-quarter awards ($464.8M E-HEL, $50M+ international Locust) already sitting in Q2 bookings before the guide is refreshed. The reservation is that FY27 guidance was left unchanged and adj EBITDA fell 6% YoY, so a small camp still frames it as beat-not-blowout.

Read what X is saying about $AVAV

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $AVAV — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

AeroVironment at 52-week lows despite record $1.5B backlog — the stock is pricing a Pentagon-pace slip the P&L doesn't show.

AeroVironment is a US-based military/commercial drone and robotics maker — Switchblade loitering munitions, Puma UAS, and growing autonomous ground/aerial systems. The stock is at 2% of its 52-week range, down 59% TTM despite genuinely accelerating fundamentals.

  • The P&L is actually accelerating: revenue grew 143% YoY to $408M last quarter at a -5% operating margin — the margin optics mask Q1 adj EPS of $0.59 that crushed $0.25 consensus, with the funded backlog at a record $1.5B (+37% YoY) as the real forward signal.
  • The pipeline is specific: two post-quarter awards ($464.8M E-HEL contract, $50M+ international Locust) already sitting in Q2 bookings before the next guide refresh. The Switchblade and Jump-20 international demand is at an all-time high.
  • At 5.8x sales for a defense-prime growing 143% with a 1.5B backlog, the valuation is reasonable; the Bragar Eagel class action investigation plus modest officer sales (Shackley $15K, Page $38K) are the honest counter-signals.

Breaking-down holds unless Dec 8 earnings confirm backlog growth above $1.6B and FY27 revenue guide is lifted meaningfully. A soft backlog print, or any specific commentary that the FY27 guide stays unchanged, is what seals the de-rating; a FY27 adj EBITDA guide raise plus specific international Switchblade/Jump-20 orders is what breaks the tape higher.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls on Q1 adj EPS $0.59 vs $0.25, revenue $480.5M vs $456M, $1.5B record backlog +37% YoY, operating-loss collapsing from -$69M to -$11M, and the post-quarter E-HEL ($464.8M) + Locust ($50M+) awards have the mechanics right — the FY27 guide staying unchanged is the honest reservation.

What to watch: Dec 8 earnings — funded backlog growth above $1.6B, FY27 revenue guide direction, adj EBITDA margin trajectory, and any specific international Switchblade / Jump-20 order commentary. An unchanged FY27 guide is what seals the breaking-down tape.

On the calendar: 2026-12-08 — Q2 FY27 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $AVAV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes small tactical drones (Raven, Puma) and Switchblade loitering munitions for US and allied military forces.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AVAV.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $AVAV

Neutral — Makes small tactical drones (Raven, Puma) and Switchblade loitering munitions for US and allied military forces.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
+1.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-40.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-1.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-6.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-6.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 9, 2026$0.59$0.22+165.4%
Q1 2026Jun 29, 2026$1.84$1.46+26.0%
Q4 2025Mar 10, 2026$0.64$0.68-5.6%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$0.44$0.78-43.3%
Next earningsTue, Dec 8·consensus EPS $0.37

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$408.0M+143.4%17.1%-5.1%$-3.15$-17.7M
Q2 FY26$472.5M+150.7%17.4%-4.6%$-0.34$-22.4M
Q1 FY26$454.7M+140.0%20.9%-15.2%$-2.40$-146.5M
Q4 FY25$275.1M+39.6%38.0%5.0%$0.59$-8.8M

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.9B$1.9B – $1.9B$2.87$2.78 – $3.0013
FY27$2.2B$2.2B – $2.3B$3.28$3.12 – $3.4415
FY28$2.5B$2.4B – $2.7B$4.51$4.11 – $4.7714
FY29$3.0B$2.8B – $3.2B$5.83$4.54 – $8.5912
FY30$3.6B$3.5B – $3.8B$8.32$7.82 – $8.926
FY31$4.4B$4.2B – $4.7B$7.66$7.20 – $8.218

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-20.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-37.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 38.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.365-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 15Stephen F PageDirector250 sh$38KSellSep 15Shackley Brian CharlesSVP, Chief Accounting Officer100 sh$15KSellAug 17Stephen F PageDirector250 sh$48KSellAug 14Shackley Brian CharlesSVP, Chief Accounting Officer205 sh$41KSellJul 15Stephen F PageDirector248 sh$35KSellJul 15Shackley Brian CharlesSVP, Chief Accounting Officer300 sh$43KSellJun 15Stephen F PageDirector250 sh$44KSellMay 15Stephen F PageDirector250 sh$41K
+ 36 other (19 awards · 11 inkinds · 5 exempts · 1 other) in window

See when $AVAV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteSep 308-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AEROVIRONMENT, INC. (AVAV) filed an 8-K on 2026-09-30 reporting results of a submission of matters to a vote of security holders (Item 5.07). The excerpt contains only the filing cover page; the full vote tallies are in the body. Shareholder votes ratify board elections, auditor selection, executive compensation, and other governance matters — significant if any item failed or passed narrowly.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 98-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AeroVironment (AVAV) reported its fiscal Q1 2027 results for the quarter ended August 1, 2026, with supplemental financial slides also furnished. AeroVironment provides tactical unmanned aircraft systems and quarterly results reflect defense contract awards and deliveries.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 143
AI summary

Michael Ruppert filed an initial Form 3 as a newly appointed director of AeroVironment Inc., effective August 5, 2026. No securities are beneficially owned at the time of filing. Routine Section 16(a) director disclosure.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AeroVironment, Inc. disclosed two board changes: Director Charles Thomas Burbage notified the board he will retire and not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting (expected September 24, 2026), citing no disagreement with management. On August 5, 2026, the board expanded from nine to ten members and appointed Michael Ruppert as a new Class II director on the recommendation of the Nominating and Governance Committee. Ruppert's compensation will match standard non-employee director terms. This is routine board succession with no material strategic impact on the defense drone and unmanned systems maker.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AVAV (AVAV) disclosed an executive/director departure (Item 5.02, filed 2026-07-29). ure of Directors departed from Directors or Certain Officers. Compensation and transition details are in the exhibits. Leadership changes can signal strategic shifts; investors should assess continuity and the appointee's background.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AeroVironment released financial results for its fiscal year ended approximately April 30, 2026, on June 29, 2026. The available excerpt consists primarily of boilerplate 8-K cover page with no financial figures visible in the text portion. Body unavailable — financial results are contained in the attached Exhibit 99.1 press release, not in the excerpt.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 293
AI summary

William J. Lynn III joined AeroVironment's board of directors effective June 24, 2026, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine initial Section 16 director disclosure for this defense-sector drone and unmanned systems manufacturer.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AeroVironment appointed William J. Lynn III to its Board of Directors as a Class I director, effective June 24, 2026, while simultaneously reducing Board size from 10 to 9 members. Lynn's term expires at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No compensation arrangements or committee assignments were disclosed beyond standard director pay. AeroVironment is a defense drone maker; Lynn is a former U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense, adding significant defense policy expertise to the board. Administrative governance change.

+ 12 other (2 10-Qs · 2 3s · 1 ARS · 1 proxy) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

These 2 Aerospace Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·15h agoAeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Noticeseekingalpha.com·2d agoWhy AeroVironment (AVAV) Dipped More Than Broader Market Todayzacks.com·2d agoOndas Retreats 6% Despite Regna AI Launch With Palantir; AeroVironment Drops 3%, Kratos Slips247wallst.com·3d agoAV and Thunder Tiger Sign MOU to Explore Uncrewed Systems Integration and Co-Production in Taiwanbusinesswire.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & DronesRobotics & Humanoids

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