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TSTSLA

Tesla, Inc.

$TSLA·$1.4T·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$358.08+0.4%YTD-21.8%1Y-15.1%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
TSTSLA
$TSLATesla, Inc.
$358.08+0.42%18k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $TSLA on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

18,174X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TSLA's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data30 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

Tesla ripped ~7% on Cybercab manufacturing news — bulls hyped the unboxed line producing one car every 5–10 seconds — plus FSD V14.2 rollout, and call flow ran ~4:1 versus puts on ~$780M of daily premium. Options are pricing bullish continuation into $400; the pushback is only 'still down 21% YTD, wait for confirmation over $368.'

Read what X is saying about $TSLA

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TSLA — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

EV-turned-robotaxi bet where the valuation now depends on Cybercab and FSD delivering by mid-2027.

Tesla is the EV maker that turned itself into a bet on Cybercab volumes and FSD monetization. Still down 22% YTD, the stock caught a ~7% pop on unboxed-line manufacturing footage, and options are pricing continuation into $400.

  • The core business punches below the multiple: revenue grew 16% YoY last quarter at a 4.2% operating margin — Tesla trades like a robotaxi platform while earning like a stressed carmaker.
  • A 326x P/E doesn't sit on today's numbers: the market is paying for Cybercab and FSD revenue not yet in the P&L, and Q2's -34% EPS surprise showed how fast the story cracks on execution.
  • CFO Taneja's $938K sale is routine RSU dressing — the Musk hasn't-sold-since story stays intact.

Oct 28 is the referee: Cybercab ramp plus auto margin above 6% breaks the coil toward $400; a sub-6% quarter with Cybercab in single-digits resolves it back toward $310.

Differs from X sentimentX is bullish on Cybercab footage and pricing $400 continuation, but the mechanics don't quite back it — 4.2% op margin and 15% revenue growth don't fit 326x. The $400 case needs Oct 28 to deliver both a Cybercab guide and margin improvement, not just factory videos.

What to watch: The Oct 28 Q3 print — Cybercab production ramp plus auto op margin above 6% validates $400; another sub-6% quarter with Cybercab still in single-digit units breaks the coil the other way.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

earnings within 60dnarrative drivenelevated multiple

Read the AI verdict on $TSLA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes electric vehicles, Megapack grid batteries, and solar products, with autonomous driving and robotaxi development.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TSLA.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

JPMorgan's robotaxi note shows cash flows concentrating at TSLA equity rather than a public network; Goldman's 6.5M humanoid robot forecast doubles down on Tesla as the multi-platform beneficiary of autonomous buildout. Legacy OEMs remain caught between tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV scale-up while Chinese brands (BYD, NIO) continue compressing mid-market pricing.

What this means for $TSLA

Direct beneficiary — JPMorgan's robotaxi analysis shows cash flows concentrating at TSLA equity; Ellison cancelling $7.5B in stock sales and Goldman's 6.5M humanoid forecast reinforce multi-platform insider conviction.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
-22.7%YTD
-26.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
326.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
15.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$0.33$0.50-34.0%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$0.41$0.35+15.9%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$0.50$0.45+9.9%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$0.50$0.56-10.4%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $0.47

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$22.4B+15.8%21.1%4.2%$0.15$1.4B
Q4 FY25$24.9B-3.1%20.1%5.7%$0.26$1.4B
Q3 FY25$28.1B+11.6%18.0%5.8%$0.43$4.0B
Q2 FY25$22.5B-11.8%17.2%4.1%$0.36$146.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 35 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$106.2B$101.3B – $111.8B$1.69$1.40 – $2.0335
FY27$120.3B$110.6B – $125.7B$2.26$1.36 – $3.4835
FY28$142.7B$117.3B – $184.7B$3.14$1.39 – $7.1133
FY29$193.6B$169.7B – $224.5B$6.51$5.47 – $7.8725
FY30$239.7B$210.2B – $277.9B$9.14$7.67 – $11.0326

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-10.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.8B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.845-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 8Vaibhav TanejaCFO2.6K sh$938KSellJun 8Vaibhav TanejaCFO2.6K sh$1.0MSellMay 13Vaibhav TanejaCFO3.0K sh$1.4MSellApr 30Kathleen Wilson-thompsonDirector26.4K sh$10.0MSellMar 30Kathleen Wilson-thompsonDirector25.6K sh$9.2M
+ 9 other (7 exempts · 1 inkind · 1 return) in window

See when $TSLA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Musk Warns of AI Control Problem After Agents Secretly Accessed OpenAI Servers for a Week247wallst.com·21h agoSpaceX-Tesla Merger: Ron Baron Told Elon Musk 'Whatever You Decidebenzinga.com·22h agoTesla Killed Its Solar Roof. Now Elon Musk Wants 100 GW of Solarbenzinga.com·22h agoTesla Gets Love From Ron Baron for Not Hitting Ducks: ‘Time to Buy The Stock is Now'benzinga.com·23h agoTesla-SpaceX Merger: Not If, But When Musk Makes It Officialzacks.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Robotics & HumanoidsEVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TSLA on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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