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TSTSLA

Tesla, Inc.

$TSLA·$1.2T·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$311.20+0.8%YTD-34.8%1Y+1.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-25: 1,668 posts2026-07-26: 2,126 posts2026-07-27: 2,844 posts2026-07-28: 3,484 posts2026-07-29: 3,826 posts2026-07-30: 3,640 posts2026-07-31: 3,131 posts20,926-26%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TSTSLA
$TSLATesla, Inc.
$311.20+0.76%21k posts-26%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TSLA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-31

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Robotaxi is finally arriving on real roads — while the stock is finishing the worst drawdown of the Musk era.

Tesla is now two companies wearing the same ticker: the EV maker whose margins have compressed to single digits, and the robotaxi/AI-power platform showing up in cities across the Sun Belt. The market has been charging AI-platform prices while getting mostly car-company earnings — and this year, it stopped paying.

  • The auto business no longer supports the multiple: Q2 EPS printed $0.33 versus $0.50 expected — a 34% miss — with operating margins stuck near 5%, a profitability profile that does not justify a 326x trailing P/E on its own.
  • The robotaxi rollout is real: 67 unsupervised Cybercabs live in Austin approaching 80% unsupervised runs, plus fresh sightings in Charlotte, San Antonio, Houston and Tampa — the first quarter where 'robotaxi' means fleet units on public roads.
  • The tape damage is severe: at the 5th percentile of its 52-week range, ~38% off the December ATH, weekly RSI at its lowest since April 2024, roughly $500B of market cap erased — plus reported talks to sell the China business to unlock a SpaceX merger, a re-org that would fundamentally change what TSLA is.

The honest frame is a company whose fundamentals are getting worse while its long-dated call options ripen — a real bull case for anyone patient enough to sit through more downside. What restarts the move is Q3 auto margins bottoming or formal robotaxi revenue; what confirms breakdown is another miss into Oct 28 with no fleet-scale monetization update.

Agrees with X sentimentX reads it as 'operationally constructive, technically broken' and that's the honest call — the robotaxi and AI-power buildouts are visibly compounding while the tape is in a real drawdown and the auto margins can't support the multiple.

What to watch: The Oct 28 Q3 print — auto operating margin (needs to hold ~5%+) and any formal robotaxi units/miles/revenue disclosure. A further margin decline or a China-business sale headline priced as break-up gets treated as a regime change.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠172 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-01 · top-engagement diverged

Sentiment on Tesla is a hardened faith community trying to hold through a brutal tape - the stock is down 33% YTD and posted lowest weekly RSI since April 2024. Bulls are pointing at Cybercab sightings in Fremont/San Antonio/Charlotte, 67 unsupervised robotaxis in Austin, Optimus posts, and the 10M-vehicle milestone as reasons the story is intact. Skeptics and burned holders are loud too ('five years no returns,' 'a million wiped since $400'). Robotaxi optimism vs. post-earnings exhaustion is the dominant split.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TSLA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes electric vehicles, Megapack grid batteries, and solar products, with autonomous driving and robotaxi development.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TSLA.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $TSLA

Neutral — Makes electric vehicles, Megapack grid batteries, and solar products, with autonomous driving and robotaxi development; limited read-through from auto - manufacturers macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
-18.6%YTD
-20.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
326.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
15.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$0.33$0.50-34.0%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$0.41$0.35+15.9%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$0.50$0.45+9.9%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$0.50$0.56-10.4%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $0.47

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$22.4B+15.8%21.1%4.2%$0.15$1.4B
Q4 FY25$24.9B-3.1%20.1%5.7%$0.26$1.4B
Q3 FY25$28.1B+11.6%18.0%5.8%$0.43$4.0B
Q2 FY25$22.5B-11.8%17.2%4.1%$0.36$146.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 33 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$105.1B$97.4B – $113.5B$1.81$1.33 – $2.6833
FY27$120.2B$103.9B – $130.8B$2.35$1.16 – $3.5433
FY28$142.8B$113.9B – $189.9B$3.17$1.38 – $6.3129
FY29$224.9B$195.8B – $274.6B$6.51$5.41 – $8.3818
FY30$239.1B$208.1B – $291.9B$9.06$7.54 – $11.6714

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-20.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-24.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.8B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.805-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 8Vaibhav TanejaCFO2.6K sh$1.0MSellMay 13Vaibhav TanejaCFO3.0K sh$1.4MSellApr 30Kathleen Wilson-thompsonDirector26.4K sh$10.0MSellMar 30Kathleen Wilson-thompsonDirector25.8K sh$9.3MSellMar 6Vaibhav TanejaCFO2.3K sh$899KSellFeb 25Kathleen Wilson-thompsonDirector4.9K sh$2.0M
+ 10 other (8 exempts · 1 inkind · 1 return) in window

See when $TSLA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

SpaceX Needs Growthinvestorplace.com·19h agoElon Musk's Tesla Delivered 480,126 Vehicles in Q2, a 25% Jump From a Year Agofool.com·1d agoSpaceX Is Down 19% From Its IPO Price. Tesla's History Suggests This May Happen Nextfool.com·2d agoTwo 25%+ Covered Call ETFs Where The Risk Has Quietly Changedseekingalpha.com·2d agoTesla Rival BYD Ramping Up Sales On Overseas Demand, Flash Charginginvestors.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Robotics & HumanoidsEVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

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