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FF

Ford Motor Company

$F·$56B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$13.94+0.4%YTD+8.0%1Y+18.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 20 posts2026-08-23: 122 posts2026-08-24: 95 posts459+7%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
FF
$FFord Motor Company
$13.94+0.43%459 posts+7%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $F, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ford is cheap on FCF and just beat Q2 handily — the tariff-headline risk is the entire reason it isn't rallying more.

Ford is the second-largest US automaker by volume — legacy ICE trucks and SUVs, plus a shrinking EV unit and a growing Ford Pro commercial-fleet business. The setup is a cheap turnaround with a very specific policy overhang.

  • The most recent print was actually strong: Q2 EPS came in at $0.42 vs a $0.33 consensus (a 27% beat), revenue at $48.3B was ~$1B above estimate, and Q1 EPS had already surprised at $0.66 vs $0.20 — the operating business is holding up better than the multi-year loss headlines suggest.
  • The valuation is dirt cheap on cash flow: at 0.31x sales and 20% free-cash-flow yield, Ford is priced as if the North American truck business is about to break — while the underlying trailing FCF says the opposite; the dividend anchor at ~5-6% is defended by that cash generation.
  • The tariff-policy risk is real and specific: a 50% US tariff on Canada/Mexico vehicle production would be materially disruptive to Ford's F-Series (Ontario plants) and passenger-car mix (Mexico) — the crowd is right to view this as the load-bearing overhang and to hedge accordingly.

The setup is a coiled deep-value name where a specific policy resolution (tariff clarity) plus continued Q2-style print rhythm is what unlocks a re-rating — the October 22 Q3 print is the next referee. A clean beat with reiterated FY guide and a tariff-carve-out headline breaks the coil up toward $16-17; a Q3 miss or an implemented 50% tariff without a Ford-specific exemption confirms the drift near current levels.

Agrees with X sentimentThe mixed X read is fair — bulls' "one of the greatest longs" framing has the FCF-yield-and-dividend math behind it, and the tariff-threat commentary (50% US tariff risk from Canada/Mexico production) is a real overhang. The Solana Félicette memecoin spam is a ticker collision to ignore. The lack of insider buys at a cheap-on-FCF turnaround is the only missing piece.

What to watch: The October 22 Q3 earnings — need EPS continuing to beat, reiterated FY26 revenue and FCF guide, and any color on tariff-mitigation planning. A Q3 miss or an implemented 50% tariff without a Ford exemption confirms the drift; a clean beat with reiterated FY guide plus tariff-carve-out news breaks the coil up toward $16-17.

On the calendar: 2026-10-22 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Mixed and politically noisy. Trump took public credit for keeping Ford's Detroit plant open, disclosing personal exposure of "up to $700,000." The tape is dominated by tariff jitters, with one post citing "potential 50% US tariffs" while a cynic waves it off since "by January, this will be flip-flopped." One trader calls the chart "gross here" but a possible "greatest longs" setup. A few memecoin posts add noise.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $F

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $F.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

EV adoption curve uncertainty and tariff-driven cost structures weigh on margins; OEMs are caught between legacy ICE profitability and EV capital commitments that haven't yet scaled. China competition in EV is the structural headwind — pricing pressure on volume is not abating.

What this means for $F

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate.

Industry benchmark

15-name peer basket
-20.0%YTD
-16.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
20.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$0.42$0.33+27.3%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.66$0.20+230.0%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.13$0.18-27.5%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.45$0.35+27.2%
Next earningsThu, Oct 22·consensus EPS $0.41

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$43.3B+6.4%18.4%5.4%$0.64$1.3B
Q4 FY25$45.9B-4.8%3.7%-2.0%$-2.78$1.1B
Q3 FY25$50.5B+9.4%8.9%3.2%$0.61$5.3B
Q2 FY25$50.2B+5.0%6.5%0.9%$-0.01$4.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$184.8B$173.9B – $199.8B$1.83$1.41 – $2.059
FY27$188.9B$178.3B – $205.6B$1.94$1.37 – $2.139
FY28$195.6B$178.6B – $211.2B$2.16$1.85 – $2.607
FY29$198.0B$188.3B – $210.9B$2.24$2.10 – $2.433
FY30$202.7B$192.7B – $215.8B$2.50$2.35 – $2.726

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.42%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.855-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 23John L ThorntonDirector10.6K sh$149K
+ 21 other (13 awards · 5 exempts · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $F insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ford Motor Company (F) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01), creation of a direct financial obligation (Item 2.03), and an other-event disclosure (Item 8.01). Ford is a Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker with multiple note series on the NYSE. The combination of Items 1.01 and 2.03 suggests a significant financing transaction — likely a new credit facility or term loan — which is a capital structure event for a major automaker managing EV investment and legacy operations.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ford Motor Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026. Shareholders voted on director elections; nominees included CEO James Farley Jr. (4.91B for), Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr. (4.58B for, 449M against — notably more opposition than peers), family members Henry Ford III and Alexandra Ford English, and others. All nominees were elected. The Ford family retains effective voting control through its Class B shares. This is routine annual meeting governance with no material corporate transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

F disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-15). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

F entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-15). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

+ 15 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

History Says What Ford Stock Has Done in the 2 Years After Each Full-Year Lossfool.com·3d agoZacks Industry Outlook General Motors, PACCAR, Ford and Harley-Davidsonzacks.com·4d agoTruist names Harold Ford Jr. to strategic advisory roleprnewswire.com·5d agoFord Motor vs. Tesla: Analyzing Revenue Trends Between These Automotive Giantsfool.com·5d agoFord Motor (F) Down 9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?zacks.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 9 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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