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FF

Ford Motor Company

$F·$55B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$14.21+0.2%YTD+7.6%1Y+26.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 582 posts2026-07-10: 582 posts2026-07-11: 222 posts2026-07-12: 338 posts2026-07-13: 534 posts2026-07-14: 239 posts2026-07-15: 355 posts2,881-4%
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
FF
$FFord Motor Company
$14.22+0.18%2.9k posts-4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $F, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Cheap at 8x forward with a fresh director open-market buy — the July 28 print decides if the ICE cash cow finally re-rates.

Ford Motor Company is the legacy Detroit automaker whose stock spent 2024-2025 trading like the EV losses would eat the ICE truck franchise. A fresh director open-market buy plus a new separate energy company make the July 28 print a real inflection candidate.

  • The underlying ICE business is a cash machine: FCF yield is 20.4%, trailing operating margin is 1.8% (misleading because of Model e losses), and Q1 2026 revenue grew 6.4% YoY with gross margin at 18% — the F-150 + Super Duty + Ford Pro franchise is funding the transition and paying the 4.8% dividend.
  • The insider signal is unambiguously bullish: director John L. Thornton bought 10,600 shares at $14.05 on June 23 for $149K — a real open-market purchase from an established director is one of the strongest single-print bullish tells, and the sole insider event of the last quarter.
  • The Ford Energy carve-out is the fresh catalyst: management announced an entire new energy company in early June, with community models suggesting hundreds of millions in near-term revenue — a real structural change to the equity story underappreciated relative to the tape's 'Ford should stop making EVs' framing.

The July 28 Q2 print is the near-term arbiter — a clean EPS beat plus any FY26 guide movement on Ford Energy carve-out or Model e loss reduction extends the setup. A revenue miss or reaffirmed EV losses without energy detail keeps the stock stuck in the $13-$15 range.

Agrees with X sentimentX is contrarian bullish, citing the new energy company announcement, the weekly RSI reset, and the 'you're not buying the EV division, you're buying the legacy business' framing. Mechanics support the setup: 8.5x forward P/E, 20% FCF yield, director Thornton's $149K open-market purchase on June 23, and Q1 revenue +6% YoY. The tension is the Q4 2025 gross margin (3.7%) and the ongoing Model e losses — both of which management has to specifically address on July 28 for the bull case to hold.

What to watch: The July 28 Q2 earnings. Watch Ford Pro margin trajectory, Model e loss trajectory, and any specific Ford Energy carve-out detail. A clean EPS beat plus energy-company commentary extends the setup; a reaffirmed EV loss without carve-out visibility keeps the stock range-bound.

On the calendar: 2026-07-28 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Ford chatter is contrarian bullish. Ford announced an entire new separate energy company in early June expected to generate hundreds of millions in near-term revenue - community amplifies as underappreciated catalyst. Chart bulls note weekly RSI reset with Ford 'finally ready.' Bulls emphasize F at ~8x forward vs TSLA ~200x - 'you're not buying the EV division, you're buying the legacy business.' Community broadly long into the reset. No bear thread.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $F

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $F.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $F

Partial — Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
-20.2%YTD
-17.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
20.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.66$0.18+260.9%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.13$0.18-27.5%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.45$0.35+27.2%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.37$0.33+11.9%
Next earningsTue, Jul 28·consensus EPS $0.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$43.3B+6.4%18.4%5.4%$0.64$1.3B
Q4 FY25$45.9B-4.8%3.7%-2.0%$-2.78$1.1B
Q3 FY25$50.5B+9.4%8.9%3.2%$0.61$5.3B
Q2 FY25$50.2B+5.0%6.5%0.9%$-0.01$4.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$185.3B$176.4B – $196.7B$1.67$1.44 – $1.789
FY27$187.3B$172.7B – $202.4B$1.83$1.67 – $2.069
FY28$197.8B$193.2B – $202.5B$2.08$1.81 – $2.396
FY29$197.6B$184.1B – $210.8B$2.08$1.89 – $2.255
FY30$201.5B$187.8B – $214.9B$2.23$2.04 – $2.433

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.49%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+7.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.835-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 23John L ThorntonDirector10.6K sh$149K
+ 41 other (17 awards · 13 exempts · 11 inkinds) in window

See when $F insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ford Motor Company (F) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01), creation of a direct financial obligation (Item 2.03), and an other-event disclosure (Item 8.01). Ford is a Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker with multiple note series on the NYSE. The combination of Items 1.01 and 2.03 suggests a significant financing transaction — likely a new credit facility or term loan — which is a capital structure event for a major automaker managing EV investment and legacy operations.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ford Motor Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026. Shareholders voted on director elections; nominees included CEO James Farley Jr. (4.91B for), Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr. (4.58B for, 449M against — notably more opposition than peers), family members Henry Ford III and Alexandra Ford English, and others. All nominees were elected. The Ford family retains effective voting control through its Class B shares. This is routine annual meeting governance with no material corporate transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

F disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-15). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

F entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-15). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 11S-3ASR
8-KPress release / Reg FDJan 298-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ford customer wants cut of $1.3B in tariff refunds while accusing automaker of ‘unjust windfall'nypost.com·1d agoFord Motor Company (F) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·2d agoFord Should Stop Selling EVs247wallst.com·2d agoVENU Announces Dwight Yoakam, The Commodores & The Spinners, Lynyrd Skynyrd with 38 Special, and Lauren Daigle at Ford Amphitheaterbusinesswire.com·3d agoBest Growth Stocks to Buy for July 15thzacks.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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