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TSTSLA

Tesla, Inc.

$TSLA·$1.5T·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$354.72-2.1%YTD-21.9%1Y-17.3%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
TSTSLA
$TSLATesla, Inc.
$354.72-2.13%16k posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $TSLA on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

16,463X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TSLA's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 84% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data31 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Sentiment is split — bulls are counting Thursday's Roadster reveal, 327 tracked unsupervised robotaxis, FSD approval nearing in the UAE, and Cybertrucks landing in Korea. Bears are dunking with FSD-crash and handicap-parking clips, noting Ross Gerber dumped half a million shares at $167, and warning Q3 deliveries (Kalshi 480k, Polymarket 440k) could miss both Q2 and the tax-credit comp. The conversation is a classic bull/bear standoff with no catalyst to break the tie.

Read what X is saying about $TSLA

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TSLA — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

A story stock priced on robots and robotaxis, with Q3 earnings about to force a reality check.

Tesla is a car company whose stock is now priced mostly on things it hasn't shipped — a humanoid robot, a Roadster relaunch, and a robotaxi fleet. The move this year has been less about EVs and more about whether that AI/physical-AI story holds.

  • The core carmaker is softer than the narrative implies: Q1 revenue was up only 16% YoY and operating margin sat at 4%, down from the mid-teens Tesla used to post before the price-cut cycle.
  • The AI leg has real receipts and real doubt: 327 tracked robotaxis on the road and FSD approval nearing in the UAE support the bull case, while last quarter's -34% EPS miss and an insider sale from the CFO (~$940K at $360) say management isn't exactly backing up the truck.

October 28 earnings is the moment the market decides whether to re-rate on robotaxi units or snap back to auto fundamentals. A clean beat with a 400k+ delivery number keeps the bull story alive; a miss on either axis exposes just how much air is in the AI premium.

What to watch: Q3 earnings on Oct 28 — delivery number vs the Kalshi/Polymarket 440-480k band, and any firm date on robotaxi commercial launch. A clean beat on both re-opens upside; a miss on either resets the AI premium.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dinsider selling

Read the AI verdict on $TSLA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes electric vehicles, Megapack grid batteries, and solar products, with autonomous driving and robotaxi development.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TSLA.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Tesla remains the autonomous and robotaxi thesis vehicle while legacy OEMs navigate tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV transitions.

What this means for $TSLA

Partial — Makes electric vehicles, Megapack grid batteries, and solar products, with autonomous driving and robotaxi development.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-30.2%YTD
-34.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
326.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
15.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$0.33$0.53-38.1%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$0.41$0.35+15.9%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$0.50$0.45+9.9%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$0.50$0.56-10.4%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $0.45

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$22.4B+15.8%21.1%4.2%$0.15$1.4B
Q4 FY25$24.9B-3.1%20.1%5.7%$0.26$1.4B
Q3 FY25$28.1B+11.6%18.0%5.8%$0.43$4.0B
Q2 FY25$22.5B-11.8%17.2%4.1%$0.36$146.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 33 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$106.3B$101.5B – $111.9B$1.71$1.41 – $2.0533
FY27$120.6B$110.9B – $126.1B$2.31$1.39 – $3.5533
FY28$143.1B$117.4B – $184.9B$3.22$1.47 – $7.5330
FY29$196.1B$171.8B – $227.2B$7.46$6.26 – $9.0015
FY30$242.8B$212.7B – $281.3B$10.49$8.80 – $12.6520

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.8B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 8Vaibhav TanejaCFO2.6K sh$938KSellJun 8Vaibhav TanejaCFO2.6K sh$1.0MSellMay 13Vaibhav TanejaCFO3.0K sh$1.4MSellApr 30Kathleen Wilson-thompsonDirector26.4K sh$10.0M
+ 7 other (5 exempts · 1 inkind · 1 return) in window

See when $TSLA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedSep 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01) filed on 2026-09-29. Also filed under: termination of material definitive agreement, creation of direct financial obligation. The excerpt contains only the filing cover page; the full terms of the agreement are in the attached exhibit. Material definitive agreements are binding corporate commitments that can alter strategy, capital structure, or partnerships in ways that matter for equity holders.

+ 12 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Tesla's Flying Roadster Has Wall Street Talking About SpaceX, Not Carsfool.com·7h agoTesla, Meta And SAP Lead Big Earnings Weekyoutube.com·10h agoQ3 Earnings Season Preview: Revenue Beats Lag, Multi-Sector Momentum Holdszacks.com·11h agoStock Market Today, Oct. 16: Tesla Slips 2% as Roadster Reveal Fades Before Earningsfool.com·11h agoWall Street buzzing over potential SpaceX-Tesla merger in wake of ‘flying' car demonypost.com·12h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Robotics & HumanoidsEVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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