TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$RIVN
RIRIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

$RIVN·$18B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$12.42-4.6%YTD-32.4%1Y-3.8%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
RIRIVN
$RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.
$12.42-4.61%713 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $RIVN on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

713X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $RIVN's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 64% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Rivian is bullish into a Q4-ripper setup — $RIVN is tight at $15.45 with the AI & automation day plus Q3 delivery numbers as the catalyst stack, Washington registrations are up 45% YoY (nearly 10,000 vehicles) with R2 already contributing, and Wall Street expects ~16-17.2k Q3 deliveries. Rivian also named a new ad agency with R2 getting "world-class" marketing. Risk is a daily close under $15.

Read what X is saying about $RIVN

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $RIVN — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Rivian is at $15 with Q3 delivery numbers and R2 commentary ahead — the thread is pitching Q4 ripper patterns.

Rivian builds the R1T truck, R1S SUV, and commercial vans, plus the upcoming lower-priced R2 and R3 platforms. Operating losses are still deep, but the delivery data and R2 ramp are the near-term swing factors.

  • The business is still losing meaningful money: Q1 revenue +11% YoY at a -69% operating margin — this is pre-profit, so the bet is on R2 unit economics, not any current P&L line.
  • Early R2 signals are tangible: 60 August registrations is tiny but non-zero, and Washington registrations +45% YoY points at genuine demand reacceleration before the R2 price catches full attention.
  • 52-week range position is 23% with vol multiplier 1.47 — the chart has consolidated into Q3 delivery data and the AI/Automation Day, and bulls are positioning around a $20 target off a $15 base.

Nov 3 Q3 is the gate — delivery count above 17K plus any R2 production-ramp commentary extends the move. A delivery miss or an R2 timeline slip and the chart gives back the recent accumulation fast.

Agrees with X sentimentThe thread has the right catalysts — Q3 delivery estimates, R2 registration early signals, Washington volume growth, AI/Automation Day — and the $20 target is grounded in the delivery-plus-R2 setup rather than hopium.

What to watch: Nov 3 Q3 — delivery count, R2 production commentary, cash runway, and operating-loss trajectory. A delivery miss or R2 timeline slip is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $RIVN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures electric pickup trucks (R1T) and SUVs (R1S) for consumers, plus electric delivery vans for Amazon under a strategic partnership.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RIVN.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Tesla remains the autonomous and robotaxi thesis vehicle while legacy OEMs navigate tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV transitions.

What this means for $RIVN

Neutral — Manufactures electric pickup trucks (R1T) and SUVs (R1S) for consumers, plus electric delivery vans for Amazon under a strategic partnership.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-29.6%YTD
-34.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-5.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-30.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-68.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-70.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-1.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$-0.47$-0.66+29.1%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.55$-0.63+13.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.54$-0.71+23.8%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.70$-0.74+5.3%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $-0.65

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B+11.4%8.6%-63.8%$-0.33$-526.0M
Q4 FY25$1.3B-25.8%3.2%-64.8%$-0.66$-1.1B
Q3 FY25$1.6B+78.3%-3.1%-63.1%$-0.96$-421.0M
Q2 FY25$1.3B+12.5%-15.8%-85.5%$-0.97$-398.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.5B$6.6B – $7.7B-$2.26-$2.56 – -$2.1317
FY27$11.7B$10.5B – $12.5B-$1.81-$2.56 – -$1.2917
FY28$15.6B$10.1B – $23.5B-$1.20-$1.51 – -$0.4917
FY29$26.1B$20.6B – $33.9B-$0.23-$0.32 – -$0.1713
FY30$33.7B$26.6B – $43.7B$0.55$0.40 – $0.778

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 942.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.625-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 1Callahan Michael JohnChief Administrative Officer15.0K sh$225KSellSep 11Callahan Michael JohnChief Administrative Officer15.0K sh$244KSellAug 20Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$128KSellAug 18Claire McdonoughCFO13.1K sh$191KSellJul 6Karen BooneDirector20.0K sh$400KSellJun 3Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$144KSellMay 29Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$128KSellMay 28Robert J ScaringeCEO34.8K sh$522KSellMay 21Claire McdonoughCFO7.6K sh$106KSellMay 18Claire McdonoughCFO5.5K sh$74K
1–10 of 13
+ 28 other (16 awards · 12 inkinds) in window

See when $RIVN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial debt obligationOct 78-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Rivian Automotive announced that CFO Claire McDonough will resign effective October 30, 2026, and Derek Mulvey, currently Vice President of Finance, has been appointed Interim CFO effective at the time of her departure while a comprehensive external search for a permanent CFO is conducted. The Board accepted McDonough’s resignation; no disagreement with management or the Board was cited. McDonough’s departure removes an experienced financial executive at a critical juncture in Rivian’s production ramp and capital-raising activities. The CFO transition adds near-term uncertainty to investor relations and capital markets communications.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 8424B5
AI summary

Rivian Automotive filed a final prospectus supplement (424B5) for the public offering of 75 million shares of Class A common stock at $15.50 per share, with a full overallotment option for 11.25 million additional shares, bringing maximum total offering to 86.25 million shares and gross proceeds to approximately $1.337 billion. The offering is made pursuant to Rivian's effective shelf registration statement. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley led the offering as joint book-running managers. Proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes including potential repayment of DOE loan obligations and funding ongoing manufacturing scale-up.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 6424B5
AI summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on July 6, 2026 for the sale of 75,000,000 shares of Class A common stock (plus a 30-day 11.25M-share overallotment option), priced at market from a last reported sale of $18.63 on July 2, 2026 — implying gross proceeds of approximately $1.40 billion at that price. The offering is off Rivian's existing shelf (No. 333-295470). This is a large, immediately dilutive equity raise; the 75M share base represents meaningful dilution to existing shareholders and is likely intended to fund ongoing vehicle production ramp and capital investment.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Rivian announced Q2 2026 total vehicle production and deliveries via press release (Exhibit 99.1). Actual figures are in the exhibit. Key quarterly production and delivery data disclosure.

8-KShareholder voteJun 268-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 22, 2026, with approximately 78.39% of combined voting power represented (976,546,842 Class A and 3,912,500 Class B shares). Class II directors Karen Boone (618,888,357 votes for) and Aidan Gomez (702,024,906 votes for) were elected to serve until 2029; KPMG LLP was ratified as independent auditor with 999,469,299 votes for; say-on-pay received 508,489,685 votes for. Routine annual meeting results — board continuity confirmed with no contested director elections or meaningful opposition.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMay 48-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

RIVN filed an 8-K (Item 3.02) dated 2026-05-04. – Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities In April 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) achieved Milestone #1 as defined in the Subscription Agreement dated March 18, 2026 (the “Subscription Agreement”) that the Company entered into with SMB Holding Corporation (“SMB”) and Uber Technologies, Inc. (“Uber”), which was.

+ 13 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Tesla Rises 4% on Thruster-Powered Roadster Reveal; Rivian Edges Higher, Lucid Holds Steady247wallst.com·20h agoAI agents are coming to Rivian's carstechcrunch.com·2d agoThese 2 Auto, Tires and Trucks Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·2d agoGHOSTBUSTER MODE: Rivian CEO reveals wild features of new R2 SUVyoutube.com·2d agoRivian and Redwood Materials Expand Partnership to Span the Lifecycle of the Batterybusinesswire.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

More in Auto - Manufacturers

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$TSLA$GM$NIO$TM$LCID$F$XPEV$RACE
Voices on X · top 10 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport