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RIRIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

$RIVN·$21B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$17.29+1.1%YTD-13.6%1Y+37.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 596 posts2026-07-11: 147 posts2026-07-12: 375 posts2026-07-13: 607 posts2026-07-14: 332 posts2026-07-15: 552 posts2026-07-16: 494 posts3,143+13%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
RIRIVN
$RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.
$17.29+1.14%3.1k posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RIVN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

EV maker just took $1.3B in fresh equity while pre-announcing a Q2 revenue beat — a bought pause before R2.

Rivian makes electric pickups (R1T), SUVs (R1S), and Amazon's electric delivery vans — the closest US pure-play EV challenger to Tesla, now with the mass-market R2 model reportedly backordered into 2027-2028. The company just raised $1.3B via a public share offering and pre-announced Q2 revenue at $1.6B, above consensus.

  • Revenue grew 11% YoY to $1.4B last quarter with gross margin now positive at 9% — the operating leverage is finally turning, and the raised Q2 guide to $1.6B validates the trajectory.
  • The $1.3B offering at $15.50 (86.25M shares) is real dilution — about 8% of the pre-offer share count — but it clears the runway for R2 production and reduces DOE-loan repayment risk, which is what makes the market taking it in stride notable.
  • Trades at 3.7x TTM sales with negative FCF of $526M last quarter alone — the multiple is far below Tesla's and hinges entirely on R2 hitting on time and at margin.
  • Director Karen Boone sold $400K on July 6 at $20 — small relative to the market cap, and no cluster of officer selling elsewhere; the recent 6/22 director stock awards are the more meaningful insider signal.
  • 52-week position 56th percentile and up 8% today on the offering absorption — the tape is telling you the dilution risk was already priced.

July 30 earnings sets the tone: a definitive R2 production start date plus a reiterated FY26 delivery guide is what confirms the setup; the employee-lockup expiry August 4 is a real supply overhang, and softer R2 timing is where the pullback resumes. The story is intact; execution risk is what the tape is now grading.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bull case around holding above the 200-week MA, the raised Q2 guide, and R2 backorders is fair — and the 8% pop today on the dilution absorption is a real quality-of-move signal. Where I'd temper: the LCID-comparison bear thread has a point about capital intensity; the difference is Rivian actually gets to R2, and that hasn't been proven yet.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 earnings — need a definitive R2 production start date and reiterated FY26 delivery guide. Softer R2 timing or an FY26 miss is where the -18% one-day drop pattern repeats.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

float missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment36 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Rivian chatter reads bullish after a fresh dilution digest. RIVN is +8% on the day and set to close above the 200WMA after retesting from above, framed as first-ever positive 200D SMA reaction. Bulls point to raised Q2 revenue guidance to $1.6B (vs $1.44B consensus), R2 orders backordered into 2027/2028, Stifel raising PT to $22 from $20, an $NKE ultrarunning off-grid partnership, employee lockup expiring Aug 4 (framed as coming supply-headwind clearing), and institutional investors snapping up the $1.3B capital raise. Weekly ascending triangle is 'taking a long time but eventually rewarding.' Bears note lingering dilution concern and comparison to LCID's failed turnaround; bulls dominate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RIVN

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures electric pickup trucks (R1T) and SUVs (R1S) for consumers, plus electric delivery vans for Amazon under a strategic partnership.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RIVN.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $RIVN

Partial — Manufactures electric pickup trucks (R1T) and SUVs (R1S) for consumers, plus electric delivery vans for Amazon under a strategic partnership; the EV transition with ICE profitability as the funding floor is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
-18.5%YTD
-18.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-5.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-30.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-68.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-70.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-1.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.55$-0.63+13.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.54$-0.71+23.8%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.70$-0.74+5.3%
Q2 2025Aug 5, 2025$-0.80$-0.65-23.7%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $-0.67

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B+11.4%8.6%-63.8%$-0.33$-526.0M
Q4 FY25$1.3B-25.8%3.2%-64.8%$-0.66$-1.1B
Q3 FY25$1.6B+78.3%-3.1%-63.1%$-0.96$-421.0M
Q2 FY25$1.3B+12.5%-15.8%-85.5%$-0.97$-398.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.2B$6.4B – $7.5B-$2.43-$3.08 – -$2.1516
FY27$11.8B$9.8B – $13.1B-$1.97-$2.94 – -$1.5519
FY28$16.2B$15.9B – $16.6B-$1.28-$2.77 – $0.0116
FY29$27.1B$22.9B – $32.9B-$0.56-$0.72 – -$0.4515
FY30$34.5B$29.2B – $41.9B$0.14$0.12 – $0.1815

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.56%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+12.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+11.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 836.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.605-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 6Karen BooneDirector20.0K sh$400KSellJun 3Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$144KSellMay 29Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$128KSellMay 28Robert J ScaringeCEO34.8K sh$522KSellMay 21Claire McdonoughCFO7.6K sh$106KSellMay 18Claire McdonoughCFO5.5K sh$74KBuyMay 15Aidan N. GomezDirector18.0K sh$251KBuyApr 30Ag Volkswagen10% owner62.9M sh$999.9MSellApr 22Claire McdonoughCFO10.2K sh$184KSellApr 14Robert J ScaringeCEO21.4K sh$347K
1–10 of 16
+ 38 other (22 awards · 16 inkinds) in window

See when $RIVN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 8424B5
AI summary

Rivian Automotive filed a final prospectus supplement (424B5) for the public offering of 75 million shares of Class A common stock at $15.50 per share, with a full overallotment option for 11.25 million additional shares, bringing maximum total offering to 86.25 million shares and gross proceeds to approximately $1.337 billion. The offering is made pursuant to Rivian's effective shelf registration statement. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley led the offering as joint book-running managers. Proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes including potential repayment of DOE loan obligations and funding ongoing manufacturing scale-up.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 6424B5
AI summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on July 6, 2026 for the sale of 75,000,000 shares of Class A common stock (plus a 30-day 11.25M-share overallotment option), priced at market from a last reported sale of $18.63 on July 2, 2026 — implying gross proceeds of approximately $1.40 billion at that price. The offering is off Rivian's existing shelf (No. 333-295470). This is a large, immediately dilutive equity raise; the 75M share base represents meaningful dilution to existing shareholders and is likely intended to fund ongoing vehicle production ramp and capital investment.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Rivian announced Q2 2026 total vehicle production and deliveries via press release (Exhibit 99.1). Actual figures are in the exhibit. Key quarterly production and delivery data disclosure.

8-KShareholder voteJun 268-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 22, 2026, with approximately 78.39% of combined voting power represented (976,546,842 Class A and 3,912,500 Class B shares). Class II directors Karen Boone (618,888,357 votes for) and Aidan Gomez (702,024,906 votes for) were elected to serve until 2029; KPMG LLP was ratified as independent auditor with 999,469,299 votes for; say-on-pay received 508,489,685 votes for. Routine annual meeting results — board continuity confirmed with no contested director elections or meaningful opposition.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMay 48-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

RIVN filed an 8-K (Item 3.02) dated 2026-05-04. – Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities In April 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) achieved Milestone #1 as defined in the Subscription Agreement dated March 18, 2026 (the “Subscription Agreement”) that the Company entered into with SMB Holding Corporation (“SMB”) and Uber Technologies, Inc. (“Uber”), which was.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 30S-3ASR
AI summary

RIVN filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-30. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

RIVN entered into a amendment (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-30). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KUnregistered equity saleApr 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

RIVN reported first quarter ended March 31, 2026 . The full text of financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 14 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Tesla and Rivian Are Both Down 12%. Here's the Better Buy for the Second Half of 2026.fool.com·1d agoWhy Rivian Stock Fell 12% in the First Half of 2026fool.com·1d agoThe Strait of Hormuz Closure Sent Gas Prices Up. EV Stocks Quietly Benefited.fool.com·2d agoWhat Is Going on With Rivian Stock on Wednesday?benzinga.com·2d agoDown 18%, Should You Buy Rivian Stock After Its Biggest 1-Day Drop Since November 2024?fool.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 10 · last 7 days

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