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STSTLA

Stellantis N.V.

$STLA·$16B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$5.96+1.0%YTD-47.3%1Y-36.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 188 posts2026-07-10: 240 posts2026-07-11: 73 posts2026-07-12: 142 posts2026-07-13: 290 posts2026-07-14: 142 posts2026-07-15: 224 posts1,312+5%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
STSTLA
$STLAStellantis N.V.
$5.96+1.02%1.3k posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STLA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Down 48% YTD at 3x earnings with a 22% FCF yield — the coil is loaded but the JPM downgrade means the tape hasn't turned.

Stellantis is the Fiat + Chrysler + Peugeot + Opel automaker whose 2026 tape has been the worst-performing large-cap auto name at -48% YTD. The stock is coiled at 9% of the 52-week range with fresh JP Morgan downgrade and a real earnings-power reset.

  • The core business is under real margin compression: Q1 2026 revenue fell 55% YoY to $38.1B, gross margin dropped to 11.6%, operating margin was 1.8% — the demand + inventory reset is real, and the tape is pricing the earnings collapse.
  • Valuation is now genuinely distressed: 2.9x TTM P/E, 0.28x sales, and a 22.1% FCF yield are numbers you see when the market prices in a specific balance-sheet stress scenario — the setup is a mean-reversion candidate if the July 30 print shows any margin stabilization.
  • The tape signal is real technical support: STLA sits on monthly trendline support with large January $6 call activity, and the Fiat Topolino EV US launch at $13,995 is a specific product catalyst — but JP Morgan just downgraded to Neutral, so the sell-side isn't yet endorsing the coil.

The July 30 Q2 earnings are the near-term arbiter — Q2 revenue stabilization off the -55% Q1 comp, gross margin recovery back toward 15%, and any FY26 EPS guide movement extend the coiling setup toward $7. Continued margin compression or a fresh EPS guide cut confirms JPM's downgrade sub-$5.

What to watch: The July 30 Q2 earnings. Watch Q2 revenue trajectory (need stabilization off -55% Q1 comp), gross margin recovery toward 15%, and FY26 EPS guide movement. Continued margin compression or fresh EPS guide cut confirms JPM downgrade sub-$5; margin recovery + Topolino EV traction extends toward $7.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-14

Stellantis commentary is split: JP Morgan downgraded to Neutral citing a delayed payoff from cost cuts, and STLA hit a fresh one-year low the same day Valero and MPC printed one-year highs on Iran conflict. Offsetting bullish signals include the stock sitting on monthly trendline support with large January $6 call activity, the launch of the Fiat Topolino EV in the US at $13,995, and framing as a Big-3 auto bottoming setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STLA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes Jeep, Ram, Peugeot, Fiat, Chrysler, and Maserati vehicles across 14 brands; major global automaker navigating EV transition.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STLA.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $STLA

Partial — Makes Jeep, Ram, Peugeot, Fiat, Chrysler, and Maserati vehicles across 14 brands; major global automaker navigating EV transition; this segment overlaps with the EV transition with ICE profitability as the funding floor but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
-15.9%YTD
-13.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
2.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
11.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
22.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$0.25$0.15+67.8%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$-0.70$-2.67+73.6%
Q2 2025Jul 29, 2025$0.08$0.25-66.3%
Q4 2024Feb 26, 2025$2.53$2.40+5.4%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$38.1B-55.1%11.6%1.8%$0.14$-4.1B
Q4 FY25$141.8B+55.6%-6.7%-14.6%$-6.96$-6.3B
Q2 FY25$38.4B-60.9%100%-6.2%$-0.92$-8.8B
Q4 FY24$71.9B-21.1%7.9%-4.1%$-0.05$-6.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$160.6B$155.1B – $164.5B$0.71-$0.60 – $1.6515
FY27$165.6B$156.0B – $174.3B$1.28$0.09 – $2.3516
FY28$169.5B$162.0B – $175.9B$1.75$1.65 – $1.8414
FY29$174.7B$166.9B – $181.3B$2.00$1.88 – $2.1015
FY30$179.5B$171.5B – $186.3B$2.23$2.10 – $2.3415

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.10%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-31.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.995-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Jun 17SC 13D
AI summary

Stellantis N.V. filed an SC 13D on June 5, 2026, disclosing ownership of 8,669,995 shares of Series A Common Stock in Factorial Energy Inc. with shared voting and dispositive power, representing a significant strategic stake in the solid-state battery startup. The filing is made by Stellantis as an affiliated fund filer, with Giorgio Fossati listed as the authorized contact in the Netherlands. This signals Stellantis's continued strategic investment in next-generation battery technology via Factorial Energy, relevant to its EV supply chain positioning.

+ 18 other (16 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Stellantis Expands 10 Year Connect One Benefits with Remote Engine Start/Stop, Reduces Monthly Cost for Wi-Fi Plus Subscription for 2027 Model Yearprnewswire.com·1d agoStellantis Stock Could Pop on Turnaround, but This Is Still a Red Flagfool.com·1d agoStellantis to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on July 30globenewswire.com·2d agoStellantis' Alfa Romeo plans launch of new mid-sized SUV by end 2027reuters.com·3d agoStellantis vehicle shipments rise 10% in the second quarter led by North Americareuters.com·4d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $STLA on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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