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NINIO

NIO Inc.

$NIO·$8.2B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$3.43-2.0%YTD-33.1%1Y-49.8%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
NINIO
$NIONIO Inc.
$3.43-2.00%1.4k posts1.3×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $NIO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

1,359X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.3×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NIO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 92% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data26 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Sentiment is split as X holds its breath for a Monday 8AM Hangzhou announcement with Geely covering battery-swap, the Shenji M97 chip (bulls claim it tops NVIDIA's Thor), and possibly a deeper tie-up. Bulls are flying to China for live coverage; bears are selling the news in advance ("$NIO is easily a $6 stock" against "I sold 100% out again, the 2s have to be visited"). The entire week pivots on whether the deal lands as rumored.

Read what X is saying about $NIO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NIO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Chinese EV at 52-week lows going into a Geely cooperation announcement that could unlock the Shenji chip narrative.

NIO is a Chinese EV maker — premium brand, battery-swap infrastructure, and the Shenji M97 chip now in development. The stock is literally at its 52-week low ahead of a Monday Hangzhou announcement with Geely that could cover battery-swap sharing and the Shenji chip partnership.

  • The volume is actually there: revenue grew 112% YoY last quarter to $25.5B RMB (~$3.5B USD) with operating margin -1.2%, which is a dramatic improvement from -40% at the depths — the business is scaling into profitability if the margin trajectory holds.
  • The Monday Geely announcement is the specific binary: battery-swap infrastructure sharing + Shenji M97 chip cooperation would be a legitimate industry-structural event, roughly the Chinese EV equivalent of a US-style standard-setting partnership. A no-show or diluted announcement is what breaks the tape.
  • Trading at 0.85x sales for a 112% revenue grower, this is already a value-trade valuation if the catalyst lands — the price action reflects skepticism, not fundamentals, which is the setup catalyst-plays are supposed to have.

The stock is pricing a no-show; a real Geely cooperation framework re-rates it. A watered-down MOU, or a specific Chinese EV demand softening in the Oct delivery print (due in weeks), is what cracks the setup further.

Agrees with X sentimentX is right that the Monday Hangzhou/Geely catalyst is the biggest China event in months, and the "$4.30 support losing hold" chart commentary matches the 52-week-low price action; the lone "sold out waiting for sub-$3" voice is the honest counter — a disappointing Monday puts that level into play.

What to watch: Monday Hangzhou Geely announcement — specifically, whether a signed cooperation framework (battery-swap network sharing + Shenji M97 chip joint-development) actually lands. A watered-down MOU or no deal is what seals the breaking-down into sub-$3; a signed framework resets the chart.

On the calendar: 2026-10-06 — Hangzhou/Geely announcement

Read the AI verdict on $NIO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and sells premium smart EVs in China with a differentiated battery-swapping network for rapid energy replenishment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NIO.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Tesla remains the autonomous and robotaxi thesis vehicle while legacy OEMs navigate tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV transitions.

What this means for $NIO

Neutral — Designs and sells premium smart EVs in China with a differentiated battery-swapping network for rapid energy replenishment.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-29.5%YTD
-32.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-10.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-14.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-19.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-329%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
15.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
6.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 1, 2026$-0.04$-0.07+42.9%
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$-0.03$-0.08+60.0%
Q4 2025Mar 10, 2026$0.01$-0.05+120.0%
Q3 2025Nov 25, 2025$-0.16$-0.22+28.6%
Next earningsTue, Nov 24·consensus EPS $-0.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$25.5B+112.2%19.0%-1.2%$-0.20—
Q4 FY25$34.2B+73.4%17.5%1.5%$0.05—
Q3 FY25$21.8B+16.7%13.9%-16.2%$-1.51—
Q2 FY25$19.0B+9.0%10.0%-25.8%$-2.31$-13.9B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 24 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$129.1B$120.6B – $135.0B-$0.55-$1.06 – -$0.2515
FY27$152.5B$141.3B – $163.1B$0.47-$0.56 – $2.2520
FY28$170.9B$135.6B – $245.4B$1.54$0.37 – $3.1424
FY29$177.1B$152.9B – $222.0B$1.19$0.98 – $1.5922
FY30$181.0B$156.3B – $227.0B$1.25$1.03 – $1.6714

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-31.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.925-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 12 other (7 exempts · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $NIO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 16 other (16 6-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

NIO Inc. (NIO) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·4d agoNio stock slide continues in Hong Kong as headwinds riseinvezz.com·5d agoNIO: Q3 Surge, Delivery Boom Signals Big Earnings Winseekingalpha.com·6d agoNio Stock Slumped 18.9% in September Despite a Big Geely Deal. Should You Buy the Dip?fool.com·8d agoNio Jumps 5% as Chinese EV Names Rally, XPeng Climbs 4%; Rivian Slips247wallst.com·8d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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