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LCLCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

$LCID·$1.3B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$4.07+4.4%YTD-62.1%1Y-83.1%
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
LCLCID
$LCIDLucid Group, Inc.
$4.07+4.36%476 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $LCID on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

476X posts · last 7 days
Sep 12Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $LCID's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-29

Lucid chatter is split. Bulls celebrate the Cosmos road-testing ahead of 2027 Saudi production and note the Air's continued efficiency lead, calling Cosmos a great-looking car. The honest bear voice warns the $5 institutional-capital threshold has fallen and CEO Silvio Napoli must deliver a definitive game plan or downward pressure accelerates.

Read what X is saying about $LCID

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $LCID — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-28

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Lucid killed a production shift because inventory piled up, delayed Cosmos again, and the tape is at 12-month lows — the story is broken until something structural changes.

Lucid Group builds premium EVs and is trying to expand to the mass-market Cosmos SUV. It's been the worst-performing EV name of the past year — down 82% — with production being cut because inventory is growing faster than sales, and the Cosmos delayed again.

  • The financials are ugly on every axis: -96% gross margin, -268% operating margin, -286% free cash flow yield, and negative equity that makes the accounting metrics essentially non-comparable to a normal automaker.
  • The dilution runway is where the story keeps getting worse: Lucid just drew $400M more from Saudi PIF's DDTL (now $1.7B outstanding), and 55K shares of Series C preferred registered for resale — the balance sheet is being propped by a single sovereign, and every raise is a fresh dilution on holders.
  • The tape is unambiguous: at 7% of the 52-week range with the tape down 82% t12m and position vs the 200-day MA at -48%, this is Stage 4 for the story, not a base.

November 4 earnings and any color on Cosmos production timeline plus a possible dilutive raise decides the next leg — a re-affirmed 2028 Cosmos launch with no new raise breaks the breakdown temporarily; another shift cut, a further Cosmos delay, or a $1B+ dilutive round is what confirms the bankruptcy talk the bears are running.

Agrees with X sentimentAgrees with the bearish read — the production-shift cut, the -$901M quarterly EBITDA and the CFO transition are all documented and material — and the bulls' Cosmos and oil-at-$100 story doesn't matter if the company runs out of runway before Cosmos ships in 2028.

What to watch: November 4 earnings — Cosmos production timeline, any dilutive raise, and Saudi PIF term-loan capacity; a re-affirmed 2028 Cosmos launch with no new raise breaks the breakdown temporarily, another shift cut or $1B+ raise confirms bankruptcy talk.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $LCID

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

EV maker producing ultra-premium electric sedans with class-leading range, majority-owned by Saudi Arabia PIF sovereign wealth fund.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LCID.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Tesla remains the autonomous and robotaxi thesis vehicle while legacy OEMs navigate tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV transitions.

What this means for $LCID

Neutral — EV maker producing ultra-premium electric sedans with class-leading range, majority-owned by Saudi Arabia PIF sovereign wealth fund.

Industry benchmark

15-name peer basket
-21.6%YTD
-27.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-67.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-268%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-286%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-193%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-95.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$-3.30$-2.38-38.7%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-3.46$-2.72-27.2%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$-3.62$-2.49-45.4%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$-3.31$-2.32-42.7%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $-2.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$282.5M+20.2%-110%-337%$-3.46$-1.4B
Q4 FY25$522.7M+122.9%-80.7%-204%$-3.62$-1.3B
Q3 FY25$336.6M+68.3%-99.1%-280%$-3.31$-955.6M
Q2 FY25$259.4M+29.3%-105%-310%$-2.42$-1.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.7B$1.3B – $2.1B-$9.88-$11.87 – -$8.696
FY27$3.3B$2.6B – $4.1B-$5.83-$7.44 – -$4.347
FY28$6.6B$4.6B – $8.7B-$4.02-$5.61 – -$2.047
FY29$8.5B$6.7B – $10.5B-$2.69-$3.54 – -$1.953
FY30$11.0B$8.7B – $13.7B-$2.01-$2.64 – -$1.455

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-30.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-50.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 152.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today6.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.815-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 1Ori WinitzerDirector1.0K sh$5KSellAug 3Ori WinitzerDirector1.0K sh$7KBuyApr 28Public Investment FundDirector55.0K sh—
+ 16 other (10 awards · 6 inkinds) in window

See when $LCID insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Lucid Group disclosed that outgoing CFO Taoufiq Boussaid will transition out by December 31, 2026, receiving $10,000 per month in consulting fees, benefits, a prorated bonus of approximately $156,390, and additional severance provisions. No replacement CFO has been named yet. The transition reflects ongoing executive leadership evolution at Lucid as it ramps EV manufacturing at its Arizona plant.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 288-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Lucid Group drew $400 million under its Delayed Draw Term Loan (DDTL) from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (Ayar Third Investment Company) on August 24, 2026, bringing total DDTL outstanding to $1.7 billion with approximately $800 million still available. Separately, SVP Finance Gagan Dhingra departed Lucid effective August 14, 2026, with a separation agreement and general release of claims signed; his departure was not preceded by any disagreement with management. The DDTL draw provides near-term operating liquidity for Lucid’s ongoing EV production ramp. Continued reliance on PIF-funded debt underscores Lucid’s dependence on its Saudi sovereign backer.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 73
AI summary

A new 10%+ beneficial owner filed a Form 3 initial statement of ownership for LCID (LCID) dated 2026-08-07. The filing reports initial beneficial ownership of shares, representing approximately a 10%+ stake of outstanding shares. Form 3 is required within 10 days of crossing the 10% ownership threshold and is an administrative disclosure. This indicates significant insider or institutional accumulation and may precede further Schedule 13D/G activity.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Lucid Group (LCID) filed a Regulation FD disclosure on July 14, 2026, relating to information about the company's liquidity position, financial condition, and operational strategies. The filing was furnished under Item 7.01 and is not filed for liability purposes. Specific financial figures or operational details were not contained in the available excerpt. The disclosure may be related to investor communications or a capital raise process.

8-KMaterial debt obligationJul 68-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Lucid Group, Inc. drew $800 million from its existing Delayed Draw Term Loan (DDTL) facility on July 6, 2026, provided by Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF). The draw is under the same facility previously established in August 2024, November 2025, and April 2026 filings. This is a material increase in Lucid's outstanding debt, funded by its largest shareholder PIF; proceeds are expected to support manufacturing ramp and operations, but no specific use of proceeds is stated in this filing.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Lucid Group released Q2 2026 production and delivery totals via press release and disclosed the appointment of Alexander De Bock as incoming CFO. Dual filing combining Q2 operational results with a significant CFO transition.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJun 228-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Lucid Group (LCID) announced an 18% U.S. workforce reduction on June 22, 2026, eliminating the second production shift at its AMP-1 factory, with expected annualized cost savings of approximately $158 million and one-time cash charges of roughly $32 million for severance. Simultaneously, COO Marc Winterhoff departed effective immediately as the COO position was eliminated. This material restructuring event signals continued pressure on Lucid's path to profitability as it balances its Saudi PIF-backed capital with the realities of EV production ramp.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 113
AI summary

Sachin Kansal filed a Form 3 as a newly elected Director of Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) on June 11, 2026, triggered by his election on June 4, 2026. The filing discloses no securities beneficially owned. Routine director Form 3 filing with no ownership to report at inception.

+ 25 other (5 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 routine 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

What's Going On With Lucid Stock Monday?benzinga.com·2d agoLucid vs. Rivian Automotive: Which Electric Vehicle Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·2d agoLucid Has Delayed the Cosmos SUV Again. Another Dilutive Raise May Be Coming.fool.com·4d agoLucid Delayed Its Cosmos SUV. Time to Panic?fool.com·5d agoPrediction: NIO Is a Better Buy Than Lucid for the Next Decadefool.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 5 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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