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LILI

Li Auto Inc.

$LI·$12B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$12.01+0.9%1Y-51.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-26: 10 posts2026-08-27: 13 posts2026-08-28: 11 posts2026-08-29: 11 posts2026-08-30: 4 posts2026-08-31: 15 posts2026-09-01: 36 posts111
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 4h ago
LILI
$LILi Auto Inc.
$12.01+0.92%111 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Li Auto with revenue down 16%, vehicle margin halved to 9.4%, and deliveries stuck near 30,000 a month.

Li Auto builds extended-range and battery electric vehicles in China, and competitive pressure has compressed both volume and margin simultaneously.

  • Q2 revenue is ¥25.59B with year-over-year change of -15.7%, and Q1/Q4/Q3 declined -12.1%, -32.4%, and -36.5% — four consecutive quarters of steep contraction.
  • Q2 EPS missed at -$0.25 versus a -$0.118 estimate, and reported quarterly EPS has swung to -¥1.70 and -¥2.28 in the two most recent quarters — a swing to a RMB1.7B net loss.
  • Vehicle margin halved to 9.4%, unfavourable against a competitor's reported 20.7%, and deliveries are described as stuck near 30,000 per month.
  • Consensus 2026 EPS is ¥0.43 jumping to ¥3.31 in 2027 and ¥5.76 in 2028 — a recovery model that four declining quarters and halved margins give no support for.

The Q3 print on November 25 needs deliveries to reaccelerate — the September MEGA and i9 launches are the stated catalyst, and without a volume response the margin compression compounds.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bearish on the rough Q2 — revenue down 15.1%, vehicle margin halved to 9.4%, a hard EPS miss and a swing to a RMB1.7B net loss — with the delivery pace called the biggest red flag despite positive operating cash flow and upcoming launches; the take here agrees on all of it.

What to watch: Monthly delivery volumes after the MEGA and i9 launches, whether vehicle margin recovers from 9.4%, and cash burn against the net loss.

On the calendar: 2026-11-25 Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment14 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-01

Sentiment is bearish after Li Auto's Q2 print missed on EPS, revenue fell 15.1% year-over-year to RMB 25.7B, vehicle margin halved to 9.4%, and the company swung to a RMB 1.7B net loss with deliveries down 11.5%. Posters note the MEGA product line is in a real slump, guidance was weak, and Xpeng and Nio's improving results make Li's stall look even worse. A small pocket of bulls flag that operating cash flow turned positive and hopes to see September MEGA and i9 launches spark a rebound, but the tone is dominated by disappointment.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Chinese EV maker selling profitable extended-range electric SUVs via direct sales, a rare profitable OEM in a competitive market.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LI.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

EV adoption curve uncertainty and tariff-driven cost structures weigh on margins; OEMs are caught between legacy ICE profitability and EV capital commitments that haven't yet scaled. China competition in EV is the structural headwind — pricing pressure on volume is not abating.

What this means for $LI

Direct beneficiary — EV product exposure positions this company at the center of the powertrain transition; Li Auto Inc.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-18.2%YTD
-14.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-18.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-6.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-21.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-6.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
13.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 26, 2026$-0.25$-0.12-111.0%
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$-0.33$-0.27-24.2%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$0.04$0.03+38.1%
Q3 2025Nov 26, 2025$-0.09$0.04-325.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 25·consensus EPS $-0.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$25.6B-15.7%11.0%-8.6%$-1.70—
Q1 FY26$22.8B-12.1%7.9%-12.9%$-2.28$-7.4B
Q4 FY25$28.4B-32.4%17.8%-1.9%$0.01$951.0M
Q3 FY25$27.4B-36.5%16.3%-4.7%$-0.62$-6.3B

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 25 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$122.5B$107.5B – $134.2B$0.43-$1.33 – $2.7019
FY27$152.6B$134.4B – $167.3B$3.31-$1.31 – $5.5721
FY28$167.8B$106.9B – $248.7B$5.76$0.47 – $11.8425

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-26.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 535.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 5 other (3 awards · 1 exempt · 1 inkind) in window

See when $LI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 41 other (37 6-Ks · 1 SC TO-I/A · 1 20-F · 1 SC TO-I) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Li Auto Inc. August 2026 Delivery Updateglobenewswire.com·2d agoLi Auto Says It Wants to Be 'Like Apple and Huawei'benzinga.com·6d agoLi Auto: Competitive Destructionseekingalpha.com·6d agoLi Auto Inc. (LI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·7d agoWhat's Happening With Li Auto Stock Wednesdaygurufocus.com·7d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 11 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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