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RARACE

Ferrari N.V.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 3% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (643/wk), no spike
$RACE·$68B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$376.83-1.5%YTD+1.6%1Y-25.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 181 posts2026-07-11: 67 posts2026-07-12: 124 posts2026-07-13: 157 posts2026-07-14: 49 posts2026-07-15: 32 posts2026-07-16: 18 posts643-11%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
RARACE
$RACEFerrari N.V.
$376.83-1.50%643 posts-11%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RACE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ferrari's F80 sold out invitation-only — luxury moat still intact, priced for continued perfection.

Ferrari is the ultimate luxury automaker — every car is a limited-production, high-margin piece of aspirational engineering, and the brand functions more like a Hermès of automobiles than a traditional car manufacturer. The stock is down 23% over the past year despite continued operational excellence.

  • Revenue grew 3% YoY at $1.9B last quarter with a 30% operating margin — modest volume growth as intended (Ferrari deliberately limits production), and the operating margin is unmatched in the auto industry.
  • Trades at 33x TTM earnings and 7.3x sales with a 3% FCF yield — expensive for a car company but reasonable for a luxury-goods franchise, which is what Ferrari really is on a multiple basis.
  • The F80 selling out via invitation-only allocations is the essence of the moat — Ferrari can allocate deliveries to reward customer loyalty and manage brand exclusivity in ways no other auto brand can match.
  • Zero insider transactions in the last 30 days and an active buyback program (per the July 13 periodic report) — capital returns are the anchor for the value case at these levels.
  • 52-week position 31st percentile with position vs 50-day MA +7% — the tape has cooled hard from the peak but is starting to base; the July 30 earnings sets the tone.

July 30 Q2 earnings is where the luxury-goods thesis either extends or contracts: revenue growth held plus continued F80/12Cilindri commentary is what confirms the multiple; any softness in the ultra-high-end waitlist or a China-specific comment is where the drawdown extends. Real luxury moat, real capital returns — the setup rewards a clean beat, and the mid-30s multiple has room to compress if execution stumbles.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on Ferrari at 71% sentiment 'coolest brand-halo trade among luxury names' is analytically fair — this is the highest-quality auto stock by any structural measure. Where I'd temper: the $672-$914 chart targets on a 33x multiple are aggressive; the fundamental case earns re-rating with quarterly execution rather than technical breakouts.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth held and continued F80/12Cilindri commentary. Ultra-high-end waitlist softness or China weakness is where the drawdown extends further.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment⚠11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13 · top-engagement diverged

Traders describe Ferrari as trading around $400 and unlikely to remain below the 200-week moving average, with targets of $672-$914 over the next couple of years. Posts highlight the F80 selling out via invitation-only allocations, though the 12Cilindri has struggled to clear reserve at auction and Ferrari's brand-halo trade is described as coolest among luxury names at 71% sentiment.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RACE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ultra-premium Italian sports car manufacturer with controlled production volumes, licensing income, and Formula 1 brand.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RACE.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $RACE

Neutral — Ultra-premium Italian sports car manufacturer with controlled production volumes, licensing income, and Formula 1 brand; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the EV transition with ICE profitability as the funding floor.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
-20.1%YTD
-16.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
33.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
18.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
41.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$2.73$2.70+1.1%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$2.49$2.44+2.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$2.50$2.35+6.4%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$2.70$2.57+5.1%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $2.83

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8B+3.2%51.8%29.9%$2.35$731.6M
Q4 FY25$1.8B+3.8%51.9%28.2%$2.15$1.4B
Q3 FY25$1.8B+7.4%50.1%28.4%$2.14$472.6M
Q2 FY25$1.8B+4.4%52.6%31.1%$2.38$155.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.6B$7.5B – $7.6B$9.66$9.53 – $9.8416
FY27$8.2B$8.0B – $8.3B$10.75$10.41 – $10.9816
FY28$8.7B$8.5B – $9.0B$11.69$10.07 – $12.5817
FY29$9.1B$8.8B – $9.3B$12.82$12.39 – $13.3114
FY30$9.6B$9.4B – $9.9B$13.74$13.28 – $14.278

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 39 other (36 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 S-8 · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Investors Should Stop Overlooking the World's Top 3 Auto Stocksfool.com·2d agoFERRARI TO ANNOUNCE SECOND QUARTER 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS ON JULY 30globenewswire.com·3d agoWant to Buy Tesla? 3 Reasons to Buy This Luxury Automaker's Stock Instead.fool.com·3d agoFERRARI N.V.: PERIODIC REPORT ON THE BUYBACK PROGRAMglobenewswire.com·5d agoRACE BEGINS: Clock is TICKING on Trump's agendayoutube.com·10d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $RACE on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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