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RARACE

Ferrari N.V.

$RACE·$73B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$422.60+0.5%YTD+8.6%1Y-14.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 5 posts2026-08-23: 10 posts108-3%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
RARACE
$RACEFerrari N.V.
$422.60+0.49%108 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RACE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Ferrari at $420 — 30% operating margins, five straight EPS beats, and Sardar Biglari + Bamco NY new positions confirming institutional buying.

Ferrari N.V. is the ultra-luxury Italian sports-car maker — arguably the most defensible consumer brand in the world by any margin lens. The equity is up 8.5% YTD and has just touched $420 on the Amalfi launch narrative plus continued institutional accumulation.

  • The operating cadence is unrelentingly excellent: Q1 revenue grew 3.2% year-over-year to $1.85B, gross margins hold 50-53%, and operating margins run 28-31% — the last four EPS prints all beat consensus by 1-6%, which for a company with such tight guidance discipline is the compounder profile the multiple pays for.
  • The valuation is genuinely rich but earned: at 33x trailing earnings and roughly 43x FY26 EPS ($9.79 consensus) rising to 39x FY27 ($10.92), Ferrari commands a permanent premium — that's how the market prices a brand whose per-unit economics are 5-10x the next-best luxury peer's.
  • The institutional buying is genuine: Bamco Inc NY plus Sardar Biglari plus Biglari Capital taking sizable positions (Biglari's $129B figure appears to be a data-quality artifact but the direction is clear) — those are exactly the long-only names that anchor a compounder position.
  • Insider tape is functionally absent (zero reported events) — for a $73B market cap luxury manufacturer near recent highs, no insider selling is the neutral read a re-rate tape wants, and the Amalfi launch narrative gives a specific product-cycle catalyst.

The path if the run continues is a Nov 3 Q3 print keeping the beat cadence plus positive Amalfi order-book commentary — the tape breaks toward the $450+ area where prior consolidation held. What breaks the run is a specific luxury-consumption pullback in China or Europe, or a supply-chain issue that would delay Amalfi deliveries; that's when a name at 56% of the 52-week range gives back to the 200-day support 15% below spot as the premium multiple compresses.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take — Ferrari touching $420 as 'the most marketable brand in the world,' technicians describing a rejection from a known supply zone but continued support at dynamic levels and the cloud, options-flow write-ups touting a 25% rally since late May, and even the gray-market Amalfi in Moscow story being spun as brand-strength signal — captures the acceleration exactly.

What to watch: The Nov 3 Q3 print — beat cadence continuing plus positive Amalfi order-book commentary extends the run toward $450+; a luxury-consumption pullback in China/Europe or an Amalfi supply-chain issue is what gives back to 200-day support.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The Ferrari fanbase is celebrating, with posters noting the stock touched $420 and framing it as the most marketable brand in the world. Technicians describe a rejection from a known supply zone but continued support at dynamic levels and the cloud, arguing the trend still favors the upside. Options-flow write-ups tout a 25% rally since late May, and even the gray-market Amalfi in Moscow story is spun as brand-strength signal.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RACE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ultra-premium Italian sports car manufacturer with controlled production volumes, licensing income, and Formula 1 brand.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RACE.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

EV adoption curve uncertainty and tariff-driven cost structures weigh on margins; OEMs are caught between legacy ICE profitability and EV capital commitments that haven't yet scaled. China competition in EV is the structural headwind — pricing pressure on volume is not abating.

What this means for $RACE

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Ferrari N.

Industry benchmark

15-name peer basket
-20.0%YTD
-14.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
33.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
18.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
41.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$2.99$2.83+5.7%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$2.73$2.70+1.1%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$2.49$2.44+2.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$2.50$2.35+6.4%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $2.79

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8B+3.2%51.8%29.9%$2.35$731.6M
Q4 FY25$1.8B+3.8%51.9%28.2%$2.15$1.4B
Q3 FY25$1.8B+7.4%50.1%28.4%$2.14$472.6M
Q2 FY25$1.8B+4.4%52.6%31.1%$2.38$155.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.6B$7.6B – $7.7B$9.79$9.65 – $9.9713
FY27$8.3B$8.1B – $8.4B$10.92$10.57 – $11.1517
FY28$8.8B$8.3B – $9.3B$11.81$10.92 – $12.7218
FY29$9.0B$8.7B – $9.4B$12.84$12.29 – $13.4611
FY30$9.5B$9.2B – $9.9B$13.60$13.01 – $14.259

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.57%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+15.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 124.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 32 other (30 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Bamco Inc. NY Buys New Stake in Ferrari N.V. $RACEdefenseworld.net·4d agoOPLN or RACE: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·5d agoBiglari Sardar Buys New Stake in Ferrari N.V. $RACEdefenseworld.net·6d agoBiglari Capital CORP. Takes $129.18 Billion Position in Ferrari N.V. $RACEdefenseworld.net·6d agoBank of New York Mellon Corp Makes New Investment in Ferrari N.V. $RACEdefenseworld.net·11d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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