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RARACE

Ferrari N.V.

$RACE·$68B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$375.14+1.6%YTD+0.5%1Y-24.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 107 posts2026-07-09: 145 posts2026-07-10: 181 posts2026-07-11: 67 posts2026-07-12: 124 posts2026-07-13: 157 posts2026-07-14: 45 posts833+23%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 16h ago
RARACE
$RACEFerrari N.V.
$375.15+1.62%833 posts+23%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RACE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-14

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Ferrari is at 31% of 52-week range into July 30 earnings — F80 sold out on allocation but the 12Cilindri is struggling at auction.

Ferrari is the luxury sports-car maker whose brand economics remain elite but whose stock has spent the last twelve months digesting the post-EV-model launch. The tape is at 31% of the 52-week range into July 30 Q2 earnings — pricing power remains the whole thesis.

  • The financials remain elite: Q1 revenue grew 3.2% YoY to $1.85B at a 30% operating margin and 41.9% ROE, and analyst consensus continues to model modest growth with margin durability — meaning Ferrari's problem is not that the business is broken, it's that the premium multiple has to justify itself against slower growth.
  • The demand read is genuinely mixed: the F80 hypercar sold out via invitation-only allocations (peak brand-signal), but the 12Cilindri (broader-appeal V12) has struggled to clear reserve at auction — meaning the top-of-pyramid remains stone-cold while the volume-hero-model demand is softer than the pricing power narrative assumes.
  • The tape is quiet-neutral: volume at just 39% of average means no strong hand is either accumulating or fading, and the active buyback program is providing a modest technical floor without changing the fundamental story.

July 30 Q2 earnings decides — need EPS at or above the $2.83 consensus plus commentary that 12Cilindri and Purosangue demand is stable to restart the tape past the 200-day; a soft demand-mix read or a maintained FY26 guide without margin lift lets the tape drift back below the 200-day. The Trump-tariff exposure (mentioned in one sentiment post) is a real but manageable overhang for a company with elite pricing power.

Agrees with X sentimentSentiment sample is thin (11 posts) but honest — the F80 sell-through and 12Cilindri auction weakness are both real, and the 71% sentiment on the brand-halo trade is on-topic. Where I add tension: the $672-$914 targets require Ferrari to reprice to 45-60x, which needs both growth and multiple expansion.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 earnings — need EPS above $2.83 plus stable 12Cilindri and Purosangue demand commentary to break above the 200-day. A soft demand mix or a maintained FY guide keeps the tape drifting.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment⚠11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13 · top-engagement diverged

Traders describe Ferrari as trading around $400 and unlikely to remain below the 200-week moving average, with targets of $672-$914 over the next couple of years. Posts highlight the F80 selling out via invitation-only allocations, though the 12Cilindri has struggled to clear reserve at auction and Ferrari's brand-halo trade is described as coolest among luxury names at 71% sentiment.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RACE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ultra-premium Italian sports car manufacturer with controlled production volumes, licensing income, and Formula 1 brand.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RACE.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $RACE

Neutral — Ultra-premium Italian sports car manufacturer with controlled production volumes, licensing income, and Formula 1 brand; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the EV transition with ICE profitability as the funding floor.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
-21.2%YTD
-15.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
33.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
18.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
41.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$2.73$2.70+1.1%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$2.49$2.44+2.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$2.50$2.35+6.4%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$2.70$2.57+5.1%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $2.83

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8B+3.2%51.8%29.9%$2.35$731.6M
Q4 FY25$1.8B+3.8%51.9%28.2%$2.15$1.4B
Q3 FY25$1.8B+7.4%50.1%28.4%$2.14$472.6M
Q2 FY25$1.8B+4.4%52.6%31.1%$2.38$155.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.6B$7.5B – $7.6B$9.66$9.53 – $9.8416
FY27$8.2B$8.0B – $8.3B$10.75$10.41 – $10.9816
FY28$8.7B$8.5B – $9.0B$11.69$10.07 – $12.5817
FY29$9.1B$8.8B – $9.3B$12.82$12.39 – $13.3114
FY30$9.6B$9.4B – $9.9B$13.74$13.28 – $14.278

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.27%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 124.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 38 other (35 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 S-8 · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

FERRARI N.V.: PERIODIC REPORT ON THE BUYBACK PROGRAMglobenewswire.com·2d agoRACE BEGINS: Clock is TICKING on Trump's agendayoutube.com·7d agoTop 50 High-Quality Dividend Growth Stocks For July 2026seekingalpha.com·7d agoRobinhood's cofounder says he's buying a Ferrari Luce as a 'baby-mobile'businessinsider.com·7d agoLEA vs. RACE: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·9d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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