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SHSHAK

Shake Shack Inc.

$SHAK·$2.3B·Restaurants·Consumer Cyclical
$56.97-1.8%YTD-31.1%1Y-57.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-14: 38 posts2026-07-15: 41 posts2026-07-16: 29 posts2026-07-17: 23 posts2026-07-18: 1 posts2026-07-19: 0 posts2026-07-20: 1 posts1360%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
SHSHAK
$SHAKShake Shack Inc.
$56.97-1.78%136 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SHAK, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-21

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Shake Shack down 58% TTM at 6% of 52-wk range — Q1 miss reset the growth thesis into August 5 print.

Shake Shack is the fast-casual burger operator (369+ Shacks globally, Olive Garden-adjacent full-service positioning) — a name that has essentially collapsed on Q1 execution miss and now sits at 6% of the 52-week range going into Q2 earnings.

  • The May 7 Q1 miss is the specific catalyst-that-fired: EPS surprise of -101% (-$0.001 vs $0.11 estimate) — the specific data point that broke the growth-multiple thesis and drove the -31% YTD move.
  • Growth is still real: Q1 2026 revenue of $367M was up 14.3% YoY after Q4 was +21.9% — the pattern showing topline is intact, but margin compression and traffic softness undermined the earnings quality.
  • Beat cadence broke: EPS surprises of -101%, +6.0%, +13.1%, +18.9% show a decisive negative reset — the pattern of an operator that lost sell-side confidence, and August 5 needs to reset the trajectory decisively.
  • The July 2 Christiane Pendarvis director appointment plus Tristan Walker's 8M-share withheld vote at the annual meeting are governance signals — added consumer/retail expertise but institutional dissatisfaction with the board is real.

Path forward is the August 5 Q2 print — need FY26 EPS $1.15 consensus holding plus explicit same-shack-sales commentary. What restarts the move: a beat-plus-raise plus explicit World Cup 2026 unit-economics guidance (Shake Shack was flagged as an early World Cup winner); what invalidates: another double-digit EPS miss or a walked-back FY26 EPS trajectory that questions the 51x TTM P/E.

What to watch: August 5 Q2 print — FY26 EPS $1.15 holding and same-shack-sales commentary matter most. A beat-plus-raise plus explicit World Cup 2026 unit-economics guidance is the specific extension catalyst.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-16

Shake Shack is repeatedly tagged as an overvalued idea trading near 300 P/E with one poster noting clients lost roughly 50% paying up for a fast-food burger chain. Josh Brown is referenced as a public buyer whose entry preceded the drawdown, and a Burger Wrap launch is mocked as a stock-fixing attempt. A single $300,000 9/18 $60 put sale provides the lone bullish counter-flow.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SHAK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Premium fast-casual burger chain known for Angus beef burgers, crinkle-cut fries, and milkshakes.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Restaurants sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SHAK.

Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Food input cost inflation is the margin headwind across the sector; Cracker Barrel's turnaround narrative and CAVA's Mediterranean expansion are the two..

What this means for $SHAK

Neutral — Premium fast-casual burger chain known for Angus beef burgers, crinkle-cut fries, and milkshakes; limited read-through from restaurants macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

18-name peer basket
+9.8%YTD
-13.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
51.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
2.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
8.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.00$0.11-101.3%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$0.37$0.35+6.0%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.36$0.32+13.1%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$0.44$0.37+18.9%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $0.33

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$366.7M+14.3%47.4%1.4%$-0.01$-17.2M
Q4 FY25$400.5M+21.9%-58.9%6.4%$0.29$4.0M
Q3 FY25$367.4M+15.9%47.9%5.0%$0.31$23.7M
Q2 FY25$356.5M+12.6%48.2%6.3%$0.43$26.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 20 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.7B$1.6B – $1.7B$1.15$0.77 – $1.5115
FY27$1.9B$1.8B – $2.0B$1.51$0.70 – $2.1320
FY28$2.1B$2.1B – $2.1B$2.04$1.74 – $2.339
FY29$2.5B$2.4B – $2.5B$2.10$2.03 – $2.184
FY30$2.8B$2.7B – $2.9B$2.61$2.52 – $2.714

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.6%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-31.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 38.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.635-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMay 15Josh SilvermanDirector8.3K sh$501KBuyMay 15Meyer Daniel HarrisDirector32.3K sh$2.0MBuyMay 15Sumaiya BalbaleDirector4.1K sh$250KBuyMay 15Jeffrey FlugDirector1.0K sh$61KBuyMay 15Robert LynchCEO5.0K sh$302KBuyMay 15Charles J ChapmanDirector2.0K sh$123KSellApr 15Sentell Stephanie AnnChief Operations Officer258 sh$26KSellMar 6Sentell Stephanie AnnChief Operations Officer225 sh$21K
+ 17 other (12 awards · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $SHAK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 73
AI summary

Shake Shack (SHAK) — Form 3 initial ownership for Christiane Pendarvis, appointed as a Director effective July 2, 2026. Pendarvis reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine director initial-ownership disclosure; no shares or options held.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Shake Shack expanded its Board of Directors from 8 to 9 members and appointed Christiane Pendarvis as a new Class II director, effective July 2, 2026. Pendarvis has served as Co-CEO of PATTERN Beauty By Tracee Ellis Ross since October 2023 and previously as Co-President of Savage X Fenty; she will join the Nominating & Corporate Governance Committee. The Board expansion adds consumer brand and retail operational expertise to Shake Shack's oversight.

8-KShareholder voteJun 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Shake Shack Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 10, 2026. Stockholders elected Class II directors Robert Lynch (31.3M For) and Tristan Walker (24.0M For, with 8.0M withheld — reflecting meaningful opposition); Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as auditor for fiscal year ending December 30, 2026 (36.6M For); and the advisory say-on-pay vote passed (30.0M For vs. 2.0M Against). Tristan Walker's lower vote total signals some institutional governance dissatisfaction but not a failed election. Routine annual governance with one notable dissent pattern.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

SHAK (SHAK) filed an 8-K under Reg FD (Item 7.01) to disclose a material corporate event. The filing involves a transaction or event valued at approximately $0. The disclosure covers information the company determined was material and required prompt public disclosure under SEC reporting obligations. Item 8.01 and Item 7.01 filings cover events not specifically addressed by other 8-K items but considered significant enough to warrant prompt investor notification.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 193
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of SHAK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at SHAK.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

SHAK (SHAK) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in Chief Executive Officer. Individuals named in the filing include The Securities, Employer Identification. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

SHAK (SHAK) reported financial results for first quarter in an 8-K filed under Item 2.02. The filing includes key financial metrics including revenue, operating income, and per-share results. Results of operations disclosures under Item 2.02 typically accompany an earnings press release furnished as an exhibit, making them available concurrently with the earnings call. These filings provide the market with transparent, timely financial performance data for investment analysis.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (5 13Gs · 3 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Shake Shack Stock Down 40% in 6 Months: Should You Buy the Dip?zacks.com·4d agoShake Shack: A Buy On A Deeper Dipseekingalpha.com·7d agoShake Shack vs. Texas Roadhouse: Which Popular Restaurant Chain Is the Better Stock to Buy in 2026?fool.com·10d agoBJRI or SHAK: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·13d agoFIFA World Cup 2026: Analysts see Robinhood, Adidas and Shake Shack as early winnersinvezz.com·21d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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