Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
$29.88-2.3%YTD-18.0%1Y-28.5%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
On X
The complete picture of $CMG on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.
1,137X posts · last 7 days
Chatter Meter
1.1×
How loud $CMG's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 84% of tracked names.
AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CMG — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.
What it does
Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.
Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Where Restaurants sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CMG.
Restaurants
No material change from last week — Value-trade-down sustains QSR at casual dining's expense.
What this means for $CMG
Partial — Operates fast-casual Mexican restaurants with digital ordering and loyalty platform, expanding internationally.
Industry benchmark
18-name peer basket
+7.7%YTD
-3.0%1Y
Fundamentals & catalyst
Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.
Key ratios
P/E
26.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.ROIC
18.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.Op margin
15.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.FCF yield
4.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).P/S
3.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.ROE
48.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.Gross margin
36.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.D/E
2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.Past earnings
QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.33$0.32+3.5%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.24$0.24+1.1%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$0.25$0.24+5.0%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.29$0.29+1.5%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $0.29
Quarterly trend
QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.1B+7.4%68.4%12.9%$0.23$471.0M
Q4 FY25$3.0B+4.9%23.4%14.9%$0.25$228.4M
Q3 FY25$3.0B+7.5%24.5%16.6%$0.29$406.2M
Q2 FY25$3.1B+3.0%27.4%18.8%$0.32$400.7M
Forward consensus
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$13.0B$12.9B – $13.1B$1.15$1.11 – $1.2126
FY27$14.4B$14.2B – $14.6B$1.37$1.29 – $1.4626
FY28$15.9B$15.3B – $17.1B$1.59$1.53 – $1.7614
FY29$18.4B$18.1B – $19.0B$1.96$1.91 – $2.038
FY30$19.1B$18.7B – $19.7B$2.04$1.99 – $2.1212
Setup & momentum
Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.
Right now
Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.13%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-13.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.
Float & profile
FloatMega float · 1.3B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.965-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.
Insider activity
Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.
SEC filings
Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.
Recent material filings
3New insider — initial holdingsSep 153
AI summary
8-KOfficer or director changeSep 148-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary
8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary
8-KShareholder voteJun 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary
3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 278-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary
+ 13 other (5 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 8-K) in window
Recent news
Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.
Why Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Dipped More Than Broader Market TodayChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. $CMG Shares Purchased by Assenagon Asset Management S.A.Here's What History Says Q4 Will Bring for Chipotle (CMG) StockChipotle faces near-term sales pressures but UBS sees stronger growth in 2027Here is What to Know Beyond Why Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is a Trending Stock
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