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CACAKE

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$CAKE·$3.8B·Restaurants·Consumer Cyclical
$77.19+2.2%YTD+52.5%1Y+31.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-11: 213 posts2026-06-12: 223 posts2026-06-13: 309 posts2026-06-14: 352 posts2026-06-15: 437 posts2026-06-16: 501 posts2026-06-17: 493 posts2,553+23%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
CACAKE
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated$CAKE
$77.19+2.21%2.6k posts+23%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CAKE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-06-18

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Sit-down restaurant chain quietly at 52-week highs — boring boring boring and that's the trade.

The Cheesecake Factory is the casual-dining restaurant operator that has spent years rebuilding traffic post-COVID — Q1 revenue grew 5.6% YoY to $979M at a 5.6% operating margin and $52M of FCF, with EPS beating consensus modestly ($1.05 vs $1.03). At a trailing P/E of 21x and FCF yield of 4.6% the multiple is fair, with debt-to-equity of 4.7x reflecting an asset-heavy operating model. The stock sits at 96% of the 52-week range, 19% above the 50-day MA and 32% above the 200-day with beta 1.05 — a measured uptrend with no fireworks. The fundamentals aren't dramatic and the X corpus has no signal on this name; the chart is doing the heavy lifting on its own.

What to watch: August 4 print: same-store-sales (the binary growth question for casual dining), commodity-cost pressure on margins, and any explicit unit-count guide. A SSS print under 3% reads as decelerating; a clean SSS plus margin expansion extends the run to fresh highs.

On the calendar: 2026-08-04 — Q2 earnings

no sentiment

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-18

PancakeSwap secured the #6 spot in the DeFi category of Fortune's list and launched a SPCXB-USDT farm with turbo $CAKE rewards as Binance's bStocks (1:1 backed tokenized securities) went live on the platform - just in time for the SpaceX IPO bringing SPCX trading on-chain. Cheesecake Factory equity reference shows up as a +3% intraday gainer alongside ASML. Tone is uniformly bullish on the PancakeSwap fundamental run.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CAKE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated primarily operates restaurants. The company also maintains two bakeries that produce its signature cheesecakes and other baked goods. These products are distributed to its own restaurant network, international licensees, external foodservice operators, third-party bakery customers, retailers, and distributors. The Cheesecake Factory operates 306 restaurants across the United States and Canada, featuring brands such as 208 The Cheesecake Factory locations, 29 North Italia outlets, and various Fox Restaurant Concepts. Furthermore, 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants are run internationally under licensing agreements. Founded in 1972, the company's headquarters are located in Calabasas, California.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Restaurants sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CAKE.

Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical

Food input cost inflation is the margin headwind across the sector; Cracker Barrel's turnaround narrative and CAVA's Mediterranean expansion are the two stories this week. QSR operators (MCD, YUM, WEN) absorb commodity cost through menu pricing and AI-driven operational efficiency; Cracker Barrel's restructuring is the recovery narrative.

See how Restaurants shapes $CAKE

  • Where the industry is in its cycle and the catalysts moving it now
  • What this means specifically for $CAKE's next move
  • Peer-basket or ETF benchmark you can use to gut-check the read
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Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
+9.9%YTD
-13.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
21.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
38.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
62.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.05$1.03+1.9%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$1.00$0.98+2.0%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$0.68$0.60+13.3%
Q2 2025Jul 29, 2025$1.16$1.06+9.4%
Next earningsTue, Aug 4·consensus EPS $1.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$978.8M+5.6%15.8%5.6%$1.06$52.2M
Q4 FY25$961.6M+4.4%78.4%3.5%$0.62$50.1M
Q3 FY25$907.2M+4.8%78.2%4.1%$0.68$53.6M
Q2 FY25$955.8M+5.7%78.5%6.8%$1.18$15.3M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.9B$3.9B – $3.9B$4.04$3.71 – $4.2815
FY27$4.2B$4.1B – $4.2B$4.46$4.01 – $4.7115
FY28$4.5B$4.5B – $4.5B$4.95$4.91 – $5.006

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.96%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+19.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+32.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Know if $CAKE is setting up — or just chopping

  • Volume multiple vs 30-day baseline — catch unusual interest before the move
  • Position vs 50d & 200d MAs and 52-week range — trend direction at a glance
  • Float bucket, beta, and active-offering flags — what kind of stock you're trading
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Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 2Alexander L CappelloDirector2.5K sh$162KSellMay 1David OvertonChair104.0K sh$6.3MSellMar 10Scarlett MayEVP, GENERAL COUNSEL5.2K sh$328KSellFeb 25Spero G AlexEVP Operations - CFRI4.8K sh$316KSellFeb 25Clark Matthew EliotCFO7.0K sh$460KSellFeb 25Ashley W HanscomPRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER3.0K sh$194KSellFeb 23Alexander L CappelloDirector635 sh$40K
+ 26 other (16 inkinds · 9 awards · 1 exempt) in window

See when $CAKE insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated filed an 8-K (Item 5.07) on June 3, 2026 reporting the results of its annual shareholder meeting held May 28, 2026. The excerpt is boilerplate header only; the specific vote tallies on director elections, say-on-pay, auditor ratification, and any other proposals are in the attached exhibit. This is a routine shareholder vote disclosure with no indication of contested proposals.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated filed an 8-K covering Items 2.02 (earnings), 7.01 (Reg FD), and 8.01 (other events) on April 29, 2026, dated April 23, 2026. The multi-item structure suggests this combines Q1 earnings results, an investor presentation, and a separate material disclosure. The excerpt is XBRL header only with no financial data visible. The Item 8.01 alongside earnings makes this filing more substantive than a routine quarterly report — any restaurant concept expansion or capital return announcement would be the incremental news.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 318-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 253
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 188-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 10 other (5 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's Why Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is a Strong Growth Stockzacks.com·15d agoThe Cheesecake Factory Celebrates Dads With Special Online Gift Card Offerbusinesswire.com·15d agoCheesecake Factory (CAKE) Up 2.2% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?zacks.com·21d agoHere's Why Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is a Strong Value Stockzacks.com·23d agoCheesecake Factory: Scenes From An Italian Restaurantseekingalpha.com·29d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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