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BRBROS

Dutch Bros Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 31% YoYRecent insider buyingConsistent chatter on X (202/wk), no spike
$BROS·$7.6B·Restaurants·Consumer Cyclical
$43.90+1.1%YTD-28.5%1Y-34.0%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 8h ago
BRBROS
$BROSDutch Bros Inc.
$43.90+1.06%200 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $BROS on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

200X posts · last 7 days
Aug 29Sep 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $BROS's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-11

Dutch Bros is bullish on X — beat, raised guidance, grew revenue 32% — stock still thrown out of the drive-thru, framed as opportunity in a crushed cohort (-26% MoM). $387K into $50 January call LEAPs; SoCal expansion; long runway from $8B to potentially $80B in a couple years.

Read what X is saying about $BROS

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BROS — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-11

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Dutch Bros beat and raised — and got thrown out of the drive-thru anyway. Down 26% in a month.

Dutch Bros is the small-format drive-thru coffee chain that has been executing operationally with 32% revenue growth and rising same-store sales, and yet the tape has walked away — the stock is at 0.5% of its 52-week range despite beating Q2 and raising guidance.

  • The mechanics contradict the tape: Q1 revenue grew 30.8% YoY at 22.8% gross margin and 7.7% operating margin — those are healthy scale numbers for a rapidly expanding restaurant chain, and the FY26 EPS consensus of $0.96 supports a real earnings story.
  • The competitive shadow is real: Starbucks is up 24% YTD while Dutch Bros is down 24% — the pool is drawing the direct comparison, and while BROS's unit growth is faster, the multiple compression comes from consumer-cyclical pressure on smaller chains vs the incumbent.
  • The technical setup is genuinely breaking down: at 0.5% of the 52-week range, below both moving averages, with volume 1.25x normal and 4.4% of float traded on the day — the market is actively repricing the multiple lower, not just cooling off.

The setup restarts if Nov 4 Q3 earnings shows same-store sales growth accelerating to 5-6% AND management confirms unit-growth guidance intact. Another quarter of soft comps plus another shelf-registration (S-3ASR filed Sept 3) is what confirms the breakdown extends toward $36.

Agrees with X sentimentX frames Dutch Bros as beating and raising guidance yet down 26% in a month, with a $36-40 buy zone and $120 long-term targets plus $387K in January LEAPs into the $50 strike. Skeptics group BROS with DKS/CRDO/KLAR/AEHR as 'crushed' names in falling-knife territory. The mechanics agree — 32% revenue growth doesn't match a 24% YTD drawdown, which is exactly the value tension the pool is pricing.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — same-store sales growth (needs 5-6% to prove the comp target), unit-growth guidance, and any shelf-registration issuance under the recent S-3ASR. Another quarter of soft comps plus a shelf-drawdown announcement is what confirms the breakdown; a comp beat plus reiterated unit-growth guidance is the reset trigger.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $BROS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Drive-thru coffee and beverage chain expanding rapidly across US Sun Belt and western states through company-owned and franchise locations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Restaurants sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BROS.

Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical

Fast-casual and QSR are gaining share from casual dining as value-conscious consumers trade down; AI-driven dynamic pricing and digital ordering are the operational efficiency levers. Same-store-sales deceleration is the key near-term risk as consumer wallet tightens.

What this means for $BROS

Partial — Dutch Bros coffee drive-thru; rapid unit expansion, digital loyalty app, premium beverage trade-down risk.

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
+5.0%YTD
-9.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
104.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.33$0.29+14.0%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.16$0.160.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.17$0.10+70.0%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.19$0.17+13.6%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.23

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$464.4M+30.8%22.8%7.7%$0.13$27.7M
Q4 FY25$443.6M+29.4%24.1%7.7%$0.17$8.5M
Q3 FY25$423.6M+25.2%25.2%9.8%$0.14$18.9M
Q2 FY25$415.8M+28.0%28.9%13.1%$0.20$35.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1B$2.1B – $2.2B$0.96$0.92 – $0.9814
FY27$2.7B$2.6B – $2.7B$1.26$1.02 – $1.3814
FY28$3.2B$3.1B – $3.5B$1.61$1.26 – $1.798
FY29$3.9B$3.9B – $4.1B$1.97$1.92 – $2.076
FY30$4.6B$4.5B – $4.8B$2.46$2.39 – $2.596

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-23.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-23.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 122.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.295-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 13Penegor Todd AllanDirector2.0K sh$103KSellJun 11Dm Trust Aggregator, Llc10% owner488.9K sh$30.8MSellJun 11Travis BoersmaChair750.0K sh$47.3MSellJun 11Dm Individual Aggregator, Llc10% owner261.1K sh$16.5MSellJun 10Travis BoersmaChair750.0K sh$45.3MSellJun 10Dm Individual Aggregator, Llc10% owner261.1K sh$15.8MSellJun 10Dm Trust Aggregator, Llc10% owner488.9K sh$29.5MSellJun 10Christine BaroneCEO42.0K sh$2.5MSellJun 1Dm Trust Aggregator, Llc10% owner291.6K sh$17.0MSellJun 1Dm Individual Aggregator, Llc10% owner155.7K sh$9.1M
1–10 of 20
+ 18 other (12 exempts · 5 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $BROS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationSep 3S-3ASR
AI summary

Dutch Bros (BROS) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (Form S-3ASR) as a large accelerated filer, allowing it to offer an unspecified amount of securities in the future. No specific offering size, terms, or use of proceeds were disclosed. This is a routine capital markets housekeeping filing.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

BROS reported financial results for second. Full results are disclosed in a press release filed as Exhibit 99.1. Item 2.02 mandates simultaneous disclosure of material earnings data, ensuring all investors receive results at the same time. Investors should review the attached exhibit for complete financial figures and any forward guidance from BROS management.

8-K/AShareholder vote (amended)May 198-K/A — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Dutch Bros Inc. filed Amendment No. 1 to its May 15, 2026 Form 8-K solely to correct the registrant's principal executive offices address on the cover page (updating from the prior Oregon address to the new Tempe, Arizona address). The underlying 2026 Annual Meeting vote results — reported in the original filing — are unchanged: approximately 95.2% of combined voting power was present and all 9 director nominees were duly elected. No material changes to the previously reported voting outcomes were made.

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Dutch Bros Inc. held its 2026 Annual Stockholders' Meeting on May 13, 2026 with approximately 95.2% of combined voting power present. All 9 director nominees were elected — Travis Boersma, Christine Barone, C. David Cone, Stephen Gillett, G.J. Hart, Kory Marchisotto, Scott Maw, Ann Miller, and Todd Penegor — each to serve until the 2027 Annual Meeting. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as independent auditor; all proposals passed without significant opposition.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Scott Harlan Maw filed a Form 3 as a newly elected director of Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS), with an event date of May 13, 2026 (the Annual Meeting), reporting no direct or indirect securities beneficially owned as of that date. Maw was among the 9 directors elected at the May 13, 2026 Annual Meeting (as reported in JOB 72). Routine initial Section 16 beneficial ownership disclosure for a newly elected board member.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) announced fiscal Q1 2026 financial results (quarter ended March 31, 2026) via press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and signed by CFO Joshua Guenser. The filing is furnished under Exchange Act Regulation FD and is not filed for Section 18 liability purposes. No specific revenue or earnings figures are disclosed in the filing body itself.

+ 13 other (8 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Dutch Bros (BROS) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insightszacks.com·2d agoDutch Bros (BROS) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?zacks.com·4d agoStarbucks Is Up 24% This Year While Dutch Bros Is Down 24%. Here's Why Only 1 of These Coffee Stocks Is a Buy in September.fool.com·4d agoCan BROS Meet Its 5-6% Comp Target in 2026 Amid Tougher Comparisons?zacks.com·10d agoDutch Bros (BROS) is a Top-Ranked Growth Stock: Should You Buy?zacks.com·10d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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