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CACAVA

CAVA Group, Inc.

$CAVA·$8.4B·Restaurants·Consumer Cyclical
$68.85+1.1%YTD+16.8%1Y-20.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 46 posts2026-07-11: 34 posts2026-07-12: 46 posts2026-07-13: 78 posts2026-07-14: 50 posts2026-07-15: 97 posts2026-07-16: 76 posts428+19%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
CACAVA
$CAVACAVA Group, Inc.
$68.85+1.10%428 posts+19%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CAVA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

CAVA down 21% in a year but up 18% YTD — Mediterranean fast-casual with real growth digesting the multiple.

CAVA Group is the Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain — grain bowls, pitas, and dips positioned as the health-oriented Chipotle for the 2020s. The stock has been volatile, down 21% over the past year but up 18% YTD, as the market debates whether the growth trajectory justifies the multiple.

  • Revenue grew 32% YoY last quarter with an 8% operating margin — real acceleration off the store-count expansion; comps improved and management confirmed the FY26 expansion remains on track.
  • Trades at 137x TTM earnings, 6.6x sales — expensive multiples that only make sense if the same-store sales acceleration continues; the Jersey Mike's IPO at $12B provides one framing comparison for CAVA's own run potential.
  • The June 22 amended Executive Severance Plan — narrowing eligibility and adjusting terms — is a governance refresh signal; not a strategic change but reflects management aligning compensation with the growth-mode positioning.
  • Zero insider selling in the last 30 days (June 24 director awards were routine) — clean absence of distributing signal even as the tape has cooled from recent highs.
  • 52-week position 47th percentile with position vs 50-day MA -12% — the tape has cooled hard from the peak; the 0.618 fib support zone becomes the key technical level.

August 11 Q2 earnings is the reset moment: same-store sales held above 15% plus a raised FY26 comp guide is what confirms the setup; a modest print or same-store deceleration is where the multiple compresses toward 4x sales. Real growth restaurant chain with real cash flow trajectory — the setup is asymmetric event-heavy and depends on comp durability.

Agrees with X sentimentThe mixed X read on the 0.618/0.786 fib entry setup, the Wave 3 target framing, and the Jersey Mike's IPO comparison is analytically fair on the technical setup. The restaurant industry moving above 50/200-DMAs provides sector support.

What to watch: Aug 11 Q2 earnings — need same-store sales held above 15% and a raised FY26 comp guide. A modest print or same-store deceleration is where the multiple compresses toward 4x sales.

On the calendar: 2026-08-11 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

CAVA is being called out as Morgan Stanley's clean pick within the fast-casual complex. Morgan Stanley upgraded CAVA from Equal-weight to Overweight and raised its price target from $86 to $90, explicitly excluding CAVA from the fast-casual dining sector upgrade only for WEN, which they still see as not showing improvement. Morgan Stanley expects CAVA's Q2 and FY guidance to be on track. Bulls note the stock is 25% off its April highs but the chart remains in an uptrend and describe the level as a favorable position to add. One buyer described buying 50k in a single unit today and being 'the only buyer of CAVA today.' There is no substantive bear thread in the sample; sentiment is uniformly constructive with the caveat of a slightly weak intraday tape.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CAVA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Owns and operates fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants; high-growth brand expanding unit count across US markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Restaurants sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CAVA.

Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Food input cost inflation is the margin headwind across the sector; Cracker Barrel's turnaround narrative and CAVA's Mediterranean expansion are the two..

What this means for $CAVA

Partial — Owns and operates fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants; high-growth brand expanding unit count across US markets; the food input cost inflation and pricing power margin management is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
+7.3%YTD
-16.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
137.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
7.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
7.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
18.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 19, 2026$0.20$0.17+17.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$0.04$0.03+33.3%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.12$0.13-7.7%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$0.16$0.13+23.1%
Next earningsTue, Aug 11·consensus EPS $0.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$438.3M+32.1%19.6%7.9%$0.20$15.5M
Q4 FY25$275.0M+20.9%14.9%3.1%$0.04$2.9M
Q3 FY25$292.2M+19.9%18.7%8.0%$0.13$1.4M
Q2 FY25$280.6M+20.2%20.6%9.2%$0.16$19.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 20 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.5B$1.4B – $1.5B$0.55$0.49 – $0.5920
FY27$1.8B$1.5B – $1.9B$0.75$0.63 – $0.8520
FY28$2.2B$2.2B – $2.2B$1.06$1.01 – $1.1110
FY29$2.5B$2.3B – $2.6B$1.39$1.24 – $1.448
FY30$3.0B$2.7B – $3.1B$1.80$1.60 – $1.878

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-3.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 107.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.695-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 18Karen KochevarDirector10.0K sh$900KSellJun 17Kelly CostanzaChief People Officer12.5K sh$1.1MSellJun 15Phillips Adam DavidChief Accounting Officer757 sh$68KSellJun 15Artal Participations S.a R.l.Director3.0M sh$270.9MSellJun 15Tricia K. TolivarCFO5.0K sh$444KSellJun 15Theodoros XenohristosChief Concept Officer3.3K sh$291KSellJun 15Kelly CostanzaChief People Officer2.9K sh$257KSellJun 15Brett SchulmanCEO33.2K sh$3.0MSellJun 12Phillips Adam DavidChief Accounting Officer4.7K sh$423KBuyJun 3Kadow Joseph JohnCLO & Secretary1.0K sh$70K
1–10 of 30
+ 17 other (13 awards · 4 exempts) in window

See when $CAVA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

CAVA Group's Compensation Committee amended and restated its Executive Severance Plan on June 22, 2026. Key changes: the eligible population was narrowed to current and future Executive Leadership Team members, and participants must now sign a Release and Restrictive Covenants agreement to receive severance benefits. The filing also covers annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Routine administrative tightening of severance eligibility and addition of post-separation restrictive covenants for top executives.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 293
AI summary

Kadow Joseph John filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of CAVA securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of one share of the Issuer's common stock,. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at CAVA.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CAVA Group Inc. (CAVA) filed an 8-K on or around April 16 under Item 5.02 reporting a departure, appointment, or compensation change for a named executive officer or director. The Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain disclosed the affected individual's identity, role, effective date, and any material transition terms. Leadership continuity is a key factor for investors in the high-growth restaurant company. Full details are provided in the filing.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 113
+ 13 other (6 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Should You Invest in Cava (CAVA) Based on Bullish Wall Street Views?zacks.com·2d agoHere Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Allstate, AMC Entertainment, Boeing, CAVA Group, Check Point Software, Digital Realty Trust, FedEx, IBM, UPS, and More247wallst.com·3d agoCava Group (CAVA) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Knowzacks.com·3d agoCAVA Group: Expansion Remains On Track As Comps Improveseekingalpha.com·4d agoInvestors Heavily Search CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA): Here is What You Need to Knowzacks.com·9d ago

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Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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