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RIRIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

$RIVN·$21B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$16.52+1.6%YTD-16.5%1Y+20.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-10: 556 posts2026-06-11: 492 posts2026-06-12: 273 posts2026-06-13: 53 posts2026-06-14: 170 posts2026-06-15: 176 posts2026-06-16: 200 posts1,955+9%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
RIRIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.$RIVN
$16.52+1.60%2.0k posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RIVN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-06-19

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Rivian just launched the R2, cut hundreds of jobs, and has the founder-CEO methodically selling stock at $15 — the path to profitability is the entire bull case.

Rivian designs and builds electric pickups, SUVs, and commercial delivery vans (initially in partnership with Amazon, now broader). The R2 mid-size SUV just launched to strong first-drive reviews — first-drive reviews compared it favorably to Mercedes vs Tesla-Kia — and on the same day the company announced layoffs affecting under 2% of the workforce in a stated push toward profitability. The standalone numbers are still painful: Q1 26 revenue ran $1.38B at +11% YoY with gross margin barely positive at 8.6%, operating margin at -64%, and EPS at a $0.33 loss. The stock is down 16% YTD but up 20% over twelve months. CEO RJ Scaringe sold $522K of stock at $15 on May 28, CFO McDonough cleared $379K across May-June, and an active S-3 shelf was filed April 30 (capital-raise capacity available). A June 18 owner-lawsuit alleges false self-driving promises. The R2-launch-volume-ramp is the entire bet; without it, the federal-tax-credit expiration cools demand and the equity continues to chop.

Agrees with X sentimentBoth bull and bear camps in the X chatter are right — the R2 launch reception is genuinely strong, AND the federal-tax-credit expiration plus the layoffs do signal pressure on demand. The honest read is that this is a 12-month inflection bet on R2 volume ramp, not a 'multi-year downtrend ending' chart pattern.

What to watch: Aug 4 Q2 print and R2 production-ramp commentary — needs to show R2 delivery volume building above 5K/quarter into Q3 to validate the launch demand. Any guide cut on full-year deliveries or a fresh shelf takedown breaks the turnaround setup.

On the calendar: 2026-08-04 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠87 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-18 · top-engagement diverged

Rivian's narrative is bifurcated between the R2 launch enthusiasm with first-drive reviews calling it a Mercedes versus Tesla-Kia comparison and the announcement of hundreds of layoffs across service and customer teams affecting less than 2 percent of the workforce. Bulls cite RJ Scaringe's commitment to ship full supervised point-to-point FSD-equivalent autonomy later this year across all Gen 2 and R2 vehicles, plus a Kagi-chart bullish flip for the first time ever signaling potential end of the multi-year downtrend. Bears flag the $7,500 federal tax credit expiration cooling demand. Positioning chatter is split with conviction-buyers accumulating sub-$20 and skeptics calling it a growth-stock-without-growth.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RIVN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures electric pickup trucks (R1T) and SUVs (R1S) for consumers, plus electric delivery vans for Amazon under a strategic partnership.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RIVN.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings. OpenAI's robotics division launch this week adds a new competitive vector to Tesla's FSD/robotaxi moat, while NIO and XPEV budget-model expansion continues compressing Tesla China pricing.

What this means for $RIVN

Headwind — Rivian's R1T and R1S compete directly with Tesla in premium EV pickup/SUV; Amazon van contract is the differentiated moat, but Tesla pricing pressure and OpenAI robotics entry into autonomous delivery create dual headwinds.

See how Auto - Manufacturers shapes $RIVN

  • Where the industry is in its cycle and the catalysts moving it now
  • What this means specifically for $RIVN's next move
  • Peer-basket or ETF benchmark you can use to gut-check the read
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Industry benchmark

8-name peer basket
-14.6%YTD
+4.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-5.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-30.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-68.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-70.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-1.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.55$-0.63+13.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.54$-0.71+23.8%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.70$-0.74+5.3%
Q2 2025Aug 5, 2025$-0.80$-0.65-23.7%
Next earningsTue, Aug 4·consensus EPS $-0.66

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B+11.4%8.6%-63.8%$-0.33$-526.0M
Q4 FY25$1.3B-25.8%3.2%-64.8%$-0.66$-1.1B
Q3 FY25$1.6B+78.3%-3.1%-63.1%$-0.96$-421.0M
Q2 FY25$1.3B+12.5%-15.8%-85.5%$-0.97$-398.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$6.3B – $7.4B-$2.45-$3.09 – -$2.2018
FY27$11.7B$9.8B – $13.0B-$1.95-$2.88 – -$1.5118
FY28$17.1B$17.0B – $17.2B-$1.31-$2.82 – $0.0116
FY29$27.2B$23.0B – $33.1B-$0.40-$0.51 – -$0.3215
FY30$34.9B$29.6B – $42.5B$0.41$0.33 – $0.5315

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 784.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.625-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Know if $RIVN is setting up — or just chopping

  • Volume multiple vs 30-day baseline — catch unusual interest before the move
  • Position vs 50d & 200d MAs and 52-week range — trend direction at a glance
  • Float bucket, beta, and active-offering flags — what kind of stock you're trading
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Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 3Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$144KSellMay 29Claire McdonoughCFO8.0K sh$128KSellMay 28Robert J ScaringeCEO34.8K sh$522KSellMay 21Claire McdonoughCFO7.6K sh$106KSellMay 18Claire McdonoughCFO5.5K sh$74KBuyMay 15Aidan N. GomezDirector18.0K sh$251KBuyApr 30Ag Volkswagen10% owner62.9M sh$999.9MSellApr 22Claire McdonoughCFO10.2K sh$184KSellApr 14Robert J ScaringeCEO21.4K sh$347KSellMar 31Robert J ScaringeCEO20.3K sh$304K
1–10 of 17
+ 32 other (16 awards · 15 inkinds · 1 return) in window

See when $RIVN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KUnregistered equity saleMay 48-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

RIVN filed an 8-K (Item 3.02) dated 2026-05-04. – Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities In April 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) achieved Milestone #1 as defined in the Subscription Agreement dated March 18, 2026 (the “Subscription Agreement”) that the Company entered into with SMB Holding Corporation (“SMB”) and Uber Technologies, Inc. (“Uber”), which was.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 30S-3ASR
AI summary

RIVN filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-30. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

RIVN entered into a amendment (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-30). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KUnregistered equity saleApr 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

RIVN reported first quarter ended March 31, 2026 . The full text of financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

RIVN filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-02. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 198-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

RIVN entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-19). Size: approximately $300 million. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJan 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

EVs Are Out of the Headlines. That's Exactly Why These 2 Stocks Are Buys.fool.com·16h agoRivian owners file lawsuit alleging false promises on self-driving featurestechcrunch.com·17h agoRivian owners sue over false promises on self-driving featurestechcrunch.com·17h agoRivian layoffs: Electric SUV maker slashes hundreds of jobs in bid for profitability after R2 launchfastcompany.com·2d agoRivian Is Cutting Jobs Right After Launching the R2. Is the Profitability Story Getting Stronger or Weaker?fool.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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