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LILI

Li Auto Inc.

$LI·$12B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$12.03+2.3%YTD-30.6%1Y-53.9%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 3d ago
LILI
$LILi Auto Inc.
$12.03+2.30%93 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $LI on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

93X posts · last 7 days
Sep 1Sep 14
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $LI's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-09

Chinese EV bulls remain conflicted. August units land NIO 35.8K vs XPEV 39.1K vs LI 37.7K — but Q2 vehicle margins are NIO 18.5%, XPEV 12.1%, LI 9.4%. Li Auto did just launch the RMB 509,800 MEGA Home with a double-lane-change test at 120 km/h. Bulls point to NIO's rising cash pile; the price-to-sales pitch favors $NIO.

Read what X is saying about $LI

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $LI — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-17

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Li Auto stuck between softer volumes and shrinking margins — the Chinese-EV cohort favorite lost its lead.

Li Auto is a Chinese new-energy-vehicle maker best known for its extended-range electric-vehicle (EREV) SUVs plus a growing pure-electric MEGA lineup — a name that led the Chinese-EV race in 2024 but has been running behind NIO and XPeng in 2026. Shares are down 31% YTD and 54% year-on-year, sitting at 3% of the 52-week range.

  • Revenue is contracting on all fronts: Q2 revenue fell 16% YoY to RMB 25.6B with a -8.6% operating margin, and Q1 fell 12% — the model has broken cadence and the last quarterly EPS surprise was -2,400% versus consensus, effectively catastrophic.
  • The catalyst set is thin: Li Auto launched the Li i9 flagship family SUV and the RMB 509,800 MEGA Home with double-lane-change testing — real product moves, but at 9.4% vehicle-margins (versus NIO 18.5% and XPeng 12.1%) the pricing power isn't translating. August units at 37.7K trailed XPEV 39.1K.

Nov 25 Q3 earnings is the check — a fresh Li i9 pre-order print plus an August-to-October volume improvement is what could restart the story, while another quarter of margin compression or a European tariff shock is what would seal the break-down.

Agrees with X sentimentLine up with the conflicted X read — the August unit split (NIO 35.8K vs XPEV 39.1K vs LI 37.7K) plus Q2 vehicle-margin gap (Li 9.4% vs NIO 18.5% vs XPEV 12.1%) is real, and the tape's rotation toward NIO on price-to-sales math is honest. Li's Q3 needs a real reset to recapture leadership.

What to watch: Nov 25 Q3 earnings for Li i9 pre-order data, vehicle margins, and any commentary on European tariff response. A Li i9 volume beat plus margin recovery restarts the story; another margin-compression quarter or European tariff shock confirms the break.

On the calendar: 2026-11-25 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $LI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Chinese EV maker selling profitable extended-range electric SUVs via direct sales, a rare profitable OEM in a competitive market.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LI.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

JPMorgan's robotaxi note shows cash flows concentrating at TSLA equity rather than a public network; Goldman's 6.5M humanoid robot forecast doubles down on Tesla as the multi-platform beneficiary of autonomous buildout. Legacy OEMs remain caught between tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV scale-up while Chinese brands (BYD, NIO) continue compressing mid-market pricing.

What this means for $LI

Direct beneficiary — profitable extended-range EV model insulates from pure-BEV price wars; direct sales across premium SUVs and MPVs limits channel friction in a margin-pressured cohort.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
-22.1%YTD
-23.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-18.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-6.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-21.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-6.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
13.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 26, 2026$-0.25$-0.01-2400.0%
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$-0.33$-0.27-24.2%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$0.04$0.03+38.1%
Q3 2025Nov 26, 2025$-0.09$0.04-325.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 25·consensus EPS $-0.11

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$25.6B-15.7%11.0%-8.6%$-1.70—
Q1 FY26$22.8B-12.1%7.9%-12.9%$-2.28$-7.4B
Q4 FY25$28.4B-32.4%17.8%-1.9%$0.01$951.0M
Q3 FY25$27.4B-36.5%16.3%-4.7%$-0.62$-6.3B

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$113.9B$106.9B – $133.8B-$3.61-$18.06 – $9.6316
FY27$144.7B$125.4B – $170.7B$1.51-$0.42 – $2.7621
FY28$164.5B$112.1B – $233.1B$4.69-$1.52 – $12.0026

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-23.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 535.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.545-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 5 other (3 awards · 1 exempt · 1 inkind) in window

See when $LI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 43 other (40 6-Ks · 1 SC TO-I/A · 1 20-F · 1 SC TO-I) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

EV Charging Stocks Climb as Small Caps Catch a Bid: Blink Charging Jumps 6%, ChargePoint Rises 4%, EVgo Ticks Up247wallst.com·1d agoLi Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR (LI) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on Itzacks.com·1d agoLi Auto Inc. Launches Li i9, a Pioneering Flagship Family SUVglobenewswire.com·1d agoLi Auto Inc (LI) Stock Up 3.1% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 69/100gurufocus.com·3d agoChina's Auto Slump Masks Record NEV Penetration & Robust Exportszacks.com·7d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $LI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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