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ININTC

Intel Corp.

$INTC·$552B·Semiconductors·Technology
$95.04-2.0%YTD+156.8%1Y+327.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 2,273 posts2026-07-10: 2,116 posts2026-07-11: 454 posts2026-07-12: 2,343 posts2026-07-13: 3,348 posts2026-07-14: 4,097 posts2026-07-15: 5,651 posts20,609+23%
Price updated 44m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ININTC
$INTCIntel Corp.
$95.04-2.00%21k posts+23%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $INTC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The turnaround is finally believable — the stock has already priced most of it in.

Intel is trying to complete the hardest turnaround in semiconductors: becoming a viable foundry while defending its CPU share against AMD. The stock has run massively on Trump-administration support and foundry-progress optimism, and now has to prove the operational reset.

How the setup reads:

  • The narrative shifted in a fundamental way: the White House is functionally acting as Intel's foundry salesforce, with Commerce Secretary Lutnick openly pitching Nvidia, Apple and Tesla as customers — the closest thing to a demand backstop a struggling foundry can have.
  • The tape reflects it in force: up 327% over the last twelve months, so every skeptic has been forced to cover, and Intel's market cap is back above Exxon Mobil.
  • Fundamentals still have to catch up: TTM operating margin is -9.4% — the foundry-breakeven guide this quarter is the specific number that would say the story is more than sentiment.
  • The move is now cooling: sitting 17% below its 50-day with today's 5.8% drop, the tape signals expectations have run ahead of fundamentals catching up.

The turnaround thesis is credible in a way it wasn't a year ago — political backing plus a foundry ramp finally producing progress. But the stock is priced for the recovery, so the next print has to show foundry-breakeven holding and CPU share stabilizing. A miss on either turns cooling into breaking-down.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish pre-earnings on the Trump-admin narrative and the Stifel target raise, and both are real drivers. The gap the crowd is under-pricing is that a 327% twelve-month move means the recovery is already discounted — the next print has to confirm the sentiment rather than extend it.

What to watch: The upcoming Q print — foundry segment approaching breakeven, CPU market share stabilizing against AMD, and any signed customer beyond the announced ones. Anything short cools this further; confirmation resumes the run.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment77 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Intel chatter reads pre-earnings bullish. Stifel reiterated Hold but raised its price target to $120 (from $75), the base breakout is being described as clean, and market cap has re-crossed above Exxon Mobil. The dominant narrative is that the Trump administration is functionally acting as Intel's business-development and HR arm - Lutnick is openly trying to secure NVIDIA, Apple or Elon as foundry customers - while Intel Foundry is guided to breakeven this quarter and packaging progress from ECTC 2026 is being framed as a genuine advanced-node moat. Bears flag a $2M put whale for July 31, the JPMorgan Q3 short thesis on execution, and continued CPU-share leakage to AMD, but sentiment leans firmly long.

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures x86 CPUs for PCs and data centers while building a foundry business for third-party chips.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $INTC.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $INTC

Direct beneficiary — Designs and manufactures x86 CPUs for PCs and data centers while building a foundry business for third-party chips; primary revenue lines track directly to the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+54.2%YTD
+96.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-183.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-2.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-9.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
10.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
35.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.29$0.02+1428.7%
Q4 2025Jan 22, 2026$0.15$0.08+84.4%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.23$0.02+1191.4%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$-0.10$0.01-929.2%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $0.21

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$13.6B+7.2%39.4%-23.1%$-0.73$-2.5B
Q4 FY25$13.7B-4.1%36.1%4.0%$-0.12$800.0M
Q3 FY25$13.7B+2.8%38.2%5.0%$0.90$121.0M
Q2 FY25$12.9B+0.2%27.5%-24.7%$-0.67$-1.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 32 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$58.5B$56.1B – $59.8B$1.08$0.97 – $1.2432
FY27$65.5B$61.2B – $71.9B$1.58$1.03 – $2.4131
FY28$72.9B$72.5B – $73.4B$2.42$0.80 – $3.7522
FY29$86.6B$80.3B – $96.1B$3.62$3.28 – $4.1411
FY30$114.5B$106.2B – $127.0B$5.88$5.32 – $6.7111

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.63%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-17.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+51.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 5.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.195-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 29Nagasubramaniyan ChandrasekaranEVP, CT & Ops Off, GM Foundry21.0K sh$2.5MSellMay 1Miller Boise AprilEVP and Chief Legal Officer40.3K sh$4.0M
+ 32 other (15 awards · 14 exempts · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $INTC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 223
AI summary

Aliyar Katouzian, Executive Vice President and General Manager of the CC & Physical AI Group at Intel Corporation (INTC), filed an initial Form 3 on May 15, 2026 with no non-derivative securities listed as beneficially owned. This is a routine initial ownership filing required upon appointment as a new officer; Katouzian's role in Intel's AI compute division reflects Intel's strategic focus on physical AI and compute.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 223
AI summary

Aparna Bawa, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Chief People Officer at Intel Corporation (INTC), filed an initial Form 3 on May 13, 2026 with no non-derivative securities listed as directly owned. This is a routine initial ownership filing required upon appointment to a new officer role at Intel.

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

INTC held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-15 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Apr 29424B5
AI summary

INTC filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-04-29, representing an active capital markets transaction. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Apr 27424B5
AI summary

INTC filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-04-27, representing an active capital markets transaction. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

INTC disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-24). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President and Chief Accounting Officer of Intel Corporation. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 38-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

INTC disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-03). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President and Chief Legal Officer. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 21 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 13Fs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Investors Can't Shake AI Bubble Fears—But They're Not Dropping Their Favorite Tech Stocksinvestopedia.com·1d agoWhy Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF Just Crashedfool.com·1d agoFormer Intel CEO says the chipmaker went off the rails ‘when it started to be run by business people'businessinsider.com·1d agoMarvell Drops 8% as AI Capex Slowdown Fears Weigh on Chips; Broadcom, AMD, and Intel Slide247wallst.com·1d agoThe Chip-Stock Slide Isn't Over. The AI Trade Is Still Under Pressure.investopedia.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingSemiconductor Onshoring

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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