TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$NVDA
NVNVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 85% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (97.3K/wk), no spike
$NVDA·$4.9T·Semiconductors·Technology
$202.81-2.2%YTD+6.8%1Y+17.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 24,400 posts2026-07-11: 9,476 posts2026-07-12: 13,580 posts2026-07-13: 14,580 posts2026-07-14: 14,708 posts2026-07-15: 10,554 posts2026-07-16: 8,165 posts97,346+1%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
NVNVDA
$NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$202.81-2.21%97k posts+1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NVDA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The AI-cycle king is digesting a rebound while China supply gets a fresh green light.

Nvidia is the company that sells the GPUs every AI data center is being built around — the arms dealer of the boom. After a monster run, the stock has been chopping in the mid-$200s while the market re-checks the price against how fast the business can keep growing.

Why the setup still has teeth:

  • Growth isn't slowing, it's re-accelerating: revenue jumped 85% YoY last quarter to $81.6B, and gross margin is back at 75%, meaning the pricing power the AI cycle depends on hasn't cracked.
  • China just got a partial re-open: reports of Alibaba, ByteDance and DeepSeek being cleared to buy the H200 restore a market that had been zeroed out, and analysts already have $393B in FY27 revenue penciled in — more than 3x last year.
  • The balance sheet is being weaponized: a $25B multi-tranche bond raise (D/E only 0.07) hands management dry powder for infrastructure and share buybacks without touching the equity.
  • The insider tell is muted, not scary: director Mark Stevens sold $186M, but that's one holder in a mega-cap with tens of billions of insider stakes — no cluster of officers heading for the exits.

The forward look is simple: at 31x earnings against consensus 38% EPS growth, the multiple is actually below its five-year average, so more upside comes from earnings beating the bar rather than a re-rating. Watch memory supply — Jensen and Michael Dell both flagged HBM as the new bottleneck, and a soft Samsung/SK Hynix update could gate near-term shipments and stall the move.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X crowd's read — that a 31x forward multiple is reasonable against 38% expected EPS growth and that the China H200 clearance is a real incremental TAM — lines up with the mechanics. Burry's short is real but a lone voice against the fundamental print.

What to watch: August 26 earnings and any Samsung/SK Hynix HBM update; a soft print or memory shortfall would extend the digestion, a beat plus reaffirmed China ramp restarts the run.

On the calendar: 2026-08-26 — FQ2 2027 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment40 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

The conversation reads as Nvidia reasserting leadership after a semiconductor pullback. Jensen Huang's message that the AI cycle is still in its early stages is being widely amplified, alongside launches of the T2000 and T3000 Blackwell-based robotics modules, a 140MW Vera Rubin AI factory in Japan, an AI-native RAN platform with Nokia, and reports that Alibaba, ByteDance and DeepSeek may be cleared to buy H200 chips. Bulls repeatedly note the stock trades at a lower forward P/E than the S&P 500 while growing faster. Skeptical voices are limited and mostly worry about circular AI startup capex, not Nvidia's own numbers.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NVDA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NVDA.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $NVDA

Direct beneficiary — Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally; the business model is a direct conduit for the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+50.8%YTD
+90.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
31.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
63.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
64.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
19.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
112%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
74.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.87$1.76+6.3%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.62$1.54+5.2%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.30$1.26+3.2%
Q2 2025Aug 27, 2025$1.05$1.01+4.0%
Next earningsWed, Aug 26·consensus EPS $2.09

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$81.6B+85.2%74.9%65.6%$2.40$48.6B
Q4 FY26$68.1B+73.2%75.0%65.0%$1.77$34.9B
Q3 FY26$57.0B+62.5%73.4%63.2%$1.31$22.1B
Q2 FY26$46.7B+55.6%72.4%60.8%$1.08$13.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 41 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$393.0B$362.4B – $408.5B$8.98$8.10 – $12.1439
FY28$560.4B$390.9B – $643.1B$12.66$9.92 – $15.0141
FY29$686.6B$678.9B – $694.4B$15.34$11.80 – $18.5926
FY30$774.2B$623.9B – $887.2B$12.29$9.19 – $14.6213
FY31$1.00T$809.8B – $1.15T$22.10$16.52 – $26.2916

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.53%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 23.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.215-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 18Mark A StevensDirector885.0K sh$186.0MSellJun 4Mark A StevensDirector500.0K sh$109.9MSellJun 3Stephen C NealDirector15.5K sh$3.3MSellJun 2Mark A StevensDirector500.0K sh$111.2MSellMay 27John DabiriDirector625 sh$134KSellMar 20Mark A StevensDirector221.7K sh$38.5MSellMar 20Donald F RobertsonPrincipal Accounting Officer5.4K sh$943KSellMar 20Colette KressCFO14.3K sh$2.5MSellMar 19Aarti S. ShahDirector19.0K sh$3.4MSellMar 18Ajay K PuriEVP, Worldwide Field Ops300.0K sh$54.7M
1–10 of 12
+ 29 other (13 awards · 11 inkinds · 5 gifts) in window

See when $NVDA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 153
AI summary

Suzanne Nora Johnson, a director of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), filed an initial Form 3 on July 15, 2026, disclosing indirect beneficial ownership of 2,496 shares of NVIDIA common stock held through a family trust for which she and her spouse serve as co-trustees. The filing establishes her initial Section 16(a) reporting position. No other securities were reported.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVIDIA EVP Worldwide Field Operations Ajay K. Puri (21-year NVIDIA veteran) announced retirement effective when his successor begins; Nicholas Parker (age 55, formerly 26 years at Microsoft) was appointed successor effective August 24, 2026, with Puri remaining in a senior advisory role. Structured leadership succession in NVIDIA's global sales organization.

8-KShareholder voteJun 308-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NVIDIA held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 24; all 10 director nominees were elected. Tench Coxe received relatively elevated withhold votes (approximately 1.4B against versus approximately 15.4B for). Routine annual meeting results with all directors elected.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 17424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation priced a $25 billion multi-tranche senior unsecured notes offering on June 17, 2026, across seven maturities: $3.5B at 4.250% due 2028, $3.5B at 4.350% due 2029, $4.0B at 4.500% due 2031, $3.5B at 4.750% due 2033, $4.0B at 4.950% due 2036, $3.0B at 5.550% due 2046, and $3.5B at 5.625% due 2056. Interest is payable semi-annually beginning December 15, 2026; notes are unsecured and rank pari passu with existing senior debt. This is one of the largest corporate debt issuances in recent history and is non-dilutive to equity, reflecting NVIDIA's balance-sheet strength to raise long-duration capital for general corporate or strategic purposes.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 15424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on June 15, 2026 for a registered securities offering. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the offering size, security type, price, or use of proceeds are disclosed.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NVDA on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVDA disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVDA disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-27). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President, or VP, and Chief Accounting Officer. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 19 other (4 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Fs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

How Nvidia and Micron Are Single-Handedly Reshaping S&P 500 Tech Earningszacks.com·16h agoLeather jacket worn by Nvidia CEO goes for just under $1 million at Sotheby's auctioncnbc.com·17h agoCrowdStrike vs. NVIDIA: Which Growth Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026, the Cybersecurity Giant or AI Leader?fool.com·19h agoJim Cramer Says Semiconductor Stocks Are “Going Down.” Buy These 2 Dividend Stocks Instead247wallst.com·19h agoDell Technologies vs. NVIDIA: Which Artificial Intelligence Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·19h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAdvanced Packaging & AI Interconnect

More in Semiconductors

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$MU$AMD$AVGO$INTC$ARM$SKHY$MRVL$TSM
Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport