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FF

Ford Motor Company

$F·$59B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$14.68-1.2%YTD+12.9%1Y+32.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-25: 233 posts2026-07-26: 171 posts2026-07-27: 258 posts2026-07-28: 390 posts2026-07-29: 369 posts2026-07-30: 193 posts2026-07-31: 122 posts1,740+2%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 2d ago
FF
$FFord Motor Company
$14.68-1.21%1.7k posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $F, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-01

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Q2 beat and guide raised on Tuesday — Ford is quietly leaning defense-and-affordable-EV, and Citi just upgraded on that pivot.

Ford is one of the two remaining Detroit-anchored automakers — trucks, commercial vans, Lincoln luxury, and the still-money-losing Model e EV division. It just reported Q2 on July 28 with a beat and a big FY EBIT-guide raise, and the stock dipped anyway as the market digested the mix.

Where things stand:

  • The Q2 print was clean: EPS $0.42 vs $0.33 consensus (+27% surprise) and management raised full-year adjusted EBIT to $11B from a prior $8.5-10.5B range — Citi upgraded to Buy and lifted its target to $20 on the print.
  • The business is doing what a mature automaker is supposed to: revenue grew 6% YoY to $43.3B last quarter, gross margin ~18%, operating margin 5% — thin but positive, with $1.3B of quarterly free cash flow supporting a substantial dividend.
  • The Model e drag is finally being triaged: the F-150 Lightning was canceled, EV commentary has quieted, and the strategy is shifting toward scaled-down affordable EVs plus defense contracts — a re-focus away from the loss-making pure-EV bet toward margin-accretive segments.
  • The China concern is management-flagged: CEO Jim Farley's line that Chinese automakers 'could be selling into the US market in five to ten years' is the long-term risk that keeps the multiple compressed — 0.31x sales at ~$59B market cap is a discount to essentially all global peers.

Next earnings isn't until Oct 22, so the tape trades on August/September auto sales data and any tariff/policy chatter. What restarts the trend is a fresh defense-contract announcement or a strong monthly F-Series sales print; what extends the cooling is a China-EV tariff softening or a weak F-Series delivery number that hits the truck-margin story directly.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish tape after the beat + Citi upgrade tracks the fundamentals — a $11B EBIT guide with the truck franchise intact is real. The Chinese-automaker concern X keeps recirculating is Farley's own quote and is a legitimate long-term risk, but 5-10 years out doesn't move the near-term tape; the Tesla-10-millionth-vehicle framing is signal-adjacent noise for Ford specifically.

What to watch: Nothing dated until Oct 22 — so the tape trades on monthly auto-sales prints, defense-contract announcements, and any tariff/policy news. What restarts the trend is a fresh defense-contract or strong F-Series monthly print; what extends the cooling is a China-EV tariff softening or a weak F-Series delivery number.

On the calendar: 2026-10-22 — Q3 2026 earnings

post beat coolingguide raisechina ev riskdefense pivot

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment71 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-01

Sentiment on Ford is decidedly bullish after Q2 crushed estimates (revenue $48.3B beat, EPS $0.42 vs $0.30 est, adj EBIT $1.72B vs $1.31B) and FY guidance raised to $10-11B (from $8.5B). Bulls cite Citi upgrading to Buy with $20 PT, Jefferies upgrading to Buy at $17.50 PT, Ford joining the US Army tactical-truck bid, and the F-Series recovery being framed as on track. Bears note EBIT is still -26% YoY. Boomer-friendly 'accumulate under $10, sell at $19' framing captures the retail crowd. Shares +7% AH.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $F

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $F.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings.

What this means for $F

Partial — Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment; partial earnings exposure to auto - manufacturers demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
-22.0%YTD
-22.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
20.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$0.42$0.33+27.3%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.66$0.20+230.0%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.13$0.18-27.5%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.45$0.35+27.2%
Next earningsThu, Oct 22·consensus EPS $0.36

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$43.3B+6.4%18.4%5.4%$0.64$1.3B
Q4 FY25$45.9B-4.8%3.7%-2.0%$-2.78$1.1B
Q3 FY25$50.5B+9.4%8.9%3.2%$0.61$5.3B
Q2 FY25$50.2B+5.0%6.5%0.9%$-0.01$4.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$184.8B$173.9B – $199.8B$1.83$1.41 – $2.059
FY27$188.9B$178.3B – $205.6B$1.94$1.37 – $2.139
FY28$195.6B$178.6B – $211.2B$2.16$1.85 – $2.607
FY29$198.0B$188.3B – $210.9B$2.24$2.10 – $2.433
FY30$202.7B$192.7B – $215.8B$2.50$2.35 – $2.726

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.56%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.835-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 23John L ThorntonDirector10.6K sh$149K
+ 41 other (17 awards · 13 exempts · 11 inkinds) in window

See when $F insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ford Motor Company (F) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01), creation of a direct financial obligation (Item 2.03), and an other-event disclosure (Item 8.01). Ford is a Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker with multiple note series on the NYSE. The combination of Items 1.01 and 2.03 suggests a significant financing transaction — likely a new credit facility or term loan — which is a capital structure event for a major automaker managing EV investment and legacy operations.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ford Motor Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026. Shareholders voted on director elections; nominees included CEO James Farley Jr. (4.91B for), Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr. (4.58B for, 449M against — notably more opposition than peers), family members Henry Ford III and Alexandra Ford English, and others. All nominees were elected. The Ford family retains effective voting control through its Class B shares. This is routine annual meeting governance with no material corporate transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

F disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-15). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

F entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-15). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 11S-3ASR
+ 16 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 routine 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Weekend Morning Brew: Microsoft and Amazon Lead Earnings Surgegurufocus.com·1d agoFord Made Boring Cars Popular. It Doesn't Want Them Anymore.wsj.com·2d agoGM and Ford are talking less and less about EVstechcrunch.com·2d agoFord Motor Stock Dips Friday: What's Driving the Post-Earnings Reset?benzinga.com·2d agoHere Are Friday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Blackstone Mortgage, Boston Scientific, Edison International, Ford, GoDaddy, International Paper, Roblox, Saia, and More247wallst.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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