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Ford Motor Company

$F·$58B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$14.04+0.6%YTD+6.5%1Y+34.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
1,738
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 20d ago
FF
Ford Motor Company$F
$14.04+0.57%1.7k posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $F, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-06-18

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Old-school automaker at a 20% FCF yield — value optics are real but the story is whether QS solid-state batteries land.

Ford Motor is the legacy US automaker working through EV transition pain and a fresh capital allocation cycle. Q1 revenue grew 6.4% YoY to $43.3B at an 18% gross margin and 5% operating margin, with $1.3B of FCF. EPS of $0.66 beat consensus by 261% ($0.18 estimated) — the magnitude is mostly low-bar dynamics rather than upside surprise. At a trailing P/E that's negative on TTM basis (one-off charges) and a P/S of just 0.31x with a 20% FCF yield, the value optics are extreme for a manufacturer. The stock sits at 48% of the 52-week range, slightly above both moving averages, beta 1.80. The bull's most-engaged framing is QS (QuantumScape) potentially adding Ford as a fourth OEM after Ford's removal from SLDP's deck — that's a re-rate catalyst if it happens, but for now the chart is range-bound.

Agrees with X sentimentPartially aligned with the QS-fourth-OEM framing as a real potential catalyst — the SLDP removal of Ford from its deck is a legitimate setup tell — but the 'same old car company' bear is also accurate on the fundamentals, and the Wave-3 to $21 target is more chart enthusiasm than mechanic-driven projection.

What to watch: July 29 print: F-150 Lightning unit volumes, North American gross-margin trajectory, and any explicit solid-state battery announcement (QS or Solid Power). A definitive battery-tech OEM partnership is the binary upside; another EV-loss disclosure is the structural risk.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment13 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-18

Ford rose roughly 47% in May driven by the new energy-storage business and data-center demand, prompting AI-play framing, but was removed from SLDP's latest investor presentation suggesting it might become QS's 4th OEM partner. GM warned customers are moving away from high-margin trucks and SUVs faster than expected, with Ford echoing the statement in May. New rules for China-built cars with Chinese software add policy overhang to a balanced picture.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $F

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $F.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

ICE truck and SUV margins remain the profitability floor for legacy OEMs, funding EV transition losses that still drag Ford and Stellantis earnings. OpenAI's robotics division launch this week adds a new competitive vector to Tesla's FSD/robotaxi moat, while NIO and XPEV budget-model expansion continues compressing Tesla China pricing.

What this means for $F

Partial — Ford Pro commercial ICE trucks generate the margin subsidizing F-150 Lightning EV losses; OpenAI robotics raises long-term questions about Ford's autonomous commercial vehicle positioning, but ICE mix is the 2026 earnings story.

See how Auto - Manufacturers shapes $F

  • Where the industry is in its cycle and the catalysts moving it now
  • What this means specifically for $F's next move
  • Peer-basket or ETF benchmark you can use to gut-check the read
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Industry benchmark

8-name peer basket
-17.4%YTD
+3.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
20.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.66$0.18+260.9%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.13$0.18-27.5%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.45$0.35+27.2%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.37$0.33+11.9%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$43.3B+6.4%18.4%5.4%$0.64$1.3B
Q4 FY25$45.9B-4.8%3.7%-2.0%$-2.78$1.1B
Q3 FY25$50.5B+9.4%8.9%3.2%$0.61$5.3B
Q2 FY25$50.2B+5.0%6.5%0.9%$-0.01$4.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$183.6B$174.8B – $194.9B$1.67$1.44 – $1.789
FY27$186.3B$171.8B – $201.3B$1.83$1.67 – $2.079
FY28$196.5B$192.5B – $200.4B$2.07$1.81 – $2.386
FY29$195.1B$180.4B – $208.0B$2.08$1.87 – $2.255
FY30$199.2B$184.3B – $212.4B$2.26$2.04 – $2.453

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.50%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Know if $F is setting up — or just chopping

  • Volume multiple vs 30-day baseline — catch unusual interest before the move
  • Position vs 50d & 200d MAs and 52-week range — trend direction at a glance
  • Float bucket, beta, and active-offering flags — what kind of stock you're trading
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Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 41 other (17 awards · 13 exempts · 11 inkinds) in window

See when $F insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ford Motor Company (F) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01), creation of a direct financial obligation (Item 2.03), and an other-event disclosure (Item 8.01). Ford is a Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker with multiple note series on the NYSE. The combination of Items 1.01 and 2.03 suggests a significant financing transaction — likely a new credit facility or term loan — which is a capital structure event for a major automaker managing EV investment and legacy operations.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ford Motor Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026. Shareholders voted on director elections; nominees included CEO James Farley Jr. (4.91B for), Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr. (4.58B for, 449M against — notably more opposition than peers), family members Henry Ford III and Alexandra Ford English, and others. All nominees were elected. The Ford family retains effective voting control through its Class B shares. This is routine annual meeting governance with no material corporate transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

F disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-15). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

F entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-15). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 11S-3ASR
8-KPress release / Reg FDJan 298-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Finally, A Little Good News for EV Stocks -- Especially This Detroit Automakerfool.com·21h agoFord Motor Co (F) Stock Down 3.1% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 70/100gurufocus.com·2d agoA Little Good News for Ford Motor Companyfool.com·2d agoWhy Ford Motor Company (F) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·2d agoFord Motor Company (F) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Notezacks.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 11 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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