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FF

Ford Motor Company

$F·$56B·Auto - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$13.37-1.0%YTD+6.0%1Y+15.1%
Price updated 16h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
FF
$FFord Motor Company
$13.37-1.00%417 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $F on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

417X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $F's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 63% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

Ford draws negative political attention — Transportation Secretary Duffy blasts F for China ties and a Musk-linked letter is speculated. Balanced by a $148K June $15 call buy and general 'chart-master' framing versus GM; read is contested, headline-risk driven.

Read what X is saying about $F

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $F — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-09-16

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Ford at a mid-teen P/E with real fees and free cash flow — dividends work, the tape doesn't.

Ford Motor Company is the F-150-and-Bronco-plus-Ford-Pro OEM — the American auto brand that finally sorted its EV-and-warranty-losses drag and has printed real free cash flow for two straight quarters.

  • The earnings mechanic is quietly OK: Q1 revenue $43.3B was up 6.4% YoY, EPS $0.64 beat, and the last four EPS prints all beat by 27–230% — that combined pattern says Ford Pro (commercial + fleet) is doing the heavy lifting while Model e still bleeds, and it's the specific reason the FY26 EPS consensus of $1.85 supports the dividend.
  • The free-cash-flow yield is genuinely high: 20%+ trailing FCF yield with a ~5% dividend — this is a value trap only if you think Ford Pro rolls hard, which the current backlog and Super Duty pricing don't indicate.
  • The tape is stalled around trend and the political headline risk is real: Sec. Duffy's China-ties comment and Musk-letter speculation are the specific overhangs; the $148K June $15 call buy is a positioning tell but small, and the stock is now 36% of the 52-week range, roughly flat vs both moving averages.

A next leg needs Oct 22 to show Ford Pro segment growth above 5% and Model e losses narrowing to sub-$1B per quarter. A political announcement that materially hits China-sourced parts, or a Model e loss re-expansion, is what breaks the setup lower.

What to watch: Oct 22 Q3 print — Ford Pro revenue growth, Model e loss trajectory, and any China-tariff exposure guidance. Ford Pro above 5% + narrower Model e losses breaks the range; a Model e loss expansion is what stalls it.

On the calendar: 2026-10-22 — Q3 earnings

dividend yield 5pctpolitical headline riskford pro engine

Read the AI verdict on $F

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures Ford trucks, commercial vehicles, SUVs, and EVs (F-150 Lightning, Mustang Mach-E) globally, with a separate Ford Pro commercial segment.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $F.

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

JPMorgan's robotaxi note shows cash flows concentrating at TSLA equity rather than a public network; Goldman's 6.5M humanoid robot forecast doubles down on Tesla as the multi-platform beneficiary of autonomous buildout. Legacy OEMs remain caught between tariff cost structures and margin-dilutive EV scale-up while Chinese brands (BYD, NIO) continue compressing mid-market pricing.

What this means for $F

Headwind — Ford Pro commercial segment is the profit engine but Duffy's WARN on Chinese tech embedded in vehicles adds regulatory and cost risk; EV segment (Lightning, Mach-E) still margin-negative.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
-24.7%YTD
-28.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
20.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$0.42$0.33+27.3%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.66$0.20+230.0%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.13$0.18-27.5%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.45$0.35+27.2%
Next earningsThu, Oct 22·consensus EPS $0.41

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$43.3B+6.4%18.4%5.4%$0.64$1.3B
Q4 FY25$45.9B-4.8%3.7%-2.0%$-2.78$1.1B
Q3 FY25$50.5B+9.4%8.9%3.2%$0.61$5.3B
Q2 FY25$50.2B+5.0%6.5%0.9%$-0.01$4.2B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$184.9B$177.1B – $192.3B$1.85$1.78 – $1.929
FY27$189.0B$182.0B – $196.6B$1.96$1.87 – $2.099
FY28$195.7B$176.8B – $209.0B$2.16$1.85 – $2.597
FY29$198.0B$188.3B – $211.4B$2.24$2.10 – $2.443
FY30$202.7B$192.7B – $216.4B$2.51$2.35 – $2.725

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.835-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 23John L ThorntonDirector10.6K sh$149K
+ 32 other (24 awards · 5 exempts · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $F insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Ford Motor Company (F) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01), creation of a direct financial obligation (Item 2.03), and an other-event disclosure (Item 8.01). Ford is a Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker with multiple note series on the NYSE. The combination of Items 1.01 and 2.03 suggests a significant financing transaction — likely a new credit facility or term loan — which is a capital structure event for a major automaker managing EV investment and legacy operations.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ford Motor Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026. Shareholders voted on director elections; nominees included CEO James Farley Jr. (4.91B for), Executive Chair William Clay Ford Jr. (4.58B for, 449M against — notably more opposition than peers), family members Henry Ford III and Alexandra Ford English, and others. All nominees were elected. The Ford family retains effective voting control through its Class B shares. This is routine annual meeting governance with no material corporate transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

F disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-15). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

F entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-15). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

+ 14 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will Ford's $1B Kentucky Investment Boost Manufacturing Efficiency?zacks.com·1d agoThe Fed decision, Clarity Act fails in Senate, Ford's truck prices and more in Morning Squawkcnbc.com·1d agoFord Motor Company (F) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Notezacks.com·2d agoFord recalls more than 223,000 vehicles over fuel tank issuefoxbusiness.com·2d agoFord increases V-8 engines, lowers performance prices for 2027 F-150 truckscnbc.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $F on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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