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EAEAT

Brinker International, Inc.

$EAT·$8.1B·Restaurants·Consumer Cyclical
$192.83-1.1%YTD+33.0%1Y+19.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-13: 29 posts2026-07-14: 25 posts2026-07-15: 29 posts2026-07-16: 31 posts2026-07-17: 34 posts2026-07-18: 5 posts2026-07-19: 1 posts161
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
EAEAT
$EATBrinker International, Inc.
$192.83-1.12%161 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $EAT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-20

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Brinker International at 97% of range — Chili's turnaround has delivered, Aug 12 has to defend.

Brinker International is the parent of Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy — a mid-scale casual-dining operator that has quietly delivered one of the industry's best multi-year turnarounds. The stock sits at 97% of the 52-week range going into Aug 12 Q4 FY26 earnings.

  • The business is running at real pace: revenue $1.47B last quarter (+3.2% YoY), operating margin 11.5%, gross margin 46% — the top-line has decelerated from the earlier double-digit levels but the operating margin defense is what has driven the multi-year outperformance.
  • The valuation is characteristic of a mid-scale casual-dining compounder: 18x TTM P/E, 1.4x sales, 12x EV/EBITDA, and 6.2% FCF yield — the FCF math supports the current price, and the multiple has room to expand if the Chili's momentum continues.
  • Position at 97% of the 52-week range, +22% vs. the 50-day — the tape has confirmed the multi-quarter turnaround with institutional accumulation into the print, and no insider transactions on file signal no cluster of concern.
  • The multi-year Chili's turnaround (Slidell + tech-refresh + menu-simplification) is the specific competitive differentiator vs. Applebee's, TGI Friday's, and other mid-scale casual-dining peers.

Aug 12 has to show: revenue growth staying above 3%, operating margin defense at 11%+, Chili's same-store-sales comps, and any specific FY27 EPS guide direction. A clean beat with continued comp positivity unlocks the trend past the current level. A soft print or any comp deceleration sends the stock back to lower support levels. The setup at 97% of range with the multi-year turnaround delivered is asymmetric against buyers, but the multi-year execution defends the multiple.

What to watch: Aug 12 Q4 FY26 earnings — revenue growth (must hold >3%), operating margin defense at 11%+, Chili's same-store-sales comps, Maggiano's Little Italy commentary, and any FY27 EPS guide direction. A clean beat with continued comp positivity extends the trend; a soft print with comp deceleration reverses it.

On the calendar: 2026-08-12 — Q4 FY26 earnings

chilis turnaround deliveredat 52w highcasual dining compounder

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brinker International, Inc., in collaboration with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the creation, management, and licensing of casual dining establishments across both domestic and international markets. Its business operations are structured around two primary brands: Chili's and Maggiano's. As of June 30, 2021, the company's collective footprint encompassed 1,648 restaurants, which included 1,594 Chili's Grill & Bar locations and 54 Maggiano's Little Italy venues, all either owned, managed, or franchised. Established in 1975, the organization's main corporate office is located in Dallas, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Restaurants sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $EAT.

Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Food input cost inflation is the margin headwind across the sector; Cracker Barrel's turnaround narrative and CAVA's Mediterranean expansion are the two..

What this means for $EAT

Partial — Brinker International, Inc., in collaboration with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the creation, management, and licensing of casual dining establishments across both domestic and international mar; partial earnings exposure to restaurants demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

18-name peer basket
+6.6%YTD
-17.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
18.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
22.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
123%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
46.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$2.90$2.85+1.8%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$2.87$2.53+13.4%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$1.93$1.76+9.7%
Q2 2025Aug 13, 2025$2.49$2.43+2.5%
Next earningsWed, Aug 12·consensus EPS $3.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.5B+3.2%19.2%11.5%$2.96$180.9M
Q2 FY26$1.5B+6.9%74.5%11.6%$2.87$155.2M
Q1 FY26$1.3B+18.5%74.5%8.7%$2.23$62.2M
Q4 FY25$1.5B+21.0%18.6%9.8%$2.41$106.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.8B$5.8B – $5.8B$10.76$10.68 – $10.8714
FY27$6.1B$6.1B – $6.2B$12.51$12.16 – $12.9614
FY28$6.4B$6.4B – $6.4B$13.78$12.67 – $14.3410
FY29$6.8B$6.7B – $6.9B$15.26$14.13 – $16.392
FY30$7.2B$7.0B – $7.3B$17.42$17.00 – $17.691

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.99%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+24.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+33.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 42.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.255-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 8Frances L. AllenDirector2.0K sh$287KSellJun 4Frances L. AllenDirector1.0K sh$144KSellMay 15Frances L. AllenDirector1.0K sh$136KSellMay 14James C KatzmanDirector547 sh$70KSellFeb 11James C KatzmanDirector447 sh$73KSellFeb 9Douglas N. ComingsCOO1.3K sh$223KSellFeb 6Daniel S FullerSVP, Chief Legal Officer4.0K sh$678KSellFeb 5Michaela M WareCFO5.0K sh$812KSellFeb 4Aaron M WhiteCOO7.0K sh$1.2MSellFeb 3George S FelixSVP, Chief Marketing Officer10.4K sh$1.7M
1–10 of 13
+ 23 other (18 awards · 3 gifts · 1 inkind · 1 exempt) in window

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  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 10 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Brinker International (EAT) is a Top-Ranked Growth Stock: Should You Buy?zacks.com·1d agoFifth Third Bancorp Raises Stock Position in Brinker International, Inc. $EATdefenseworld.net·3d agoWhy the Market Dipped But Brinker International (EAT) Gained Todayzacks.com·4d agoBrinker International (EAT) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Whyzacks.com·5d agoWhy Brinker International (EAT) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Againzacks.com·5d ago

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