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CHCHA

Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares

Hot onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$CHA·$2.2B·Beverages - Non-Alcoholic·Consumer Defensive
$11.31-2.9%YTD-2.3%1Y-59.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-15: 0 posts2026-06-16: 0 posts2026-06-17: 2 posts2026-06-18: 0 posts2026-06-19: 0 posts2026-06-20: 1 posts2026-06-21: 0 posts30%
Price updated 2m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
CHCHA
$CHAChagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.31-2.95%3 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CHA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-06-05

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Chagee jumped 25% on a 10% buyback announcement — 50M active members at 7,531 teahouses, 8x earnings.

Chagee Holdings operates and franchises premium teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in mainland China and overseas markets — Singapore, Malaysia, and expansion into the US. The stock is down 67% over twelve months and 3% YTD as Chinese-consumer-cycle softness reset expectations. Q1 revenue grew 4.5% YoY to RMB 3.55B with EPS $0.38 versus $0.27 estimate (a 39% beat — the biggest in recent history), operating margin at 15%, gross margin at 42%, and an 8.7% FCF yield. The catalyst: 50M active members across 7,531 teahouses (Greater China and overseas), overseas GMV +139% YoY, Chinese GMV recovering +7.4% sequentially. The stock jumped roughly 25% on a 10% buyback program announcement, and the Gelato pilot across nine stores in five cities is positioned as a category-test catalyst. At 17.5x trailing earnings and 1.3x sales, the multiple is reasonable for a turnaround compounder with positive comp recovery.

Agrees with X sentimentX is anchored on Chagee's Q1 2026 print — RMB3.546B revenue with 50M active members across 7,531 teahouses, overseas GMV +139% YoY, Chinese GMV recovering 7.38% sequentially, the ~10% buyback program driving a 25% jump, and the framing as a quiet recovery story at roughly 8x P/E that 'screams cheap.' The Gelato pilot as a category-test catalyst is fair. All real and supportive.

What to watch: Aug 28 Q2 print — bull is overseas GMV growth holding above 100% YoY plus same-store sales positive across China; bear is any Chinese consumer-spending softness affecting Q2 same-store sales, or a slower-than-expected international expansion pace.

On the calendar: 2026-08-28 — Q2 earnings

china adr risk

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-05

Chagee posted Q1 2026 net revenue of RMB 3.546B with 50M active members and 7,531 teahouses across Greater China and overseas. GMV-per-store has recovered for the first time in over a year, overseas GMV is growing 2.9% YoY, and Chinese GMV jumped 7.38% in the quarter. The stock is up 25% on a ~10% buyback program, with bulls arguing the Chinese consumer model is structurally sound and the name 'still screams cheap.' A new gelato pilot in 9 stores across 5 cities adds optionality.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CHA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Fast-casual teahouse chain under the CHAGEE brand expanding via franchises in China and internationally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Non-Alcoholic sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CHA.

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive

Defensive brand pricing power and functional energy drink premiumization are the parallel structural drivers — KO at 52-week highs and PEP's consistent pricing confirm inflation-resilient brand loyalty in core carbonated beverages. CELSIUS and Monster compete for the premium fitness-positioned energy drink growth market that is outpacing legacy soda.

What this means for $CHA

Direct beneficiary — fast-casual CHAGEE teahouse franchise expanding in China and internationally captures premium positioned consumer tea spending; franchise model scales without proportional capex as international locations open.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-0.3%YTD
+10.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 29, 2026$0.38$0.27+39.4%
Q4 2025Mar 31, 2026$0.07$0.27-74.4%
Q3 2025Nov 28, 2025$0.36$0.360.0%
Q2 2025Aug 29, 2025$0.46$0.09+411.1%
Next earningsFri, Aug 28·consensus EPS $0.36

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.5B+4.5%41.6%15.4%$2.36—
Q4 FY25$3.0B-10.8%40.5%-1.2%$0.15$0
Q3 FY25$3.2B-9.4%45.4%14.2%$2.07$456.5M
Q2 FY25$3.3B+10.2%48.3%3.2%$0.34$611.1M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$14.5B$14.3B – $14.5B$9.27$8.92 – $9.915
FY27$16.2B$16.0B – $16.2B$10.24$9.85 – $10.956
FY28$17.1B$16.6B – $18.0B$10.45$10.05 – $11.172

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.13%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-9.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 22.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today6.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.825-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 9 other (3 13Gs · 2 6-Ks · 2 3s · 1 F-3ASR) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Chagee Holdings Limited (CHA) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·25d agoChagee Announces First Quarter 2026 Unaudited Financial Resultsglobenewswire.com·25d agoChagee to Announce First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 28, 2026globenewswire.com·32d agoChagee Files Its 2025 Annual Report on Form 20-Fglobenewswire.com·55d agoHead-To-Head Contrast: Chagee (NASDAQ:CHA) versus Jammin Java (OTCMKTS:JAMN)defenseworld.net·60d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CHA on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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