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UAUAL

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

$UAL·$41B·Airlines, Airports & Air Services·Industrials
$116.10-2.3%YTD+5.5%1Y+34.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 284 posts2026-07-10: 344 posts2026-07-11: 119 posts2026-07-12: 216 posts2026-07-13: 367 posts2026-07-14: 239 posts2026-07-15: 452 posts2,034+9%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
UAUAL
$UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.
$116.10-2.28%2.0k posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $UAL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Boring-stock breakout as oil falls and airline demand holds — 9x earnings with 9.3% FCF yield is the setup.

United Airlines is the network carrier whose 2026 tape has been the quiet outperform in the airline basket. Multi-year highs, fresh Cartagena routes, and a 4x oil-tailwind combined with 9x earnings puts the real-business + accelerating call clean.

  • The core carrier business is genuinely earning: trailing revenue growth is holding, operating margin 8.4%, and Q1 FCF yield sits at 9.3% — this is what a well-run network airline looks like when the labor and fuel-cost base gets rationalized and the international network extends.
  • The oil tailwind is a real earnings kicker: airline names (DAL, AAL, UAL) hit multi-year highs alongside a 4%+ crude drop, and the Paradis Macro airline-basket long thesis (low-oil + defensive demand) is the specific narrative pulling institutional capital into the group.
  • The new-route expansion validates management execution: fresh Cartagena, Colombia routes from Houston and DC extend the international network into higher-margin premium-cabin routes — a real product win, not just a load-factor story.

The October 21 Q3 earnings are the next real event. Continued 8%+ operating margin, RASM (unit-revenue) growth affirmation, and low-fuel-cost carry-through extend the setup toward $135. A crude-price reversal or Q3 domestic-yield miss stalls the tape near current levels.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish, cites airline names (DAL/AAL/UAL) surging to multi-year highs as oil falls, and users take airline-basket long positions on Paradis Macro thesis. Mechanics validate: 9x P/E, 9.3% trailing FCF yield, and Q1 operating margin 8.4%. The tension is that UAL sits at 68% of 52-week range and any crude rebound or domestic yield miss stalls the setup.

What to watch: The October 21 Q3 earnings. Watch operating margin durability at 8%+, RASM (unit-revenue) growth affirmation, and any specific commentary on the Cartagena international ramp. Crude reversal or Q3 domestic yield miss stalls the tape near current levels.

On the calendar: 2026-10-21 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-05

United Airlines announces new nonstop routes from Houston and Washington D.C. to Cartagena, Colombia, strengthening the international network. Posts flag airline names (DAL/AAL/UAL) surging to multi-year highs as oil falls, and users take airline-basket long positions on a simple Paradis Macro thesis. Chatter reads as boring-stock breakout leadership.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $UAL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates United Airlines with hubs in Newark, Chicago, Denver, Houston, and San Francisco; major global network carrier serving 350+ destinations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Airlines, Airports & Air Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $UAL.

Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials

No material change from last week — two different time horizons.

What this means for $UAL

Neutral — Operates United Airlines with hubs in Newark, Chicago, Denver, Houston, and San Francisco; major global network carrier serving 350+ destinations; limited exposure means the premium travel demand sustaining yield at high occupancy is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+33.7%YTD
-11.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
64.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$1.19$1.08+10.2%
Q4 2025Jan 20, 2026$3.10$2.93+5.8%
Q3 2025Oct 15, 2025$2.78$2.65+4.9%
Q2 2025Jul 16, 2025$3.87$3.81+1.6%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $3.53

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$14.6B+10.6%63.3%6.8%$2.14$3.1B
Q4 FY25$15.4B+4.8%64.1%9.0%$3.19$-604.0M
Q3 FY25$15.2B+2.6%64.6%9.2%$2.93$-246.0M
Q2 FY25$15.2B+1.7%64.9%8.7%$3.00$930.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$67.2B$65.0B – $68.3B$10.37$8.53 – $11.3016
FY27$70.3B$64.0B – $72.9B$15.06$10.26 – $17.1116
FY28$74.3B$73.9B – $74.7B$17.32$14.96 – $18.6416
FY29$78.6B$73.7B – $80.6B$17.75$16.32 – $18.3415
FY30$83.3B$78.1B – $85.4B$20.70$19.03 – $21.3915

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.65%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 322.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.265-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 16Kirby J ScottCEO1.1K sh$130KSellJun 15Kirby J ScottCEO48.3K sh$5.9MSellMay 26Kate GeboEVP HR and Labor Relations40.0K sh$4.2MSellMay 1Andrew P NocellaEVP & Chief Commercial Officer7.0K sh$631K
+ 34 other (25 awards · 4 exempts · 3 inkinds · 1 gift · 1 return) in window

See when $UAL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 158-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KShareholder voteMay 228-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) filed an 8-K on May 19, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). United Airlines Holdings is a Chicago, Illinois-based airline listed on Nasdaq. Annual meeting vote results are routine governance disclosures.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 278-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL) filed an 8-K on or around April 27 under Item 7.01 to satisfy Regulation FD disclosure requirements. The major airline made investor presentation materials publicly available, likely related to an investor conference, earnings call, or operational update. The RegFD disclosure ensures equal access to information shared with institutional investors. Exhibits contain the substantive materials being disclosed.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 218-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL) reported quarterly financial results via an 8-K under Items 2.02 and 7.01. The major airline disclosed passenger revenue, load factors, cost per available seat mile, and profitability metrics for the quarter. The Regulation FD disclosure ensures concurrent investor presentation materials are publicly accessible. A full earnings press release with capacity and revenue statistics is attached as an exhibit.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Feb 27SC 13D
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentFeb 5SC 13D/A
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 15 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 13Fs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·1d agoUnited Airlines Breaks Passenger Records Despite Surging Ticket Pricespymnts.com·1d agoUAL Q2 Earnings Beat as Strong Yields Offset Fuel Pressurezacks.com·1d agoUnited Airlines Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·1d agoUnited Airlines shares fall as weak outlook overshadows Q2 earnings beatproactiveinvestors.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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