TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$ALK
ALALK

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

$ALK·$4.4B·Airlines, Airports & Air Services·Industrials
$34.98-4.2%YTD-27.9%1Y-25.3%
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
ALALK
$ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.
$34.99-4.15%91 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

The complete picture of $ALK on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

91X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ALK's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Sentiment is decisively bullish and narrowly focused on one thing: the CEO's first-ever open-market purchase, roughly $1M at $40.06 per share, reversing 34 straight sales. Posts frame it as a rare high-conviction insider signal worth watching, though one skeptic questions why management is buying back shares when they are "drowning in debt." The tone is intrigued rather than euphoric.

Read what X is saying about $ALK

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ALK — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Alaska Air — CEO just made first-ever open-market purchase of ~$1M at $40, reversing 34 straight sales.

Alaska Air Group operates Alaska Airlines plus Hawaiian Airlines (post the Sept 2024 acquisition). The stock is down 22% YTD, consolidating below the 50-day MA on 1.07x normal volume into the Oct 22 earnings print.

  • The P&L is in transition: revenue grew 5.2% YoY to $3.3B last quarter at a -8.5% operating margin and EPS -$1.69 — the Hawaiian acquisition integration is weighing on reported margins, with FY27 EPS estimate at $0.49 showing the recovery trajectory.
  • The CEO Johnson's first-ever open-market purchase (~$1M at $40.06) reversing 34 straight sales is the specific conviction signal — this is the kind of insider move that typically precedes operational improvement.
  • The Alaska Accelerate program activation plus the Hawaiian integration continuing is the operational-reset story bulls can anchor; the drowning-in-debt skeptic voice is the honest counter-signal.

Stalled holds until Oct 22 earnings confirm Hawaiian integration synergy capture and operating margin trajectory turns positive. A soft Hawaiian integration print, or any specific commentary on debt-service pressure, is what tips this toward breaking-down; a strong Hawaiian synergy capture plus FY27 EPS guide above $2.50 is what breaks the stalled tape higher.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls citing the CEO's first-ever open-market $1M purchase at $40.06 reversing 34 straight sales have the specific conviction signal correct — the skeptic question about buying while drowning in debt is the honest counter-tell, consistent with a stalled turnaround setup.

What to watch: Oct 22 earnings — Hawaiian integration synergy capture, operating margin trajectory, Alaska Accelerate program revenue contribution, FY27 EPS guide. A Hawaiian integration miss or debt-service commentary is what breaks the stalled tape lower.

On the calendar: 2026-10-22 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ALK

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US regional airline serving ~120 North American destinations, anchored in West Coast routes with Hawaiian exposure post-merger.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Airlines, Airports & Air Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ALK.

Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials

No material change from last week — Premium air travel demand remains healthy with Delta's non-main-cabin revenue hitting 61% of total — structural premium-cabin pricing power is intact.

What this means for $ALK

Neutral — US regional airline serving ~120 North American destinations, anchored in West Coast routes with Hawaiian exposure post-merger.

Industry benchmark

11-name peer basket
-0.0%YTD
-19.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
67.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-10.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
1.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
78.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 21, 2026$-0.92$-0.99+7.3%
Q1 2026Apr 20, 2026$-1.68$-1.65-1.8%
Q4 2025Jan 22, 2026$0.43$0.11+290.9%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$1.05$1.09-3.7%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $0.39

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.3B+5.2%100%-8.5%$-1.69$83.0M
Q4 FY25$3.6B+2.8%94.3%2.1%$0.18$-440.0M
Q3 FY25$3.8B+22.6%96.0%3.9%$0.63$7.0M
Q2 FY25$3.7B+27.9%25.5%7.5%$1.45$-127.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$15.8B$15.6B – $15.9B-$3.47-$5.40 – -$1.6510
FY27$17.2B$16.2B – $17.9B$4.44-$0.08 – $7.4910
FY28$18.2B$17.1B – $18.8B$7.91$7.54 – $8.1811
FY29$19.6B$18.9B – $20.1B$9.74$9.28 – $10.075
FY30$20.4B$19.6B – $20.9B$13.46$12.83 – $13.915

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.10%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-14.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-20.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 110.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 20Benito MinicucciCEO25.0K sh$1.0MSellAug 3Andrew R HarrisonEVP AND CCO5.3K sh$263K
+ 22 other (10 awards · 6 exempts · 6 inkinds) in window

See when $ALK insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 298-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Alaska Air Group hosted its Investor Day in Seattle on September 29, 2026, with live webcast access, issuing three press releases and a full presentation deck furnished as Reg FD exhibits. No specific financial guidance or targets are quoted in the filing body itself. This is an informational Reg FD disclosure and marks a scheduled capital markets engagement event with no standalone material corporate action.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 218-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Alaska Air Group, Inc. reported its Q2 2026 financial results on July 21, 2026 via a press release and supplemental earnings materials, furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 and simultaneously disclosed under Regulation FD. Signed by VP Finance, Controller, and Treasurer Emily Halverson. The filing body does not include specific financial figures. This is a routine quarterly earnings disclosure for the airline holding company; headline results are in the attached press release and supplemental materials.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 73
AI summary

Alaska Air Group officer Tiffany J. DeHaan (VP and Chief of Staff to CEO) filed an initial beneficial ownership statement (Form 3) effective June 29, 2026. She directly owns 1,356 shares of ALK common stock plus 2 shares indirectly via a son's account. She also holds 5,178 unvested restricted stock units across five grants (from March 2024, March 2024, February 2025, February 2025, and February 2026) vesting quarterly through 2028-2030. This is a routine insider disclosure with no market-impact significance.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE: ALK) filed an 8-K on June 17, 2026 covering an officer or director change (Item 5.02) alongside a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01). The leadership transition details and the topic of the investor presentation furnished under Reg FD are in the exhibits not included in the excerpt. Pairing an officer change with an investor communication is common when companies want to provide context for a leadership announcement — C-suite changes at a recently merged airline (Alaska-Hawaiian integration still ongoing) would be closely watched.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 33
AI summary

Sievert G Michael filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of ALK securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at ALK.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 38-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ALK (ALK) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The company announced the appointment of a new officer or director to CTO. Individuals named in the filing include Exact Name, Its Charter. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

8-KShareholder voteMay 148-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ALK (ALK) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 128-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

ALK (ALK) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $500 million. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

+ 7 other (2 10-Qs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Alaska Air Group (ALK) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·1d agoCountdown to Alaska Air (ALK) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street Forecasts for Key Metricszacks.com·1d agoDeep Drilling Intersects Epithermal Mineralisation 1 km Below Proprietary Pit at Peak Hillglobenewswire.com·2d agoAlaska Air Group to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Offing?zacks.com·3d agoAnalysts Estimate Alaska Air Group (ALK) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out forzacks.com·3d ago

More in Airlines, Airports & Air Services

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$UP$DAL$AERO$JOBY$AAL$UAL$SRFM$LUV
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ALK on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport