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SRSRFM

Surf Air Mobility Inc.

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normPrice and volume picking upBullish-leaning chatter
$SRFM·$116M·Airlines, Airports & Air Services·Industrials
$1.040.0%YTD-48.3%1Y-69.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-25: 24 posts2026-06-26: 12 posts2026-06-27: 1 posts2026-06-28: 2 posts2026-06-29: 369 posts2026-06-30: 137 posts2026-07-01: 46 posts591
Price updated 36m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
SRSRFM
$SRFMSurf Air Mobility Inc.
$1.040.00%591 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SRFM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Sub-$1 electric aviation microcap trading on a Palantir partnership — the technology story is real, but the underlying business is bleeding cash at 60% of revenue.

Surf Air Mobility runs regional aviation services and is now positioning itself as a Palantir-enabled aviation operating system through the SurfOS platform. It's a $100M microcap with the exact structural characteristics that make it a hot-momentum name.

  • The Palantir tie-up is the entire narrative: Palantir expanded its partnership on OperatorOS, OwnerOS, and Enterprise Products under the SurfOS platform, driving the stock up 34% pre-market — the AI-operating-system pitch is what the tape is chasing, not the underlying flight-operations business.
  • The business economics are severely challenged: Q1 revenue of $30M grew 9% year-over-year with an operating margin of -66% and free cash flow of -$16M — the burn rate is roughly 50% of revenue, so every dollar of growth requires substantial dilution to sustain.
  • Wheels Up as BrokerOS launch customer is a real customer signal: a named launch customer for the BrokerOS product line is the specific commercial validation SRFM needed — plus the BETA Technologies + Hawaiian Airlines electric-aviation demonstration in Hawaii adds real-world scale-up optics.
  • The dilution reduction is the recent capital move: a June 26 debt financing transaction announced specifically to "reduce future shareholder dilution" acknowledges the pattern investors are worried about — refinancing existing capital rather than raising new equity is a stabilizing tactic.

The setup coils at 2% of the 52-week range with a -10.3% day inside the recent Palantir-driven pop. What restarts the accelerating call is a specific SurfOS customer contract with dollar terms plus Q2 earnings on August 11 showing revenue growth accelerating above 20%; what confirms coiling into breaking-down is a fresh dilutive equity raise, a specific Wheels Up or BETA partnership disruption, or a Palantir-partnership expansion that doesn't include exclusivity for SurfOS.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the Palantir partnership expansion and framing it as AI becoming the operating system for aviation — we agree the partnership is a real catalyst. The moderating pushback: at -66% operating margin and $16M quarterly cash burn on $30M revenue, the equity is priced for the SurfOS platform to actually generate meaningful licensing revenue — which hasn't yet happened.

What to watch: August 11 Q2 earnings — SurfOS platform revenue, any named enterprise customer beyond Wheels Up, and any fresh capital raise announcement. A named SurfOS licensing customer with dollar terms restarts the accelerating call; a fresh dilutive raise or a Palantir non-exclusivity confirms coiling into breaking-down.

On the calendar: 2026-08-11 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment22 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-01

Palantir expanded its partnership with Surf Air Mobility to accelerate commercialization of OperatorOS, OwnerOS, and Enterprise Products under the SurfOS platform, with the stock gapping 34.4% premarket. Bulls frame it as Palantir's AI becoming the operating system for aviation, and analysts flag it as the most interesting industrial growth story. Some caution about dilution and sub-$1 pricing, but sentiment skews bullish.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SRFM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Electric aviation company offering scheduled regional flights and on-demand charter services, developing hybrid-electric powertrain aircraft.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Airlines, Airports & Air Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SRFM.

Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials

Premium travel demand durability is the structural floor for legacy carriers, while eVTOL certification progress (JOBY targeting 12-state rollout by September) represents the emerging disruption above — two different time horizons. Near-term, Delta's analyst downgrade on growing risks signals premium pricing may be plateauing.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+71.9%YTD
+24.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-170%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-65.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-60.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
141%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$-0.28$-0.39+28.2%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$-0.16$-0.30+46.7%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.64$-0.61-4.9%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$-0.93$-1.09+14.7%
Next earningsTue, Aug 11·consensus EPS $-0.18

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$25.6M+9.0%-11.3%-52.1%$-0.97$-15.8M
Q4 FY25$26.4M-5.7%1.9%-97.8%$-1.76$-20.8M
Q3 FY25$29.2M+2.8%5.2%-56.6%$-1.30$-21.6M
Q2 FY25$27.4M-15.2%12.3%-58.1%$-1.34$-12.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$128.9M$128.7M – $129.1M-$0.66-$0.80 – -$0.594
FY27$163.5M$156.8M – $172.6M-$0.44-$0.57 – -$0.344
FY28$220.6M$219.3M – $221.8M-$0.32-$0.67 – $0.032
FY29$320.1M$311.5M – $330.5M$0.23$0.23 – $0.241
FY30$417.1M$405.9M – $430.6M$0.69$0.66 – $0.711

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-54.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 82.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today11.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.775-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 8White Deanna LeighCEO56.9K sh$75KSellMay 8Oliver ReevesCFO76.6K sh$101KSellApr 16White Deanna LeighCEO27.7K sh$36KSellApr 16Oliver ReevesCFO28.9K sh$38K
+ 12 other (11 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $SRFM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJul 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 26424B5
8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 258-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 228-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KMaterial agreementApr 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
8-KMaterial agreementApr 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Apr 21424B5
S-3Shelf registrationMar 16S-3
+ 22 other (7 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Surf Air Mobility Announces Debt Financing Transactions to Strengthen Balance Sheet and Reduce Future Shareholder Dilutionbusinesswire.com·2d agoPalantir and Surf Air Mobility Expand Partnership to Accelerate Commercialization of OperatorOS, OwnerOS, and Enterprise Productsbusinesswire.com·4d agoElectric Aviation Demonstrations Launch in Hawaiʻi: BETA Technologies and Surf Air Mobility Partner on Landmark Demonstration Program; Hawaiian Airlines Supporting Evaluation Activitiesbusinesswire.com·7d agoSurf Air Mobility Announces Wheels Up as Launch Customer for Enterprise BrokerOSbusinesswire.com·8d agoSurf Air Mobility Showcases AIP-Enabled BrokerOS at Palantir AIPCon 10businesswire.com·17d ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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