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TLTLN

Talen Energy Corporation

$TLN·$18B·Independent Power Producers·Utilities
$372.15+1.0%YTD-3.4%1Y+39.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 17 posts2026-07-10: 4 posts2026-07-11: 2 posts2026-07-12: 4 posts2026-07-13: 10 posts2026-07-14: 20 posts2026-07-15: 10 posts69+37%
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TLTLN
$TLNTalen Energy Corporation
$372.15+1.05%69 posts+37%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TLN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Talen Energy tripled revenue year-over-year and is delivering nuclear power to Amazon AI data centers ahead of the August 5 print.

Talen Energy is an independent power producer operating Pennsylvania's Susquehanna nuclear plant (co-located with Amazon AI data centers) plus fossil and battery capacity, $17.5B market cap, with Q2 2026 earnings due 2026-08-06.

  • Q1 revenue $2.81B, up 345% year-over-year (following November 2025 Freedom/Guernsey acquisitions) with 319% sequential, EPS $1.33 versus $5.01 consensus (73% miss reflecting one-time items).
  • Gross margin 59.2% trailing, operating margin 33.1%, FCF yield 5.5% — real fleet cash generation, though quarterly EPS is very volatile.
  • Consensus models 2026 revenue $4.43B rising to $5.11B in 2027 and $5.42B in 2028, EPS $22.08 to $31.07 to $37.44 — step-function reflecting direct-data-center arrangements.
  • On June 15, TLN filed an 8-K covering an acquisition, and June 18 S-3ASR shelf registered up to 2,399,998 shares for resale.
  • A June 29 IBD piece framed TLN delivering for Amazon and AI data centers, and July 10 Seeking Alpha described 'A Good Bet On Direct Data Centers Energy.'
  • The stock is up 49% over twelve months but only 5% year-to-date, at 74% of the 52-week range and 5% above the 50-day.
  • Insider activity: July 15 F-InKind by Terry Nutt (routine) — no discretionary sales.

The setup is a nuclear-and-fossil IPP with AI-data-center exposure and Freedom/Guernsey integration — August 6 tests fiscal 2027 EPS trajectory.

Agrees with X sentimentX posters describe Talen Energy setting up for a massive move after tripling off 2024 lows and consolidating in tightening range for the past year, basing above 21-week EMA and 50-day. Bulls flag TLN alongside SMR, LEU, CEG, VST as nuclear stocks 'about to go nuclear.' That aligns with the reported +345% Q1 revenue growth, the Freedom/Guernsey acquisitions, and the Amazon AI-data-center direct-supply framework.

What to watch: August 6 Q2 earnings — revenue trajectory versus the +345% Q1 pace (with Freedom/Guernsey integration), Susquehanna nuclear capacity factor and Amazon direct-supply contract structure, gross-margin trajectory versus the 59.2% trailing base, and fiscal 2026 EPS guide versus the $22.08 consensus. Any commentary on additional AI-data-center power-purchase agreements is a durable signal.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 Q2 2026 earnings; Amazon nuclear-supply commentary and Freedom/Guernsey integration drive the print.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-07

Talen Energy is setting up for a massive move after tripling off 2024 lows and consolidating in tightening range for the past year. TLN basing above 21-week EMA and 50-day. Bulls flag TLN alongside SMR, LEU, CEG, VST as nuclear stocks 'about to go nuclear.' Bulls target continuation soon.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TLN

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Independent power producer selling electricity from nuclear and gas plants, pivoting to supply co-located data center campuses with carbon-free power.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Independent Power Producers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TLN.

Independent Power Producers · Utilities

No material change from last week — hyperscalers need 24/7 carbon-free electricity that nuclear plants uniquely provide, and VST/TLN are competing to capture co-location and long-term offtake..

What this means for $TLN

Neutral — Independent power producer selling electricity from nuclear and gas plants, pivoting to supply co-located data center campuses with carbon-free power; limited exposure means the hyperscaler 24/7 carbon-free nuclear PPA demand is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-22.2%YTD
-18.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-792.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-3.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
33.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-1.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
6.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$1.33$5.01-73.5%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$-7.60$2.62-390.1%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$2.38$3.18-25.2%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-1.19$-1.04-14.4%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $3.70

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.8B+345.2%61.2%54.1%$1.38$392.0M
Q4 FY25$670.0M+37.3%92.1%-43.9%$-7.95$240.0M
Q3 FY25$770.0M+38.7%45.8%34.2%$4.53$404.0M
Q2 FY25$454.0M+9.9%20.7%14.5%$1.58$-120.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.4B$4.3B – $4.7B$22.08$14.18 – $27.374
FY27$5.1B$4.3B – $6.0B$31.07$24.57 – $40.795
FY28$5.4B$5.4B – $5.4B$37.44$30.97 – $43.903
FY29$5.8B$5.1B – $6.4B$43.66$37.07 – $49.772
FY30$6.0B$5.3B – $6.7B$50.44$42.83 – $57.511

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 36.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.625-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 15Gizman I AbbasDirector2.6K sh$988K
+ 41 other (16 awards · 12 exempts · 11 inkinds · 1 other · 1 return) in window

See when $TLN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJun 18S-3ASR
AI summary

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) filed an automatically-effective S-3ASR shelf registration statement on June 18, 2026, registering the resale of up to 2,399,998 shares of common stock by existing selling stockholders. Because this is a secondary (resale) offering, Talen itself receives no proceeds; the shares already exist and no new dilution is created by this filing. The S-3ASR auto-effectiveness reflects Talen’s large accelerated filer status. This is an administrative registration enabling existing shareholders to sell their holdings in an orderly manner over time — routine and not operationally significant.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) filed an 8-K on June 15, 2026 covering a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01), completion of an acquisition or disposition (Item 2.01), creation of a direct financial obligation (Item 2.03), unregistered equity sales (Item 3.02), and a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01). Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific transaction counterparty, acquisition target, or financial obligation details are disclosed.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 283
AI summary

Daniel Jude Kelly filed an initial Form 3 for Talen Energy Corp (TLN) as of May 20, 2026, reporting his initial beneficial ownership upon becoming a Section 16 insider (officer or director) at the power generation company. This is a routine compliance filing.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01) with exhibits. Talen Energy is a Houston, Texas-based power generation company with a significant nuclear fleet listed on Nasdaq. Given Talen's nuclear assets and its data-center power purchase agreement pipeline, this material definitive agreement may relate to a new long-term power supply contract or data center offtake deal, which would be transformative and accretive.

8-KShareholder voteMay 78-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TLN held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-07 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 6 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 13 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Talen Energy to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 5, 2026globenewswire.com·3d agoTalen Energy: A Good Bet On Direct Data Centers Energyseekingalpha.com·7d agoVistra Vs. Talen: I Prefer The Higher-Risk AI Power Tradeseekingalpha.com·11d agoRecord Heat Dome Drove the Grid to All-Time Peak Demand Friday: Here's 4 Stocks To Buy As Things Heat Up247wallst.com·11d agoTalen Energy, Stock Of The Day, Delivers For Amazon, AI Data Centersinvestors.com·18d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Nuclear RenaissanceThe Power Grid

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