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OKOKLO

Oklo Inc.

$OKLO·$8.5B·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$41.70-8.7%YTD-43.6%1Y-35.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 607 posts2026-07-11: 817 posts2026-07-12: 528 posts2026-07-13: 683 posts2026-07-14: 440 posts2026-07-15: 455 posts2026-07-16: 580 posts4,154+12%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
OKOKLO
$OKLOOklo Inc.
$41.70-8.73%4.2k posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OKLO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

SMR-nuclear thesis stock now sits at 52-week lows with co-founders trimming and whale flow rebuilding leverage.

Oklo is a pre-revenue advanced-nuclear designer — the Aurora fast-reactor microreactor, 15-100MW modules, permitting through the NRC pathway. It's the purest way to trade the small-modular reactor narrative, and after a parabolic 2024 into early-2026 run, the stock has round-tripped 75% of the way back.

Why the setup is unusually two-sided:

  • There is still zero revenue behind the story: Q1 revenue was $0M, cash burn ran at ~$50M for the quarter, and management's stated FY27 revenue is barely $2M — the business is a permitting and site-development effort, not a company with product.
  • The insider signal is loud and negative: co-founders Caroline Cochran and Jacob DeWitte each sold $10.6M on July 2 — that's paired co-founder distribution at a 52-week low, which is not what a management team does when it believes the next re-rating is imminent.
  • Options positioning is the opposite bet: a whale flipped from a ~$130M short into a $175M long-dated leap and rolled into December $90 calls, plus over 50,000 of those calls in fresh open interest — a real bet the reset is done and the second leg is coming.
  • Tape and support are visible: shares sit at 0.5% of the 52-week range with the $46 support and the $49.19 log-Fib level being watched — the coil is loading energy either way, but from a broken chart, not a base.

The forward look: the way this becomes a real 'turnaround' is a named utility PPA (power purchase agreement) or a genuine construction-permit milestone with the NRC — those are the datapoints that would let the whale flow be right. Absent that, the co-founder selling into the low is the more informative signal, and another failure to hold $46 with a soft August 10 print (still negative EPS) opens a re-test of the March/April lows. This is a narrative option, not an investment yet.

Agrees with X sentimentBoth sides of the X debate are legitimate — the whale flow is a real signal, the 'no need for glasses expensive' bear read against zero revenue is also right. Our net: agree the setup is coiled, disagree with either side calling it a floor without a named utility or NRC catalyst.

What to watch: A named utility PPA or a hard NRC permitting milestone; failing that, another close under $46 on the August 10 report confirms the co-founder selling was signal, not housekeeping.

On the calendar: 2026-08-10 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠26 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15 · top-engagement diverged

Oklo chatter is a fascinating whale-flow story. One whale who was short OKLO since September 2025 made about $130M and closed the entire position - then immediately went long with a massive $175M 200c long-dated leap unwind flowing into shorter-dated 12/18/2026 $90 calls. Someone else sold 90 puts for $4.2M premium. 50,097 12/18/2026 $90 calls were added to open interest. Bulls call this the Trump admin's tacit reset of the sentiment. Bears remind that OKLO has essentially no sales, has fallen from $194 to $48 (-75%), and remains 'no need for glasses' expensive at $8.35B market cap. Traders are watching the $46 support and $49.19 log-Fib for a double bottom.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OKLO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Developing compact fast fission reactors (Aurora) for commercial-scale clean energy, with NRC license application filed.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OKLO.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

What this means for $OKLO

Neutral — Developing compact fast fission reactors (Aurora) for commercial-scale clean energy, with NRC license application filed; the AI power density capex and robotic warehouse automation demand does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+31.7%YTD
+71.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-76.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-6.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-8.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
0.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.19$-0.19+0.4%
Q4 2025Mar 17, 2026$-0.27$-0.18-50.0%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.20$-0.14-48.1%
Q2 2025Aug 11, 2025$-0.18$-0.11-64.3%
Next earningsMon, Aug 10·consensus EPS $-0.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$0———$-0.19$-50.7M
Q4 FY25$0———$-0.27$-60.4M
Q3 FY25$0———$-0.20$-23.1M
Q2 FY25$0———$-0.18$-19.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.9M$1.9M – $1.9M-$0.71-$0.83 – -$0.6311
FY27$7.9M$7.9M – $7.9M-$0.82-$1.03 – -$0.5511
FY28$69.2M$69.2M – $69.2M-$0.90-$1.32 – -$0.2412
FY29$174.5M$174.5M – $174.5M-$0.55-$0.55 – -$0.5511
FY30$288.5M$288.5M – $288.5M$0.29$0.29 – $0.296

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.0%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-30.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-48.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 146.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today7.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Bealmear Richard CraigCFO16.3K sh$859KSellJul 1Jacob DewitteCEO200.0K sh$10.6MSellJul 1Caroline CochranCOO200.0K sh$10.6MSellJun 1Bealmear Richard CraigCFO73.1K sh$5.0MSellJun 1Jacob DewitteCEO200.0K sh$13.7MSellJun 1Caroline CochranCOO200.0K sh$13.7MSellMay 20Goodwin William Carroll MurphyChief Legal & Strategy Officer10.5K sh$612KSellMay 1Bealmear Richard CraigCFO16.2K sh$1.1MSellMay 1Jacob DewitteCEO200.0K sh$14.0MSellMay 1Caroline CochranCOO56.9K sh$4.0M
1–10 of 13
+ 22 other (12 awards · 9 exempts · 1 gift) in window

See when $OKLO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 6SC 13D/A
AI summary

Amendment No. 6 to a Schedule 13D on Oklo Inc. discloses the reporting persons' updated stake in Oklo's Class A common stock: 20,559,091 shares = 11.1% of 184,836,005 shares outstanding as of July 1, 2026. The identity of the reporting persons is not captured in the available excerpt but this is an activist/significant holder disclosure. The position represents a material 11.1% economic and voting interest in Oklo; the intent (passive or activist) would be in Item 4 of the Schedule 13D body, which is not fully visible in the excerpt.

8-KShareholder voteJun 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Oklo Inc. (OKLO) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 3, 2026, electing three Class II directors to three-year terms through 2029: Caroline DeWitte (70.2M votes for), Dr. Mark Peters (70.3M), and Richard Kinzley (58.8M, with 11.8M withheld — the most contested seat). Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as auditor for FY2026 with 114.2M votes for and 378K against. This is a routine governance filing; Kinzley's elevated withhold vote (17% of votes cast) is a minor governance signal worth monitoring.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 13424B5
AI summary

OKLO filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-05-13, representing an active capital markets transaction. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

8-KAgreement terminatedMay 138-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
AI summary

OKLO entered into a equity distribution agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-05-13). Counterparty: Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, BofA Securities, Inc., Citigroup Global Markets Inc., J. Size: approximately $1,000,000,000. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 303
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for OKLO on 2026-04-30, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 21SC 13D/A
AI summary

Jacob DeWitte filed an amended Schedule 13D on OKLO disclosing beneficial ownership (21,159,091.00 shares) as of 2026-04-21. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for OKLO on 2026-04-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for OKLO on 2026-04-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 11 other (2 10-Qs · 2 3s · 2 13Gs · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Oklo Just Dropped 28% in a Month. Is It Time to Abandon Nuclear Stocks Like OKLO, NuScale, and Uranium Energy Corp.?247wallst.com·13h agoOklo Stock Is Down 41% in 2026: Here's What Investors Need to Understand Nowfool.com·2d agonewcleo's Nasdaq Plan Adds Fuel to Advanced Nuclear Interestzacks.com·2d agoThe U.S. Has Accumulated 100,000 Metric Tons of Used Nuclear Fuel. Oklo Sees It as a Massive Potential Energy Resource.fool.com·2d agoWhat's Wrong With Oklo's Stock?fool.com·3d ago

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