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SESERV

Serve Robotics Inc.

$SERV·$393M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$4.88+2.1%YTD-47.4%1Y-58.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-18: 27 posts2026-08-19: 30 posts2026-08-20: 21 posts2026-08-21: 27 posts2026-08-22: 18 posts198+9%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
SESERV
$SERVServe Robotics Inc.
$4.88+2.09%198 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SERV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Serve Robotics grew Q2 revenue 400% but guided volume lower — the Uber Eats disappointment is the specific tell, and shares are at 2% of the 52-week range.

Serve Robotics operates sidewalk delivery robots (Uber Eats, Grubhub, Wonder), and the recent tape has been broken by a specific operational disappointment — lower-than-expected delivery volume through the Uber Eats partnership in Q2 with expected reduced demand in the second half.

Where the setup actually is:

  • Revenue growth is real but off a tiny base: last quarter revenue jumped 577% year-over-year to $3.0M at a -302% gross margin — the FY26 revenue consensus of $25.6M (rising to $77M in FY27 and $144M in FY28) shows the market still models a ramp, but the operating margin at -17x and Q2 EPS miss (-$0.80 vs -$0.685) confirm this is deeply cash-consumptive.
  • The Uber Eats slowdown is the specific tell: the Aug 17 disclosure that Q2 delivery volume through Uber Eats undershot expectations plus reduced-demand-second-half guidance is what took shares -7% on the day and confirmed the guidance-cut-over-Grubhub-deal framing — the 2,000-robots-into-a-revenue-engine narrative just got its first serious challenge.
  • The insider tape is coincident distribution: officers Read ($46K+$28K) and Parang ($173K) sold shares Aug 18-19 at $4.5-4.8 — small dollar amounts, but timed right at the pullback, so the C-suite is not underwriting the sub-$5 zone as an entry.

The Nov 11 Q3 print takes the story from here — evidence Uber Eats volume stabilizes plus early Grubhub-partnership traction starts closing the drawdown; another guidance-cut or continued officer selling and the sub-$4 zone becomes the base. Note '$SERV' X chatter is dominated by OpenServ crypto — ignore that tape.

What to watch: The Nov 11 Q3 print — evidence Uber Eats volume stabilizes plus early Grubhub-partnership traction starts closing the drawdown; another guidance cut or continued officer selling and sub-$4 becomes the base.

On the calendar: 2026-11-11 — Q3 earnings

sentiment cashtag mismatch

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment21 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-27

OpenServ (SERV) sentiment is confidently bullish. Users celebrate SERV as the bridge for tokenized stocks/RWAs traded by AI agents, agentic DeFi yield management for institutions, and retail agent trading products all running on SERV agents and SERV Reasoning v2 (now live). Bulls highlight the EPAA seat alongside Mastercard and HSBC while the agentic-payments rulebook gets written, Graph Sharding as the key v3 differentiator, banking/financial-services expansion as the main commercial focus, and CEO Justyn Trenner's institutional endorsement. A 25% payments revenue buy-and-burn mechanic accrues to SERV. Skepticism is essentially absent; the modal stance is 'certified, programmed, inevitable'.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SERV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots in cities for food and package last-mile delivery.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SERV.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

What this means for $SERV

Neutral — Operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots in cities for food and package last-mile delivery; limited read-through from industrial - machinery macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

33-name peer basket
+26.9%YTD
+30.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-4.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-44.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-28.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-28.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
99.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-47.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-441%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.80$-0.69-16.8%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.65$-0.650.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-0.46$-0.49+6.1%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.54$-0.37-45.9%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $-0.69

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.0M+577.5%-302%-1735%$-0.65$-42.9M
Q4 FY25$882K+401.6%-757%-4569%$-0.46$-46.1M
Q3 FY25$687K+209.9%-638%-5072%$-0.54$-36.9M
Q2 FY25$642K+37.1%-445%-3527%$-0.36$-22.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$25.6M$23.2M – $26.5M-$2.67-$2.78 – -$2.616
FY27$77.4M$72.9M – $85.1M-$2.29-$2.46 – -$2.075
FY28$143.9M$105.8M – $189.3M-$1.95-$2.86 – -$1.245
FY29$239.8M$206.3M – $278.4M-$1.53-$1.86 – -$1.262
FY30$361.8M$311.2M – $420.0M-$1.05-$1.28 – -$0.862

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-10.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-45.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 70.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.475-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Brian ReadCFO9.7K sh$47KSellAug 18Brian ReadCFO6.1K sh$28KSellAug 18Touraj ParangCOO38.0K sh$173KSellAug 18Ali KashaniCEO45.2K sh$206KSellAug 17Brian ReadCFO25.2K sh$132KSellJun 16Goldberg David MichaelDirector10.6K sh$76KSellJun 10Brian ReadCFO1.5K sh$11KSellJun 10Touraj ParangCOO4.2K sh$31KSellJun 10Ali KashaniCEO15.9K sh$115KSellMay 7Touraj ParangCOO3.9K sh$36K
1–10 of 23
+ 4 other (4 awards) in window

See when $SERV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Serve Robotics disclosed on August 17, 2026 that it experienced lower-than-expected delivery volume through its Uber Eats partnership in Q2 2026, contributing to a revenue decline, and expects reduced demand in the second half of 2026. A press release was furnished as Exhibit 99.1. This is a material negative business update: commercial execution challenges with the core Uber Eats delivery robot partnership signal weakening near-term revenue prospects for Serve Robotics.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Serve Robotics (SERV) announced Q2 2026 financial results on August 6, 2026 for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, and separately posted a revised investor presentation. Specific robot deployment metrics and financial figures are in Exhibit 99.1.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 253
AI summary

Andreas Lieber filed a Form 3 as a new director of Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV), with an event date of June 22, 2026. The filing reports no securities beneficially owned — neither direct shares nor derivative securities. This is a routine insider registration required when a new director joins a public company. Administrative only; no economic position disclosed.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Serve Robotics disclosed two board changes: Sarfraz Maredia resigned as director effective June 17, 2026 (no disagreement with management), and Andreas Lieber was appointed as a Class I director to fill the vacancy effective June 22, 2026, serving until the 2027 annual meeting. Routine governance change at a robotics delivery startup — a board refresh at this early-stage company warrants monitoring for any strategic direction signals.

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Delaware 001-42023 85-3844872 disclosed voting results from its annual or special meeting. mission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. At the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders of Serve Robotics Inc. (the “Company”) held on June 17, 2026 (the “Annual Meeting”), the following proposals were submitted to the stockholders of the Company: Proposal 1: The election of Ali Kashani and Touraj Parang as Class III directors. Proposal 2: The ratification of the selection of PricewaterhouseC...

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 14424B5
AI summary

SERV filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-05-14, representing an active capital markets transaction. Priced at $0.0001 per share. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

S-3Shelf registrationMay 11S-3
AI summary

SERV filed a S-3 shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-11. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KAgreement terminatedMay 118-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

SERV filed an 8-K (Item 8.01) dated 2026-05-11. Other Events On January 29, 2026, the Company filed a Current Report on Form 8-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Original 8-K”), to report the completion of its acquisition of Diligent Robotics, Inc. May signal a transformative corporate event.

+ 15 other (2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 2 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

20 stocks likely to lose money even if the bull market continuesmarketwatch.com·10h agoShould You Buy, Sell or Hold Serve Robotics Stock Post Q2 Earnings?zacks.com·3d agoCan Serve Robotics Turn 2,000 Robots Into a Revenue Growth Engine?zacks.com·8d agoServe Robotics Sinks 7% as Guidance Cut Overshadows Grubhub Deal; Symbotic Drops 5%, DoorDash Ticks Up247wallst.com·10d agoServe Robotics Grew Its Second-Quarter Revenue by 400%, but This Shocking News Sent Its Stock Plungingfool.com·10d ago

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