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TickerTalks›$SERV
SESERV

Serve Robotics Inc.

$SERV·$337M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$3.23-7.4%YTD-57.2%1Y-79.1%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
SESERV
$SERVServe Robotics Inc.
$3.23-7.45%193 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $SERV on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

193X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $SERV's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

$SERV posts read as OpenServ token, not Serve Robotics. Bulls point at +45% in a session, a volume-spike-at-lows signal that historically preceded moves, and imminent V3 shipping and API launches with enterprises, banks, and government lining up. One macro-cautious voice calls it an easy-money-era name that can rally on a rate-cut cycle. No visible bear.

Read what X is saying about $SERV

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $SERV — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Serve Robotics just cut 2026 revenue outlook — gross margin is -441% and the stock is at 4% of 52-week range.

Serve Robotics operates autonomous food-delivery robots in US public spaces — the pure-play robot-delivery name alongside Starship and Nuro. The stock is at 4% of its 52-week range, below the 200-day MA by 42% after cutting its 2026 revenue outlook.

  • The P&L is deeply impaired: revenue grew 577% YoY to $3M last quarter (off a tiny base) at a -1,735% operating margin AND -441% gross margin — the business is losing more than $4 for every $1 of revenue, which is structurally unsustainable without a complete unit-economic reset.
  • The 2026 revenue outlook cut is a specific negative signal — bulls can frame cost discipline as the offset, but a company losing $4 on $1 of revenue needs a different business model, not better cost cuts.
  • The Elevate Service Group $25M acquisition facility is interesting as capital access but doesn't address the gross-margin fundamentals; the Symbotic comparison in news coverage frames Serve as a weaker robotics investment case.

Breaking-down holds unless Nov 11 earnings announce a specific unit-economic turn (positive gross margin on new routes) or a strategic review. Another gross-margin print at -300%+, or further revenue-outlook cuts, is what seals the de-rating; a signed major QSR partnership with unit-economics disclosure is what could restart the move — but the setup requires structural change, not incremental news.

Differs from X sentimentThe X $SERV cashtag is about OpenServ token (V3 shipping, enterprise/government API launches) — not Serve Robotics the delivery-robot company. The +45% session, volume-spike-at-lows signal, and macro-rate-cut-cycle framing are about the crypto, not the equity whose own tape is a classic broken-story unwind.

What to watch: Nov 11 earnings — gross margin trajectory above -200%, 2026 revenue outlook, any strategic review announcement, cash runway. Another gross-margin print below -300% is what seals the breaking-down tape toward the sub-$4 handle.

On the calendar: 2026-11-11 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $SERV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots in cities for food and package last-mile delivery.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SERV.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — GE Vernova gas turbines remain a gating input for hyperscaler power procurement as data-center buildout accelerates.

What this means for $SERV

Neutral — Operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots in cities for food and package last-mile delivery.

Industry benchmark

32-name peer basket
+18.7%YTD
-9.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-4.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-44.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-28.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-28.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
99.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-47.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-441%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.80$-0.69-16.8%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.65$-0.650.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-0.46$-0.49+6.1%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.54$-0.37-45.9%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $-0.67

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.0M+577.5%-302%-1735%$-0.65$-42.9M
Q4 FY25$882K+401.6%-757%-4569%$-0.46$-46.1M
Q3 FY25$687K+209.9%-638%-5072%$-0.54$-36.9M
Q2 FY25$642K+37.1%-445%-3527%$-0.36$-22.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.6M$9.2M – $10.1M-$2.71-$2.82 – -$2.565
FY27$26.7M$15.6M – $37.8M-$2.32-$2.84 – -$1.736
FY28$56.9M$40.2M – $83.9M-$2.11-$2.96 – -$1.416
FY29$119.8M$70.8M – $204.3M-$1.68-$3.22 – -$0.794
FY30$181.6M$107.3M – $309.7M-$1.40-$2.68 – -$0.663

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.0%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-29.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-58.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Brian ReadCFO9.7K sh$47KSellAug 18Brian ReadCFO6.1K sh$28KSellAug 18Touraj ParangCOO38.0K sh$173KSellAug 18Ali KashaniCEO45.2K sh$206KSellAug 17Brian ReadCFO25.2K sh$132KSellJun 16Goldberg David MichaelDirector10.6K sh$76KSellJun 10Brian ReadCFO1.5K sh$11KSellJun 10Touraj ParangCOO4.2K sh$31KSellJun 10Ali KashaniCEO15.9K sh$115KSellMay 7Touraj ParangCOO3.9K sh$36K
1–10 of 16
+ 7 other (7 awards) in window

See when $SERV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Serve Robotics disclosed on August 17, 2026 that it experienced lower-than-expected delivery volume through its Uber Eats partnership in Q2 2026, contributing to a revenue decline, and expects reduced demand in the second half of 2026. A press release was furnished as Exhibit 99.1. This is a material negative business update: commercial execution challenges with the core Uber Eats delivery robot partnership signal weakening near-term revenue prospects for Serve Robotics.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Serve Robotics (SERV) announced Q2 2026 financial results on August 6, 2026 for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, and separately posted a revised investor presentation. Specific robot deployment metrics and financial figures are in Exhibit 99.1.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 253
AI summary

Andreas Lieber filed a Form 3 as a new director of Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV), with an event date of June 22, 2026. The filing reports no securities beneficially owned — neither direct shares nor derivative securities. This is a routine insider registration required when a new director joins a public company. Administrative only; no economic position disclosed.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Serve Robotics disclosed two board changes: Sarfraz Maredia resigned as director effective June 17, 2026 (no disagreement with management), and Andreas Lieber was appointed as a Class I director to fill the vacancy effective June 22, 2026, serving until the 2027 annual meeting. Routine governance change at a robotics delivery startup — a board refresh at this early-stage company warrants monitoring for any strategic direction signals.

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Delaware 001-42023 85-3844872 disclosed voting results from its annual or special meeting. mission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. At the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders of Serve Robotics Inc. (the “Company”) held on June 17, 2026 (the “Annual Meeting”), the following proposals were submitted to the stockholders of the Company: Proposal 1: The election of Ali Kashani and Touraj Parang as Class III directors. Proposal 2: The ratification of the selection of PricewaterhouseC...

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 14424B5
AI summary

SERV filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-05-14, representing an active capital markets transaction. Priced at $0.0001 per share. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

S-3Shelf registrationMay 11S-3
AI summary

SERV filed a S-3 shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-11. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

+ 13 other (2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 2 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Elevate Service Group Strengthens Operating Platform with Key Management Hiresnewsfilecorp.com·9d agoServe Robotics to Present at Evercore ISI's 5th Annual Automation Tech & Physical AI Conferenceglobenewswire.com·12d agoElevate Service Group Secures $25 Million Acquisition Facility and Expands Operating Line to $7.5 Millionnewsfilecorp.com·16d agoSERV Cuts 2026 Revenue Outlook: Can Cost Discipline Limit the Impact?zacks.com·17d agoServe Robotics vs. Symbotic: Which Robotics Stock Has the Edge Now?zacks.com·19d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Robotics & Humanoids

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SERV on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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