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SESERV

Serve Robotics Inc.

$SERV·$394M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$5.92-2.0%YTD-45.2%1Y-44.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-03: 205 posts2026-07-04: 35 posts2026-07-05: 50 posts2026-07-06: 125 posts2026-07-07: 103 posts2026-07-08: 128 posts2026-07-09: 176 posts825
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 3d ago
SESERV
$SERVServe Robotics Inc.
$5.92-1.99%825 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SERV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Too early to tellWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-12

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Sidewalk-delivery bot company with real fleet but $3M/quarter revenue; Aug 6 print is the reality check.

Serve Robotics builds and operates sidewalk-delivery robots — real technology, 500+ bots in LA, and a Wall Street average PT of ~$18.45 vs a $6 print. The stock is at 1% of the 52-week range coiling into an Aug 6 print, and this is essentially a pre-commercial thesis.

  • Revenue is nascent: Q1 $3M with 577% YoY growth (from $436K), $0.9M Q4 — growth is real but the base is so small that current multiples (99x P/S) are meaningless. A call option on scaling, not a fundamentals story.
  • Unit economics are the problem: -441% gross margin and -29% op margin means every bot deployment costs Serve more than 4x revenue it collects. Until unit economics get to positive gross margin, the business is fund-raising to scale.
  • The Wall Street avg PT of $18.45 vs $6.05 spot is the 205% upside math bulls are running — aggressive but not unreasonable if the fleet scales into positive contribution margin over 18 months, which requires Q2/Q3/Q4 revenue to accelerate off the $3M base.
  • Insider activity is neutral: routine director awards + a small $76K director sale (Goldberg June 16) — not conviction-scale either direction. The C-suite is neither adding nor exiting materially.

Aug 6 Q2 earnings + fleet metrics is where reality shows up. Q2 revenue above $6M + fleet-utilization improvement + a specific enterprise-partner (healthcare, delivery-network) triggers a coil-breakout above $8. Another $2-3M print with no commercial expansion confirms the price is fair, sub-$6.

Agrees with X sentimentThe 60-post sentiment sample blends the OpenServ crypto-token community with the Serve Robotics equity thread — both are constructive but only the equity thread is relevant here. The bull framing of the $18.45 average PT is directionally right if fleet scaling holds, but the Aug 6 print has to show Q2 revenue genuinely accelerating off the $3M base, which the crypto side is not tracking.

What to watch: Aug 6 Q2 earnings + updated fleet metrics. Q2 revenue tracking above $6M + fleet-utilization improvement + a specific enterprise-partner announcement (healthcare, delivery-network expansion) triggers a coil-breakout above $8. Another $2-3M print with no commercial expansion confirms the price is fair and stays sub-$6.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment51 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-12

Chatter under SERV combined promotional posts for the OpenServ AI crypto token discussing its mid-July v2 release aimed at banking and enterprise AI adoption, and separate Serve Robotics posts noting over 500 autonomous delivery bots deployed in Los Angeles. Contributors cited an average analyst price target of $18.45 versus the roughly $6.05 stock price implying 205 percent upside. Community members described accumulation while acknowledging bear-market conditions.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SERV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots in cities for food and package last-mile delivery.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SERV.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

What this means for $SERV

Partial — Operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots in cities for food and package last-mile delivery; this segment overlaps with the AI power density capex and robotic warehouse automation demand but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+49.1%YTD
+80.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-4.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-44.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-28.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-28.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
99.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-47.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-441%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.65$-0.650.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-0.46$-0.49+6.1%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.54$-0.37-45.9%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.36$-0.23-56.5%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-0.69

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.0M+577.5%-302%-1735%$-0.65$-42.9M
Q4 FY25$882K+401.6%-757%-4569%$-0.46$-46.1M
Q3 FY25$687K+209.9%-638%-5072%$-0.54$-36.9M
Q2 FY25$642K+37.1%-445%-3527%$-0.36$-22.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$25.6M$23.2M – $26.5M-$2.67-$2.78 – -$2.616
FY27$77.4M$72.9M – $85.1M-$2.29-$2.46 – -$2.075
FY28$143.9M$140.8M – $147.1M-$1.95-$2.86 – -$1.245
FY29$239.8M$220.6M – $261.5M-$1.53-$1.72 – -$1.382
FY30$361.8M$332.8M – $394.4M-$1.05-$1.18 – -$0.952

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-24.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-42.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 54.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.265-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 16Goldberg David MichaelDirector10.6K sh$76KSellJun 10Brian ReadCFO1.5K sh$11KSellJun 10Ali KashaniCEO15.9K sh$115KSellJun 10Touraj ParangCOO4.2K sh$31KSellMay 7Touraj ParangCOO3.9K sh$36KSellMay 7Brian ReadCFO201 sh$2KSellMay 7Ali KashaniCEO14.6K sh$136KSellMay 6Brian ReadCFO2.8K sh$26KSellMay 6Ali KashaniCEO11.8K sh$109KSellMay 6Touraj ParangCOO6.0K sh$56K
1–10 of 31
+ 4 other (4 awards) in window

See when $SERV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 253
AI summary

Andreas Lieber filed a Form 3 as a new director of Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV), with an event date of June 22, 2026. The filing reports no securities beneficially owned — neither direct shares nor derivative securities. This is a routine insider registration required when a new director joins a public company. Administrative only; no economic position disclosed.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Serve Robotics disclosed two board changes: Sarfraz Maredia resigned as director effective June 17, 2026 (no disagreement with management), and Andreas Lieber was appointed as a Class I director to fill the vacancy effective June 22, 2026, serving until the 2027 annual meeting. Routine governance change at a robotics delivery startup — a board refresh at this early-stage company warrants monitoring for any strategic direction signals.

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Delaware 001-42023 85-3844872 disclosed voting results from its annual or special meeting. mission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. At the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders of Serve Robotics Inc. (the “Company”) held on June 17, 2026 (the “Annual Meeting”), the following proposals were submitted to the stockholders of the Company: Proposal 1: The election of Ali Kashani and Touraj Parang as Class III directors. Proposal 2: The ratification of the selection of PricewaterhouseC...

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 14424B5
AI summary

SERV filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-05-14, representing an active capital markets transaction. Priced at $0.0001 per share. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

S-3Shelf registrationMay 11S-3
AI summary

SERV filed a S-3 shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-11. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KAgreement terminatedMay 118-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

SERV filed an 8-K (Item 8.01) dated 2026-05-11. Other Events On January 29, 2026, the Company filed a Current Report on Form 8-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Original 8-K”), to report the completion of its acquisition of Diligent Robotics, Inc. May signal a transformative corporate event.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

SERV reported period ending 2026-05-07 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 118-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (3 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 EFFECT) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will Serve Robotics' Healthcare Push Unlock a Bigger AI Opportunity?zacks.com·6d agoServe Robotics Stock Falls 37% YTD: Should Investors Buy the Dip?zacks.com·12d agoIs Serve Robotics Building a Diversified Robotics Business Model?zacks.com·13d agoCan SERV's AI Data Flywheel Create a Lasting Competitive Edge?zacks.com·17d agoHumanoid Robotics CEO: The First Pure-Play Robot Company Is About to Go Public247wallst.com·19d ago

In themes

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

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