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TWTWIN

Twin Disc, Incorporated

$TWIN·$411M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$24.47-3.5%YTD+56.8%1Y+70.0%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
TWTWIN
$TWINTwin Disc, Incorporated
$24.47-3.47%69 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $TWIN on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

69X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TWIN's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 82% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-13

$TWIN sentiment is bullish among Solana community holders after roughly six months of bagworking, with organic growth and 16K likes on viral posts. Bulls tie an upcoming Zelda Ocarina of Time release plus surrounding content to a chart pattern building; follower count grows organically.

Read what X is saying about $TWIN

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TWIN — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Twin Disc targets $500M revenue on defense and electrification tailwinds — EPS beat 178%, now a 52-week high setup.

Twin Disc is a specialty engineered-components maker — marine transmissions, defense-grade transmissions, and electrification solutions. The 2026 story has moved from 'cyclical specialty' to 'defense-and-electrification growth story' with specific $500M revenue aspirational targets.

  • The P&L surprise is enormous: Q4 revenue grew 18% YoY to $114M at a 6.8% operating margin and $0.15 EPS, with the most recent print beating Street estimates by 178% — a surprise of that size reflects both demand acceleration and operating-leverage inflection.
  • The institutional positioning is specific: BlackRock acquired 743K shares in September, Connor Clark & Lunn initiating a position in August, and the $500M revenue target disclosure all point to a company that institutional capital is positioning around rather than trading.

At 98% of its 52-week range and 45% above the 200-day going into Oct 30 earnings, this is a confirmed-breakout setup rather than a coil. Another 100%+ EPS surprise plus any defense-contract disclosure is the trigger for continuation; a sequential-flat marine print or any electrification margin surprise is the first real risk.

What to watch: Oct 30 Q1 earnings — defense-contract revenue, electrification segment growth, operating margin direction, and FY27 guide. 100%+ EPS surprise with named defense contract is the trigger; sequential-flat marine is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-10-30 — Q1 earnings

event ahead 30ddefense electrification

Read the AI verdict on $TWIN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Twin Disc manufactures power transmission equipment (marine transmissions, torque converters, drive systems) for ships, off-highway vehicles, and industrial machinery.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TWIN.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — GE Vernova gas turbines remain a gating input for hyperscaler power procurement as data-center buildout accelerates.

What this means for $TWIN

Neutral — Twin Disc manufactures power transmission equipment (marine transmissions, torque converters, drive systems) for ships, off-highway vehicles, and industrial machinery.

Industry benchmark

32-name peer basket
+15.1%YTD
-14.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 20, 2026$0.64$0.23+178.3%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.23$0.25-8.0%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$1.55$0.21+638.1%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$-0.04$0.02-300.0%
Next earningsFri, Oct 30·consensus EPS $0.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$114.4M+18.3%26.3%6.8%$0.15—
Q3 FY26$96.7M+19.0%28.1%6.1%$0.23$1.8M
Q2 FY26$90.2M+0.3%24.8%2.3%$1.58$1.2M
Q1 FY26$80.0M+9.7%28.7%2.8%$-0.04$-11.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$367.2M$367.2M – $367.2M$1.99$1.99 – $1.991
FY27$410.1M$410.1M – $410.1M$0.74$0.74 – $0.741
FY28$442.9M$442.9M – $442.9M$1.02$1.02 – $1.021

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.68%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+21.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 10.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 8Knutson Jeffrey ScottCFO7.5K sh$181KSellSep 4Knutson Jeffrey ScottCFO5.9K sh$137KSellSep 3Knutson Jeffrey ScottCFO4.3K sh$99K
+ 9 other (7 awards · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $TWIN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 258-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Twin Disc executive officers intend to present investor materials at meetings with investors, analysts, and conferences on or after August 25, 2026; the presentation will also be posted to the company's website. The materials include non-GAAP financial information. Routine investor presentation Reg FD disclosure; no new material financial information announced.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 208-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Twin Disc executive officers intend to present investor materials at meetings with investors, analysts, and investor conferences on or after August 20, 2026, with the presentation also posted to the company's website. Materials include non-GAAP financial information and are not expected to be updated. Second consecutive investor presentation Reg FD filing by Twin Disc within one week; routine pre-earnings roadshow disclosure.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 208-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Twin Disc reported its Q4 and full fiscal year 2026 financial results via press release dated August 20, 2026, furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The press release is incorporated by reference into this Item 2.02. Standard annual earnings announcement; full financial results and management commentary are in the attached press release.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Twin Disc's Board approved an Amended and Restated 2021 Omnibus Incentive Plan on August 5, 2026, increasing the share pool by 700,000 shares (from 1,636,550 to 2,336,550 shares available for equity awards including options, SARs, restricted stock, RSUs, and performance shares). Routine equity plan share reserve increase; moderately dilutive to existing shareholders, representing approximately 42.8% increase in available award capacity.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Twin Disc entered into a new Credit Agreement on June 30, 2026 with Bank of Montreal as administrative agent, swing line lender, and LC issuer, and JPMorgan Chase as co-lender, refinancing and replacing the February 2025 credit agreement. The facility includes term loans totaling approximately $3+ million in aggregate (figure truncated in excerpt); Kobelt Manufacturing Co. Ltd. is a guarantor. Material credit facility refinancing that updates Twin Disc's primary banking relationship and credit terms.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 9 other (3 proxys · 1 ARS · 1 10-K · 1 S-8 POS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AB SKF (OTCMKTS:SKFRY) and Twin Disc (NASDAQ:TWIN) Head-To-Head Contrastdefenseworld.net·2d agoTwin Disc Subsidiary Katsa Invests in New Assembly Plant to Meet Rising Global Demandglobenewswire.com·3d agoTwin Disc: Multiple Growth Driversseekingalpha.com·5d agoBlackRock Inc. Acquires Shares of 743,060 Twin Disc, Incorporated $TWINdefenseworld.net·43d agoConnor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd. Takes Position in Twin Disc, Incorporated $TWINdefenseworld.net·48d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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