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TickerTalks›$CEG
CECEG

Constellation Energy Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 64% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (811/wk), no spike
$CEG·$90B·Renewable Utilities·Utilities
$252.39+0.2%YTD-29.5%1Y-18.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 97 posts2026-07-11: 37 posts2026-07-12: 121 posts2026-07-13: 165 posts2026-07-14: 166 posts2026-07-15: 104 posts2026-07-16: 116 posts811-0%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
CECEG
$CEGConstellation Energy Corporation
$252.39+0.25%811 posts-0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CEG, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Largest US nuclear operator down 30% YTD despite winning the PJM capacity auction — real setup.

Constellation Energy is the largest US independent nuclear-power generator — a fleet of reactors that produces 24/7 clean baseload power. The 2024-25 story was the multi-year AI-hyperscaler data-center supply thesis; the 2026 tape has been a violent unwind of that trade even as the underlying fundamentals kept improving.

What matters right now:

  • Growth just landed in the numbers: Q1 revenue up 64% YoY to $11.1B — the largest quarter YoY growth of any big utility, driven by the recognition of previously-signed hyperscaler PPAs.
  • The PJM capacity auction just cleared favorably: July 14 disclosure that all CEG nuclear units cleared PJM's 2028-2029 Base Residual Auction at favorable capacity prices — this is real revenue visibility multiple years out.
  • The multiple has finally reset: 27x trailing earnings, but FY27 consensus EPS is $11.74 for a forward P/E of 21x — reasonable for a company with this operational leverage on the data-center demand curve.
  • Position confirms the drawdown: 12.6% of the 52-week range and 20% below the 200-day moving average, with YTD -30% — the tape has fully digested the profit-taking phase.
  • The Blue Energy strategic investment (July 16) is an interesting extension: a new-nuclear shipyard-manufacturing model that could accelerate small-modular-reactor deployment — long-tail optionality on top of the existing fleet.

The forward view: the August 6 Q2 print is the referee. A beat with continued PJM capacity commentary plus specific hyperscaler-contract disclosures restarts the coil upward toward the community's $320 target. What keeps it coiled: another quarter of growth in the print but a maintenance guide that doesn't extend the hyperscaler runway. What breaks it lower: a specific hyperscaler capex-shift away from behind-the-meter nuclear PPAs (i.e., toward gas or other sources), or a regulatory setback on 24-7-clean-energy definitions.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on nuclear-power supercycle and CEG as a must-own AI-electricity play is directionally right. Our take agrees the setup is compelling and adds that the PJM auction outcome is a real forward-visibility datapoint the crowd is right to weight.

What to watch: August 6 Q2 earnings and any additional hyperscaler PPA disclosures; a hyperscaler capex-shift away from nuclear or a 24/7-clean-energy regulatory setback would break the coil lower.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment17 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Constellation Energy is being framed as the AI-power-scarcity trade despite being -31% YTD. Bulls emphasize the largest US nuclear fleet, a Microsoft Power Purchase Agreement, $30B revenue and ~$90B market cap, the strategically-timed Calpine acquisition adding ~28GW of flexible capacity just before AI demand ramped, and the Production Tax Credit legislation anchoring a merchant-plus-hedge margin story. Bulls now add a fresh strategic equity investment from Constellation Technology Ventures into Blue Energy (its first US SMR developer), and highlight that the true AI bottleneck is electricity rather than chips. There is essentially no coherent bear thread in the sample beyond a note that CEG has underperformed peer nuclear names like IMSR YTD.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CEG

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates the largest US nuclear fleet providing reliable carbon-free baseload electricity to utilities and data centers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Renewable Utilities sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CEG.

Renewable Utilities · Utilities

No material change from last week — hyperscaler 24/7 carbon-free PPAs still anchor CEG and GEV at premium multiples relative to merchant wind and solar; structural re-rating is intact.

What this means for $CEG

Neutral — Operates the largest US nuclear fleet providing reliable carbon-free baseload electricity to utilities and data centers; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the hyperscaler 24/7 carbon-free PPA demand pulling contracted baseload capacity.

Top industry ETF

$ICLNiShares Global Clean Energy ETF
+10.0%YTD
+36.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
26.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
77.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$2.74$2.54+7.9%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$2.30$2.28+0.9%
Q3 2025Nov 7, 2025$3.04$3.11-2.3%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$1.91$1.84+3.8%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $2.41

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$11.1B+63.8%42.9%20.8%$4.49$-850.0M
Q4 FY25$5.5B+1.4%288%2.7%$1.38$-181.0M
Q3 FY25$7.2B+9.7%23.7%21.4%$2.97$1.5B
Q2 FY25$6.1B+11.4%18.0%15.6%$2.67$710.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$32.9B$24.5B – $39.7B$11.74$11.31 – $11.9810
FY27$34.5B$22.0B – $43.4B$13.56$12.07 – $14.5610
FY28$36.4B$36.0B – $36.9B$17.23$14.51 – $23.0913
FY29$38.6B$26.8B – $47.7B$19.81$11.90 – $25.8512
FY30$39.6B$27.4B – $48.9B$21.24$12.76 – $27.716

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.13%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-19.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 337.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.125-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 37 other (19 awards · 7 exempts · 6 inkinds · 5 returns) in window

See when $CEG insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B4Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 2424B4
AI summary

Constellation Energy (CEG) 424B4: 11M shares sold by selling shareholders at market; company not receiving proceeds; company simultaneously repurchasing 2M shares from the underwriters at the offering price. Secondary offering plus concurrent buyback — broadly neutral to the issuer; 9M net new shares enter the float.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 118-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CEG reported first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the pre financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KShareholder voteMay 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

CEG held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-01 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 10 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 318-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CEG filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-03-31. Covers: presentatives are invited to participate on a listen-only basis. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CEG disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-26). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 248-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 18S-3ASR
8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Feb 108-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 16 other (4 routine 8-Ks · 4 13Gs · 3 proxys · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) Dipped More Than Broader Market Todayzacks.com·1d agoBlue Energy Receives Strategic Investment from Constellation to Accelerate Commercialization of Novel Shipyard Manufacturing and Project Financing Model for New Nuclearprnewswire.com·2d agoThe AI-Driven Rise in Power Bills Are Causing a $25 Billion Problem for Utility Stocksfool.com·4d agoBeyond the Foundry: 5 Infrastructure Stocks Tackling the AI Bottlenecksmarketbeat.com·4d agoWill Constellation Benefit From America's Rising Electricity Needs?zacks.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Nuclear RenaissanceThe Power Grid

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Voices on X · top 11 · last 7 days

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