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NRNRG

NRG Energy, Inc.

$NRG·$30B·Independent Power Producers·Utilities
$129.11-2.7%YTD-20.1%1Y-12.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 73 posts2026-07-11: 37 posts2026-07-12: 55 posts2026-07-13: 84 posts2026-07-14: 53 posts2026-07-15: 69 posts2026-07-16: 57 posts432+2%
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
NRNRG
$NRGNRG Energy, Inc.
$129.11-2.74%432 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NRG, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

AI-power play with 6,839MW cleared PJM auction just gave back into Q2 earnings in three weeks.

NRG Energy is a large US independent power producer — a mix of natural gas, renewables, and retail electricity that has become a specific AI-power-buildout beneficiary.

What the setup shows:

  • Growth is strong: Q1 revenue up 20% YoY to $10.3B, and the four-quarter growth stack is 1-20% — real acceleration.
  • The July 15 PJM 2028-2029 auction clearing 6,839MW is a real forward-visibility datapoint at favorable capacity prices.
  • Margins are tight in the cycle: operating margin 3% overall, but Q1 was 2.5% and improving.
  • The multiple is stretched on trailing: 116x P/E, but FY27 consensus EPS is $9.37 for a forward P/E of 14x — priced fairly on forward.
  • Position confirms the digestion: 18% of 52-week range and 14% below the 200-day moving average — real profit-taking phase after the AI-power tape ran.
  • Today's -3.7% is part of the sector-wide AI-power basket digestion (CEG and VST hit similarly).

The forward view: the August 4 Q2 print is the referee. A beat with continued PJM/data-center demand commentary plus specific behind-the-meter hyperscaler PPA disclosure extends the coil upward. What keeps it stuck: another quarter of noisy power-price accounting without additional contracts. What breaks it lower: a specific hyperscaler capex-shift away from behind-the-meter power sources, or a fuel-cost spike that eats operating margin.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on behind-the-meter power thesis and NRG as a fast solution alongside BE and GEV is directionally right. Our take agrees the AI-power theme is intact and adds the PJM auction as a specific forward-visibility datapoint.

What to watch: August 4 Q2 earnings and any behind-the-meter hyperscaler PPA disclosure; a hyperscaler capex-shift or fuel-cost spike would break the coil the wrong way.

On the calendar: 2026-08-04 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13

Summer power demand colliding with data center electricity demand is being framed as making behind-the-meter power essential, with NRG cited alongside BE and GEV as fast solutions from gas turbines to fuel cells. Technical scans flagged NRG with repeated bullish hits, and traders continue to swing NRG alongside META with strong week-over-week momentum.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NRG

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates competitive power generation and retail electricity brands (Reliant, Green Mountain) for residential and commercial customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Independent Power Producers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NRG.

Independent Power Producers · Utilities

No material change from last week — hyperscalers need 24/7 carbon-free electricity that nuclear plants uniquely provide, and VST/TLN are competing to capture co-location and long-term offtake..

What this means for $NRG

Neutral — Operates competitive power generation and retail electricity brands (Reliant, Green Mountain) for residential and commercial customers; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the hyperscaler 24/7 carbon-free nuclear PPA demand.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-18.2%YTD
-5.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
116.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
8.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
17.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.48$1.77-16.4%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$1.03$0.97+6.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$2.75$2.14+28.5%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$1.68$1.74-3.4%
Next earningsTue, Aug 4·consensus EPS $1.77

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$10.3B+20.0%8.3%2.5%$0.52$-486.0M
Q4 FY25$7.8B+13.7%32.8%3.2%$0.26$-175.0M
Q3 FY25$7.6B+5.7%13.5%5.5%$0.70$230.0M
Q2 FY25$6.7B+1.2%16.5%0.6%$-0.62$73.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$34.6B$32.3B – $36.8B$9.37$7.87 – $10.606
FY27$35.7B$22.1B – $45.6B$11.39$8.24 – $13.037
FY28$37.3B$36.9B – $37.6B$13.09$10.91 – $14.649
FY29$37.7B$30.5B – $45.4B$15.05$11.30 – $19.054
FY30$38.7B$31.3B – $46.6B$18.05$13.55 – $22.854

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.18%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-14.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 210.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.205-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 15Virginia KinneyExec VP, Chief Admin Officer20.0K sh$2.6MSellMar 16Virginia KinneyExec VP, Chief Admin Officer5.0K sh$783KSellMar 4Ls Power Equity Advisors, Llc10% owner16.1M sh$2.6BSellMar 4David Nanus10% owner16.1M sh$2.6B
+ 48 other (44 awards · 2 inkinds · 2 exempts) in window

See when $NRG insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 33
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of NRG securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of icial Ownership (Instr. 5) Common Stock,. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at NRG.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) filed an 8-K on May 21, 2026 disclosing a personnel change (Item 5.02) and a Regulation FD disclosure (Item 7.01). NRG Energy is a Houston, Texas-based integrated power company listed on the NYSE. The concurrent Reg FD filing likely includes an investor presentation accompanying the leadership change; an executive change at a large-cap power company is noteworthy depending on the role.

8-KShareholder voteMay 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NRG held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-01 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 9 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Apr 308-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NRG disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-30). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Chief Executive Officer As. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NRG entered into a purchase agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-28). Counterparty: Company, the guarantors named therein and Citigroup Global Markets Inc.. Size: approximately $500 million. Rate: 4.955%. Due 2031. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NRG filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-14. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NRG disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-07). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 48-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 25 other (5 13Gs · 3 routine 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 3 3s) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

This Vanguard ETF Owns Stocks Nobody Is Talking About -- and That's Why It's Worth a Lookfool.com·8d agoNRG Energy (NRG) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Knowzacks.com·8d agoIs Trending Stock NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) a Buy Now?zacks.com·9d agoNRG Energy to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 4, 2026businesswire.com·11d agoRecord Heat Dome Drove the Grid to All-Time Peak Demand Friday: Here's 4 Stocks To Buy As Things Heat Up247wallst.com·12d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Nuclear RenaissanceThe Power Grid

More in Independent Power Producers

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NRG on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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