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TATAC

TransAlta Corporation

$TAC·$3.7B·Independent Power Producers·Utilities
$12.89+0.1%YTD-7.7%1Y-17.4%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
TATAC
$TACTransAlta Corporation
$12.89+0.08%73 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $TAC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

73X posts · last 7 days
Sep 21Oct 4
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TAC's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 88% of tracked names.

Neutral sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-11

The $TAC cashtag is TAC crypto (BNB Chain contract swap 9/9 at 10:00 UTC, mainnet back producing blocks since Sept 2, deposits/withdrawals resumed on KuCoin/Bitget/Binance Alpha 1:1) — not TransAlta equity. Down 11% with bearish structure; sample is crypto network operations.

Read what X is saying about $TAC

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TAC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

TransAlta with 274% EPS surprise and DOE Centralia extension — the Canadian power-gen setup into Nov 5 earnings.

TransAlta is a Canadian independent power producer with specific exposure to coal-to-gas transition, hydro, and renewables. The 2026 drawdown reflects general IPP-cycle concerns, now meeting specific operational signals.

  • The P&L is uneven but surprising to the upside: Q2 revenue was down 25% YoY to $566M at a 4.2% operating margin and $0.044 EPS, with trailing EPS beats of 18.2% and 274% — these are the kinds of surprises on a cycle-sensitive utility where realized power pricing can swing results dramatically.
  • The specific capital-markets positioning is substantive: Zacks Buy rating plus the DOE Centralia Unit 2 90-day availability mandate — the latter is a specific policy-driven revenue extension that the Street may not have fully modeled.

At 15% of its 52-week range going into Nov 5 earnings, the setup is a classic utility-at-drawdown coil. Another 15%+ EPS surprise plus any specific Centralia-related revenue commentary is the trigger for a reclaim; a soft Alberta-power-pricing print or any ESG-related signal is the invalidation.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 earnings — Alberta-power realized price, Centralia revenue contribution, operating margin direction, and FY27 guide. 15%+ EPS surprise plus Centralia detail is the trigger; soft power-pricing is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dpower cycle

Read the AI verdict on $TAC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian power generator owning hydro, wind, solar, and natural gas plants across Canada, the U.S., and Australia; actively transitioning from coal.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Independent Power Producers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TAC.

Independent Power Producers · Utilities

No material change from last week — AI datacenter power demand is creating a scarcity premium for 24/7 clean baseload capacity, uniquely advantaging nuclear IPPs.

What this means for $TAC

Neutral — Canadian power generator owning hydro, wind, solar, and natural gas plants across Canada, the U.S., and Australia; actively transitioning from coal.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-19.8%YTD
-26.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-26.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-2.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-11.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
32.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$0.13$0.11+18.2%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.03$-0.02+274.0%
Q4 2025Feb 27, 2026$-0.04$0.05-180.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.01$0.04-138.6%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$566.5M-25.3%43.0%4.2%$0.04$93.2M
Q4 FY25$598.5M-11.7%23.0%-15.0%$-0.21$146.9M
Q3 FY25$615.0M-3.6%28.3%1.8%$-0.21$196.0M
Q2 FY25$433.0M-25.6%77.1%-0.5%$-0.38$79.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1B$2.0B – $2.2B$0.31$0.29 – $0.331
FY27$2.3B$2.2B – $2.4B$0.56$0.52 – $0.592
FY28$2.6B$2.5B – $2.7B$0.74$0.69 – $0.791
FY29$2.2B$2.1B – $2.3B$0.96$0.90 – $1.031
FY30$2.2B$2.1B – $2.3B$1.18$1.11 – $1.271

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.23%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 264.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.475-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 21 other (17 6-Ks · 2 SUPPLs · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

TransAlta to Host Third Quarter 2026 Results Conference Callglobenewswire.com·3d agoTransAlta Co. (TSE:TA) Stock Now Rated “Buy” by Wall Street Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·8d agoNew Mexico Cybersecurity Firm “CyberSandia” Discusses Public Sector Cyberthreats with State Cybersecurity Leadersbusinesswire.com·23d agoDepartment of Energy Mandates Centralia Unit 2 Remain Available for Operation for Additional 90 Daysglobenewswire.com·25d agoSocify.ai Surges to 300 Clients, Emerging as a Fast-Growing Challenger in AI-Powered SOC 2 Compliancebusinesswire.com·32d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TAC on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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