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TickerTalks›$TDG
TDTDG

TransDigm Group Incorporated

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 18% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (54 mentions/wk)
$TDG·$61B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$1139.34+0.4%YTD-16.5%1Y-8.8%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
TDTDG
$TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated
$1,139.34+0.45%54 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $TDG on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

54X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TDG's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-07

TransDigm trades at its lowest forward PE in years. Bulls call the pitch simple — ~90% of net sales proprietary, ~75% sole-source with FAA re-approval switching cost. And you can now buy nearly 10% cheaper than President Trump did (his $1,311 entry vs $1,185 today). Uniformly constructive.

Read what X is saying about $TDG

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TDG — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

A proprietary-parts aerospace monopoly beating every quarter, buying another bolt-on, and still trading 16% off the year.

TransDigm continues to execute the same model that has compounded for two decades — proprietary, sole-source aerospace content with FAA switching costs — and the market has given investors a 16% year-to-date discount to buy more of it.

  • The $1.07B Prince & Izant acquisition closed September 28 and the $3B senior-secured notes refinancing (upsized from $2.5B) extends the debt maturity profile cleanly, exactly the capital-structure cadence this operating model requires.
  • Four straight earnings beats (Q3 $10.87 vs $10.30, Q2 $9.85 vs $9.46) and sell-side fiscal 2027 EPS of $41 stepping to $48, $55, $64 across the next three fiscal years give the forward multiple around 23x — rich but earned.
  • Operating margin 46.5% and gross margin 59% confirm the pricing power is intact; the only reason to worry is that insider trading is director-award only with no open-market buys from the leadership team.

At $1,090 the stock is coiling in the lower part of the 52-week range going into the November 11 report — the setup for a reclaim-and-run is in place if the fiscal-year guidance ladders consistent with the sell-side's 17% EPS growth model.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls lean on the 90% proprietary, 75% sole-source mix and the margin profile; the TickerTalks read agrees the moat is real and the setup into November is favorable, with the discipline reminder that the multiple leaves no room for a guidance stumble.

What to watch: November 11 fiscal Q4 earnings and the fiscal 2027 initial guidance; the Prince & Izant integration disclosure on revenue and margin contribution; any aftermarket commentary on commercial-aerospace demand into 2027.

On the calendar: FY Q4 earnings scheduled 2026-11-11

Read the AI verdict on $TDG

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and acquires proprietary sole-source aircraft components with strong aftermarket pricing power.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TDG.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $TDG

Neutral — Designs and acquires proprietary sole-source aircraft components with strong aftermarket pricing power.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
+1.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
35.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
14.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
46.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-24.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-3.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$10.87$10.30+5.5%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$9.85$9.46+4.1%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$8.23$8.10+1.6%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$10.82$10.04+7.8%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $12.22

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.5B+18.3%59.4%46.3%$9.20$64.0M
Q1 FY26$2.3B+13.9%56.7%45.6%$6.62$772.0M
Q4 FY25$2.4B+11.5%60.3%47.6%$7.75$441.0M
Q3 FY25$2.2B+9.3%59.5%46.4%$8.47$573.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$10.5B$10.5B – $10.6B$41.12$40.65 – $41.6516
FY27$11.6B$11.3B – $11.8B$48.29$46.61 – $50.8916
FY28$12.4B$11.9B – $13.0B$55.47$41.31 – $64.6218
FY29$13.3B$12.9B – $13.7B$64.62$62.47 – $67.2115
FY30$14.4B$14.1B – $14.9B$72.24$69.84 – $75.139

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.17%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 55.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.945-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 15Joel ReissCOO4.1K sh$4.6MSellSep 15Joel ReissCOO2.8K sh$3.1MSellAug 18Howley W NicholasDirector3.9K sh$4.8MSellAug 17Joel ReissCOO727 sh$897KSellJul 20Howley W NicholasDirector9.2K sh$11.2MSellJul 15Joel ReissCOO3.8K sh$4.6MSellJun 18Howley W NicholasDirector8.5K sh$11.2MSellJun 15Joel ReissCOO3.9K sh$5.0MSellMay 18Howley W NicholasDirector180 sh$207KSellMay 15Joel ReissCOO71 sh$81K
1–10 of 11
+ 24 other (12 exempts · 10 awards · 2 others) in window

See when $TDG insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementSep 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01) filed on 2026-09-29. Also filed under: creation of direct financial obligation. The excerpt contains only the filing cover page; the full terms of the agreement are in the attached exhibit. Material definitive agreements are binding corporate commitments that can alter strategy, capital structure, or partnerships in ways that matter for equity holders.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

TransDigm Group (TDG) announced that subsidiary TransDigm Inc. priced its notes offering at $3.0B (upsized from $2.5B initially announced) of 6.75% Senior Secured Notes due 2035, issued at 100% of par in a private placement under Rule 144A. This is the pricing confirmation for the offering announced in the same day's prior 8-K; at $3B, TransDigm is executing a large leveraged financing consistent with its strategy of high-yield debt funding for acquisitions and shareholder returns.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

TransDigm Group (TDG) announced that subsidiary TransDigm Inc. commenced a cash tender offer for any and all outstanding 6.75% Senior Secured Notes due 2028, expiring October 13, 2026, with an early tender deadline of September 25, 2026. This is the debt retirement counterpart to the new 2035 notes offering — TransDigm is refinancing near-term 2028 maturities into longer-dated 2035 paper, a standard leveraged finance liability management exercise.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

TransDigm Group (TDG) announced plans for subsidiary TransDigm Inc. to offer $2.5B in senior secured notes (privately placed under Rule 144A) to repurchase all outstanding 6.75% Senior Secured Notes due 2028 and for general corporate purposes. This is the announcement of the debt offering subsequently priced at $3.0B; the sequence reflects standard private placement announcement-to-pricing practice. Routine leveraged debt management communication.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 33
AI summary

Krasik Irina Igorevna (Last) (First) (Middle) 1350 EUCLID AVENUE SUITE 1600 (Street) CLEVELAND OHIO 44115 (City) (State) (Zip) UNITED STATES (Country) 2. Date of Event Requiring Statement (Month/Day/Year) 06/22/2026 3. Issuer Name and Ticker or Trading Symbol TransDigm Group INC [ TDG ] 3a. Foreign Trading Symbol 5. If Amendment, Date of Original Filed (Month/Day/Year) 4. Relationship of Reporting Person(s) to Issuer (Check all applicable) X Director 10% Owner Officer (give title below) Other (specify below) 6. Individual or Joint/Group Filing (Check Applicable Line) X Form filed by One Reporting Person Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned 1. Title of Security (Instr. 4) 2. Amount of Securities Beneficially Owned (Instr. 4) 3. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 4. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Table II - Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned (e.g., puts, calls, warrants, options, convertible securities) 1. Title of Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 2. Date Exercisable and Expiration Date (Month/Day/Year) 3. Title and Amount of Securities Underlying Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 4. Conversion or Exercise Price of Derivative Security 5. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 6. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Date Exercisable Expiration Date Title Amount or Number of Shares Explanation of Responses: Remarks: This Form 3 is being filed one day late due to delays in obtaining EDGAR access codes for the reporting person. No securities are beneficially owned. /s/ Rachel L. Quinlan as attorney in fact for Irina Krasik 08/03/2026 ** Signature of Reporting Person Date Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 5 (b)(v). ** Intentional misstatements or omissions of facts constitute Federal Criminal Violations See 18 U.S.C. 1001 and 15 U.S.C. 78ff(a). Note: File three copies of this Form, one of which must be manually signed. If space is insufficient, see Instruction 6 for procedure. Persons who respond to the collection of information contained in this form are not required to respond unless the form displays a currently valid OMB Number. * Form 3: SEC 1473 (03-26) filed an initial statement of beneficial ownership (Form 3) as a Director of TDG, with an event date of 1473. This is a routine insider-ownership disclosure with no indication of open-market purchases or activist intent.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

TransDigm Group Incorporated appointed Irina Krasik to its Board of Directors effective July 22, 2026. Krasik is a Managing Director at Stellex Capital Management (since 2021), with prior roles at Bregal Investments, The Wicks Group, The Carlyle Group, and Merrill Lynch, and an MBA from Harvard Business School. She will receive standard non-employee director compensation; no committee assignments were made at this time, and no related-party transactions exist. This is a routine board addition bringing M&A and private-equity governance expertise with no immediate financial impact.

+ 13 other (4 routine 8-Ks · 4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will TransDigm (TDG) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?zacks.com·5d agoThese 2 Aerospace Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·8d agoIndustrial Growth Partners Completes Sale of Prince & Izant to TransDigmprnewswire.com·18d agoTransDigm closes Prince Izant deal for $1.066 billiondefenseworld.net·18d agoTransDigm Completes Acquisition of Prince & Izantgurufocus.com·19d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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