TransDigm Group Incorporated
Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 18% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (509/wk), no spike$1247.56+1.3%YTD-7.4%1Y-21.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
509+5%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 16h ago
AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TDG, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.
What it does
Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.
Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TDG.
Aerospace & Defense
No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.
What this means for $TDG
Direct beneficiary — Designs and acquires proprietary sole-source aircraft components with strong aftermarket pricing power; the company is structurally positioned to capture the defense budget expansion and space commercialization.
Top industry ETF
$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+18.8%1Y
Fundamentals & catalyst
Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.
Key ratios
P/E
35.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.ROIC
14.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.Op margin
46.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.FCF yield
2.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).P/S
7.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.ROE
-24.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.Gross margin
59.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.D/E
-3.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.Past earnings
QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$9.85$9.46+4.1%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$8.23$8.10+1.6%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$10.82$10.04+7.8%
Q2 2025Aug 5, 2025$9.60$9.89-2.9%
Next earningsTue, Aug 4·consensus EPS $10.28
Quarterly trend
QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.5B+18.3%59.4%46.3%$9.20$64.0M
Q1 FY26$2.3B+13.9%56.7%45.6%$6.62$772.0M
Q4 FY25$2.4B+11.5%60.3%47.6%$7.75$441.0M
Q3 FY25$2.2B+9.3%59.5%46.4%$8.47$573.0M
Forward consensus
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$10.4B$9.9B – $10.5B$40.03$39.24 – $40.4915
FY27$11.3B$10.8B – $11.7B$46.96$45.08 – $50.6715
FY28$12.2B$12.2B – $12.2B$53.95$38.01 – $63.6514
FY29$12.7B$12.3B – $13.0B$61.52$58.91 – $63.467
FY30$13.6B$13.2B – $13.9B$68.13$65.24 – $70.287
Setup & momentum
Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.
Right now
Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.21%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.
Float & profile
β0.885-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.
Insider activity
Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.
SEC filings
Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.
Recent material filings
8-KMaterial agreementApr 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 158-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 148-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary
8-KShareholder voteMar 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 138-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 118-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 98-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 14 other (5 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window
Recent news
Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.
Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Allstate, AMC Entertainment, Boeing, CAVA Group, Check Point Software, Digital Realty Trust, FedEx, IBM, UPS, and MoreForget The Airlines, The Hidden Monopoly Is Pocketing Your Higher AirfareTransDigm Group: Residing In The Capital Gains Bucket, I Own It For Its Unique And Profitable Business ModelWhy Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Aerospace Stocks NowTransDigm: A High Value Compounder Deserves A Strong Buy Upgrade
In themes
Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.
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Voices on X · last 7 days
No standout posts about $TDG on X in the last 7 days.