TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$SMTC
SMSMTC

Semtech Corporation

$SMTC·$13B·Semiconductors·Technology
$132.96+1.4%YTD+71.3%1Y+130.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 15 posts2026-08-23: 33 posts190+5%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
SMSMTC
$SMTCSemtech Corporation
$132.96+1.36%190 posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SMTC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Semtech printed a blowout Q2 — data-center revenue crossed $100M (+91% YoY), FY28 EPS bumped to $5.65, and TD Cowen's $215 target hovering above.

Semtech makes analog and mixed-signal semiconductors — increasingly the specific power-management and connectivity ICs the AI data-center buildout demands. The equity is up 71% YTD as data-center revenue emerged as the new lead segment and the divestiture of the cellular-module business freed capital and focus.

  • The Q2 print was the moment: EPS of $0.71 beat the $0.61 consensus by 16%, revenue grew 16% year-over-year to $291M, and data-center revenue crossed $100M for the first time (up 91% YoY) — that's a specific line item that consensus was undermodeling, and it's now the growth engine.
  • The forward guide accelerates the story: management guided data-center revenue another 45% sequentially, TD Cowen raised its FY28 EPS estimate to $5.65 with a $215 price target — the sell-side is now catching up to what management is signaling on the AI data-center adoption curve.
  • The cellular-module divestiture reshapes the mix: the Aug 13 sale of that business to Compal Electronics simplifies the story to core analog/data-center exposure — smaller, cleaner, and with higher-multiple end markets driving the growth.
  • Insider tape leans mildly negative: three officer sales in August totaling roughly $1.1M — a modest cluster at $135-$150 (above the current $131 tape), consistent with 'trim into strength' post-71%-YTD-rally rather than a warning; management commentary of customers who 'don't care about price because availability matters more' is the qualitative signal buyers want.

The path if it works is a Nov 23 Q3 print keeping data-center revenue growth above +80% year-over-year plus continued positive guide — the tape earns its acceleration and moves toward the $215 TD Cowen target. What breaks the setup is a Q3 where data-center revenue growth decelerates on customer inventory absorption; that's when a name that just ran 71% YTD gives back to the 200-day support 24% below current.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take — the blowout Q2 print, data-center revenue crossing $100M (up 91% YoY) and guiding another 45% sequentially, TD Cowen reiterating Buy with a $215 target and FY28 EPS lifted to $5.65, management citing customers who 'don't care about price because availability matters more' — captures the acceleration exactly; the options-desk 145 gamma-node hit and the single skeptic dumping into strength is what a healthy re-rate looks like.

What to watch: The Nov 23 Q3 print — data-center revenue growth staying above +80% YoY plus continued positive guide extends the acceleration toward $215; a Q3 with data-center revenue decelerating on customer inventory absorption is what breaks the setup back to the 200-day.

On the calendar: 2026-11-23 — Q3 fiscal 2027 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment33 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Semtech printed a blowout quarter and posters are stacking, with data-center revenue crossing $100M (up 91% YoY) and guiding another 45% sequentially. TD Cowen reiterates Buy with a $215 target and raises FY28 EPS to $5.65, while management cites customers who 'don't care about price' because availability matters more. Options desks trumpet a 145 gamma node hit; one skeptic dumps into the strength.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SMTC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs analog and mixed-signal semiconductors including LoRa IoT chips, optical data communication ICs, and video broadcast products.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SMTC.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $SMTC

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Semtech Corporation is a technology firm specializing in the creation, production, and global distribution of advanced a.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+94.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-422.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
11.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
12.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-5.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 25, 2026$0.71$0.61+15.6%
Q1 2026May 26, 2026$0.51$0.45+12.4%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$0.44$0.43+2.3%
Q3 2025Nov 24, 2025$0.48$0.44+7.9%
Next earningsMon, Nov 23·consensus EPS $1.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$291.0M+15.9%51.9%10.6%$0.29$28.0M
Q4 FY26$274.4M+9.3%50.3%11.2%$-0.32$47.4M
Q3 FY26$267.0M+12.7%51.7%11.9%$-0.03$44.6M
Q2 FY26$257.6M+19.6%52.0%10.6%$-0.31$42.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.0B$950.3M – $1.2B$1.70$1.69 – $2.089
FY27$1.4B$1.3B – $1.4B$2.66$2.56 – $2.7610
FY28$1.7B$1.5B – $1.8B$3.83$3.13 – $4.0910
FY29$2.2B$1.8B – $3.0B$5.95$3.13 – $8.026

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.62%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+24.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 92.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Paul V WalshDirector500 sh$68KSellAug 17Asaf SilbersteinCOO5.0K sh$750KSellAug 7Hong Q HouCEO2.0K sh$280KSellJul 22Paul V WalshDirector500 sh$67KSellJul 14Asaf SilbersteinCOO3.0K sh$435KSellJul 10Hong Q HouCEO2.0K sh$266KSellJul 8Asaf SilbersteinCOO8.5K sh$1.1MSellJul 7Green Jason ElliotEVP and CCO2.3K sh$294KSellJul 1Mark LinCFO970 sh$146KSellJun 30Fischer Gregory MichaelDirector1.5K sh$234K
1–10 of 29
+ 55 other (20 awards · 17 exempts · 16 inkinds · 1 gift · 1 return) in window

See when $SMTC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 258-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Semtech reported Q2 fiscal 2027 financial results for the quarter ended July 26, 2026 via press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The filing also includes a Reg FD disclosure referencing forward-looking statements in the same press release. Routine quarterly earnings announcement; full results and guidance are in the attached exhibit.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Semtech Corporation entered into a new Credit Agreement on July 6, 2026 with Morgan Stanley as administrative agent, consisting of a $360 million revolving credit facility (undrawn at closing) plus an uncommitted incremental term loan capacity capped at $332 million or 100% of Consolidated EBITDA. The facility replaces or supplements existing debt and will be used for working capital, general corporate purposes, and permitted acquisitions. This is an accretive refinancing/liquidity upgrade — the $360M revolver provides significant undrawn liquidity headroom for Semtech's operations and potential M&A.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Semtech Corporation amended and restated its Executive Severance Plan on June 2, 2026 to add non-Change-in-Control severance: eligible executives terminated without cause or resigning for good reason outside a CiC window receive 1× base salary + pro-rata target bonus + 12-month COBRA, plus accelerated vesting of deferred compensation. The previous plan only covered CiC-related terminations. This expands executive protection and marginally increases contingent compensation costs; otherwise routine.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 268-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) announced Q1 FY2027 financial results (fiscal quarter ended April 26, 2026) via press release on May 26, 2026; actual financial metrics are in the furnished Exhibit 99.1 and not visible in the 8-K body. Item 7.01 additionally covers forward-looking guidance. This is a standard quarterly earnings and guidance disclosure.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 168-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Wall Street Analysts Predict a 56.44% Upside in Semtech (SMTC): Here's What You Should Knowzacks.com·15h agoArcher Investment Corp Invests $775,000 in Semtech Corporation $SMTCdefenseworld.net·3d agoArcher Investment Corp Invests $775,000 in Semtech Corporation $SMTCdefenseworld.net·3d agoWhy Semtech Stock Was Flying This Weekfool.com·4d agoSemtech Stock Rallies on Strong Q2 Results and Raised Guidancemarketbeat.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI Infrastructure

More in Semiconductors

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$NVDA$MU$INTC$AVGO$AMD$MRVL$SKHY$PI
Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport