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SASATL

Satellogic Inc.

$SATL·$760M·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$4.87+0.4%YTD+131.4%1Y+35.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 20 posts203+10%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
SASATL
$SATLSatellogic Inc.
$4.87+0.41%203 posts+10%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SATL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Satellogic +131% YTD with institutional ownership climbing above 120M shares — short interest is trapped as the space tape rotates.

Satellogic is a small-cap Earth-observation satellite company — sub-meter resolution imagery from a proprietary satellite constellation, competing with Planet Labs and Maxar. The setup is a hot-momentum name coiled on a short-squeeze structure.

  • The revenue-growth trajectory is real off a small base: Q1 revenue grew 80% YoY to $6.1M, Q2 revenue at $15.9M was ahead, and the sell side models revenue climbing from $37.6M this year to $55.3M in 2027 and $80.8M in 2028 — the multiple is only defensible against that ramp playing out.
  • The technical structure is coiling on a squeeze: institutional ownership climbed +10M shares to 120M against 143M outstanding with 20.7M shares short — the stops-sweep at $5.35 was absorbed to $5.49, and the crowd targets $6.6 / $7 / $8 next as the short cover unfolds.
  • The corporate tape is a work in progress: an executive departure on July 28 and another 8-K executive-officer-departure filing this week (Item 5.02) show ongoing leadership transitions; Jamil Kawar was named SVP Space Systems on August 13, suggesting a functional rebuild rather than an executive-vacuum crisis.

The setup is a hot-momentum small-cap coiled on a real short-squeeze structure with a specific revenue-ramp thesis — the November 9 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs revenue clearing $15M plus updated PGI shift / Merlin timeline. A clean beat plus named government contract announcements breaks the coil up toward $6.60-8; another quarter of $15M revenue with continued executive churn kills the setup and takes the stock back below $4.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on institutional ownership +10M shares to 120M (over 143M outstanding, 20.7M short), the stops sweep at $5.35 absorbed to $5.49, and targets $6.6 / $7 / $8 next is factually consistent with the tape and 13F flow. The one "active sell signal on daily" is a fair chartist caveat.

What to watch: The November 9 Q3 earnings — need revenue clearing $15M, updated PGI shift / Merlin satellite timeline, and stopped-out executive churn. Another quarter of $15M revenue with continued executive churn kills the setup and takes the stock back below $4; a clean beat plus named government contract announcements breaks the coil up toward $6.60-8.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment18 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Satellogic's thread pits system-signal bears against long-thesis bulls. Bears flag SATL below the 200-EMA with an active sell signal, price rejected at a local high and reliance on the 0.382 fib holding to prevent a slide to $4. Bulls counter with the first-ever positive EBITDA print, institutional ownership rising by 10M to 120M shares against 20.7M shorts, product roadmap (Mark VI, Next Gen, Merlin) framed as 'satell the earth,' and a $61 long-run price target.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SATL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a nano satellite constellation for affordable high-frequency Earth observation used in agriculture, infrastructure, and government monitoring.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SATL.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $SATL

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-11.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-21.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-136%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-3.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
41.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
402%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
75.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-5.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$-0.13$-0.03-420.0%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$-0.84$-0.05-1580.0%
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$0.17$-0.06+383.3%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-0.02$-0.04+50.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $-0.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$6.1M+80.3%76.2%-104%$-0.84$-5.4M
Q4 FY25$6.2M+106.8%79.5%-114%$0.32$-12.8M
Q3 FY25$3.6M+20.3%67.8%-222%$0.04$-9.7M
Q2 FY25$4.4M+26.8%73.2%-142%$-0.06$-5.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$37.6M$32.2M – $43.0M-$0.93-$1.20 – -$0.704
FY27$55.3M$43.2M – $67.4M-$0.09-$0.12 – -$0.064
FY28$80.8M$65.9M – $99.2M-$0.04-$0.07 – -$0.022
FY29$117.7M$96.0M – $144.5M$0.07$0.05 – $0.091
FY30$152.0M$123.9M – $186.5M$0.18$0.14 – $0.231

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 26Liberty 77 Capital L.p.Director10.0M sh$97.7MSellMay 14Alan KharsanskyCTO87.1K sh$727KSellMar 30Matthew TirmanPresident9.5K sh$49KBuyMar 30Rick DunnCFO19.1K sh$98KBuyMar 27Rick DunnCFO16.7K sh$99KSellMar 23Fitzgerald, L. CantorSee Remarks500.0K sh$2.5M
+ 23 other (12 awards · 11 exempts) in window

See when $SATL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Satellogic announced that Dustin Greer, 47, currently Senior Vice President and Corporate Controller (since October 2022), has been appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer effective August 21, 2026, while also continuing to serve as Principal Accounting Officer. No new employment agreement or compensation amendment was entered into in connection with this appointment. An external search for a permanent CFO is implied by the ‘Interim’ designation. The dual CFO/PAO role is an interim measure to maintain financial leadership continuity.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

SATL (SATL) disclosed an executive/director departure (Item 5.02, filed 2026-07-28). ure of Directors departed from Directors or Certain Principal Officers. Compensation and transition details are in the exhibits. Leadership changes can signal strategic shifts; investors should assess continuity and the appointee's background.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsJul 213/A
AI summary

Michael Eric Williamson, a director of Satellogic Inc. (SATL), filed an amended Form 3 (original filed June 18, 2026) adding a grant of 20,787 restricted stock units awarded June 10, 2026. The RSUs vest on May 31, 2027 subject to continued service, but Williamson elected to defer receipt of the underlying Class A Common Stock until May 31, 2029. The amendment corrects the original filing to include this RSU grant at an exercise price of $0, reflecting director compensation at the satellite imagery company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 183
AI summary

Form 3 filed by Williamson Michael Eric (Other (specify below) 6. Individual or Joint/Group Filing (Check Applicable Line) X Form filed by One Reporting Person Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned 1. Title of Security (Instr. 4) 2. Amount of Securities Beneficially Owned (Instr. 4) 3. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 4. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Table II - Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned (e.g., puts, calls, warrants, options, convertible securities) 1. Title of Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 2. Date Exercisable and Expiration Date (Month/Day/Year) 3. Title and Amount of Securities Underlying Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 4. Conversion or Exercise Price of Derivative Security 5. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 6. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Date Exercisable Expiration Date Title Amount or Number of Shares Restricted Stock Unit (1) (1) Class A Common Stock 20,787 $ 0 D Explanation of Responses: 1. On June 11, 2026, Mr. Williamson was granted 20,787 RSUs, all of which will vest on May 31, 2027 subject to Mr. Williamson's continued service through such date. Grantee elected to defer receipt of shares until May 31, 2029. Remarks: Exhibit 24 - Power of Attorney /s/ Noah Benz, Attorney-in-fact for Michael Williamson 06/18/2026 ** Signature of Reporting Person Date Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 5 (b)(v). ** Intentional misstatements or omissions of facts constitute Federal Criminal Violations See 18 U.S.C. 1001 and 15 U.S.C. 78ff(a). Note: File three copies of this Form, one of which must be manually signed. If space is insufficient, see Instruction 6 for procedure. Persons who respond to the collection of information contained in this form are not required to respond unless the form displays a currently valid OMB Number. * Form 3: SEC 1473 (03-26)) at SATL on 2026-06-18. This initial statement of beneficial ownership reports the filer's securities holdings as required under Section 16(a). Filing is routine and indicates an insider's initial ownership disclosure following appointment or acquisition of 10%+ stake.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Satellogic Inc. (SATL) and CFO Rick Dunn mutually agreed on June 8, 2026 that Dunn will step down following a transition period; the company has begun searching for a successor. Dunn, who served for seven years and guided the company through its Nasdaq listing, will receive severance consistent with previously-disclosed terms. The CFO departure introduces leadership uncertainty but management characterized the company's financial position as its strongest in corporate history.

8-KShareholder voteJun 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

SATL (SATL) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

SATL (SATL) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in CTO. Individuals named in the filing include Exact Name, Other Jurisdiction. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 28SC 13D/A
AI summary

Liberty 77 Capital L.P. (Delaware LP) filed a Schedule 13D amendment updating its position in Satellogic Inc. (SATL), CUSIP 80401C100; specific share count and percentage not visible in excerpt. Existing 5%+ holder updating its Satellogic position.

+ 27 other (5 SC 13D/As · 4 13Gs · 3 10-Qs · 3 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Cambium Appoints Veteran Finance Executive Rick Dunn as Chief Financial Officerprnewswire.com·7d agoSatellogic to Meet with Media, Investors, and Partners in New York, Washington, D.C., San Francisco, London, and Paris Ahead of World Space Business Weekglobenewswire.com·7d agoSatellogic Appoints Jamil Kawar as Senior Vice President, Space Systemsglobenewswire.com·19d agoSATL Q2 Earnings Call Highlights PGI Shift and Merlin Timelinezacks.com·21d agoSatellogic Inc. (SATL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·25d ago

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