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SASAFX

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

$SAFX·$142M·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$0.44-1.8%YTD+28.9%1Y-65.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 2 posts2026-08-07: 7 posts2026-08-08: 1 posts2026-08-09: 3 posts2026-08-10: 27 posts2026-08-11: 9 posts2026-08-12: 10 posts59-8%
Price updated 34m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
SASAFX
$SAFXXCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$0.44-1.78%59 posts-8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SAFX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Renewable-diesel micro-cap with New Rise Reno initial fuel sales starting — sub-dollar and coiled at 23% of range, needs commercial ramp.

XCF Global is the pre-revenue renewable-diesel producer whose New Rise Reno refinery just started initial commercial fuel sales — a sub-dollar micro-cap ($142M market cap) at 23% of the 52-week range with the specific first-commercial-milestone signal. No X sentiment coverage.

  • The initial fuel sales milestone is the load-bearing operational signal: renewable diesel sales to Tartan from the New Rise Renewables Reno refinery represents specific first-commercial-revenue execution — the type of milestone that moves XCF from concept to executable production company.
  • The D4 RIN market economics support the setup: recent D4 RIN values representing more than $3.50 per gallon reflect specific policy-driven pricing tailwind — the type of RVO-market signal that supports continued renewable-fuels margin economics.
  • The Q1 financials reflect the pre-commercial-scale stage: revenue of $349K with -90% gross margin and -3,000% operating margin reflects the specific pre-scale renewable-fuels-producer profile where meaningful revenue comes with commercial-launch execution — the type of setup where the current market cap is priced entirely on production scale-up.
  • The chart shows continued weakness: down 66% year-over-year with volume at 1.42x average reflects the specific pattern of a stressed pre-revenue producer where the market wants specific commercial proof before re-rating.

Coming into Sept 2 earnings, the tape needs continued fuel-sales-cadence updates, specific New Rise Reno production-volume commentary, and any additional customer-off-take announcements. Absent a specific commercial-scale-up milestone, the tape drifts on the pre-revenue-plus-stressed pattern; a specific volume-ramp disclosure or additional customer agreement is the near-term catalyst that could restart the trajectory.

What to watch: Sept 2 earnings — continued fuel-sales-cadence updates, specific New Rise Reno production-volume commentary, and any additional customer-off-take announcements. A specific volume-ramp disclosure or additional customer agreement is the near-term catalyst.

On the calendar: 2026-09-02 — Q2 earnings

no sentimentpre commercial scale

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SAFX

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sustainable aviation fuel developer designing and operating SAF production facilities to support aviation sector decarbonization.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SAFX.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

What this means for $SAFX

Neutral — Sustainable aviation fuel developer designing and operating SAF production facilities to support aviation sector decarbonization; limited read-through from oil & gas exploration & production macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+40.1%YTD
+39.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
1.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-23.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-314%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-21.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
317%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-19.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 15, 2026$-0.07$-0.05-40.0%
Q1 2026Apr 3, 2026$0.96$-0.09+1166.7%
Next earningsWed, Sep 2·consensus EPS $-0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$349K—-89.5%-2969%$-0.13$-7.0M
Q4 FY25$4.7M—-125%-278%$-0.11$-4.1M
Q3 FY25$9.6M—35.0%-90.3%$-0.08$-5.5M
Q2 FY25$6.6M—-18.8%-523%$0.83$-10.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$34.9M$30.0M – $39.9M-$0.16-$0.19 – -$0.131
FY27$115.9M$111.8M – $120.0M-$0.03-$0.08 – $0.042
FY28$265.0M$172.6M – $357.4M-$0.02-$0.03 – -$0.011

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.23%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 15Randy Soule10% owner5.0M sh$2.0MSellApr 30Randy Soule10% owner9.0M sh$3.1MSellMar 12Randy Soule10% owner1.3M sh$656KSellFeb 25Randy Soule10% owner2.0M sh$240K
+ 3 other (3 awards) in window

See when $SAFX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XCF Global Inc. (SAFX) filed an 8-K on August 13, 2026 (event date August 11) under Item 7.01 (Regulation FD), furnishing investor communications to the public concurrently with their distribution to select investors. The excerpt is the cover page; the actual investor materials are in the exhibit. XCF Global (formerly known by another name) is a small-cap company; the Reg FD filing ensures compliance with simultaneous disclosure requirements.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 303
AI summary

Christopher Arnold Cooper, CEO and Director of XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX), filed this Form 3 (initial statement of beneficial ownership) as of November 7, 2025. Tables I and II show no non-derivative or derivative securities beneficially owned. This is an administrative insider registration filing; the absence of any listed securities is notable for a CEO/Director and may reflect the early-stage nature of the company or that equity awards had not yet been granted.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 228-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) borrowed $400,000 from Hollywood Horizons, Inc. via a Senior Secured 25% OID Promissory Note dated July 16, 2026, receiving net proceeds of $300,000; the note carries 10% annual interest, a 60-day non-amortizing term, and an 18% default rate. XCF must pay a 500,000-share commitment fee and reserve 5,000,000 default penalty shares (Class A Common Stock); Hollywood Horizons received a first-priority security interest in all XCF parent-level assets. The punitive OID, mandatory prepayment triggers from any revenue or asset sales, and penalty share reserve signal acute near-term liquidity stress.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

XCF Global (SAFX) — Form 3 initial ownership for Si-Yeon Kim, appointed as a Director effective June 6, 2025. Kim reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine director initial-ownership disclosure; no shares or derivatives held.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

XCF Global (SAFX) — Form 3 initial ownership for Sanford Alonza Cockrell III, appointed as a Director. Cockrell reports zero securities owned as of the filing date. Administrative — routine director initial-ownership disclosure; no shares or derivatives held.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

XCF Global (SAFX) — Form 3 initial ownership for Wray T. Thorn, appointed as a Director. Thorn holds 3,306,944 shares indirectly through Focus Impact BHAC Sponsor LLC plus 257,352 additional indirect shares, reflecting SPAC-sponsor equity from XCF Global's prior SPAC transaction. Administrative — director onboarding form; the sponsor-equity holdings are not new purchases.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 88-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

XCF Global (SAFX) — 8-K (Items 1.01, 3.02) reporting entry into a material definitive agreement and a reduction in registered securities on July 1, 2026. Reduction in registered securities often relates to a share buyback, a securities exchange, or forfeiture of unissued shares. Material — the combination of a new contract and reduced registered securities warrants attention; refer to the full filing for specifics.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Jun 22SC 13D
AI summary

EEME Energy SPV I, LLC (27.5% stake, 109,499,560 shares) and Majique Ladnier (36.2% stake, 144,274,860 shares) filed an SC 13D for XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) on June 22, 2026, triggered by a transaction on October 6, 2025. Together these two reporting persons control over 63% of SAFX's Class A common stock. Both are focused on sustainable aviation fuel investments. This highly concentrated insider/sponsor ownership disclosure signals that effective control of XCF Global rests with these two parties.

+ 33 other (12 8-Ks · 4 3s · 3 425s · 2 S-4/As) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

XCF Global Announces Renewable Diesel Sales to Tartan From Its New Rise Renewables Reno Refineryaccessnewswire.com·4d agoXCF Highlights Renewable Fuel Credit Market Strength, With Recent D4 RIN Values Representing More Than $3.50 Per Gallonaccessnewswire.com·5d agoXCF Provides Operational Update on Renewable Diesel Production and Initial Fuel Sales at New Rise Renoaccessnewswire.com·8d agoXCF Global Highlights Revenue-Generating Production and Commercial Progressaccessnewswire.com·18d agoXCF Global and Continual Renewable Ventures Sign Agreement to Expand New Rise ANZ Renewable Fuels Platform in Australiaaccessnewswire.com·23d ago

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