TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$PSX
PSPSX

Phillips 66

$PSX·$102B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$255.09+0.2%YTD+59.6%1Y+93.9%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 9h ago
PSPSX
$PSXPhillips 66
$255.09+0.17%191 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $PSX on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

191X posts · last 7 days
Aug 22Sep 6
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $PSX's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 54% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data22 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-06

Bullish, with four US refiners (MPC, PSX, DINO, VLO) at all-time highs on the same day, US retail diesel hitting a record, and a Venezuela–US oil deal framed as the PADD 3 refiners' lynchpin. Trump publicly urging refinery buildouts before the November midterms adds to the sector tone.

Read what X is saying about $PSX

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $PSX — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-06

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Refiner at fresh all-time highs on crack spreads and Venezuela read-through — officers took $30M+ off the table in August.

Phillips 66 is a large US refiner with meaningful midstream, chemicals, and retail-fuels exposure — a $100B integrated downstream operator. The tape has finally caught up to the refining cycle, and the crowd is starting to notice.

  • Q2 was elite: EPS of $9.41 versus a $7.50 consensus (25% surprise), following a Q1 EPS of $0.49 versus a -$0.54 consensus (a 190% surprise) — this is the refining cycle turning cleanly, and the operating cadence supports the recent tape.
  • Insider signal is the load-bearing caveat: Richard Harbison sold $11.7M on Aug 12, Brian Mandell sold $6.45M on Aug 11, plus additional officer trims — total insider selling was over $30M in a short window near the top of the range. That's the classic pattern of people who see the numbers taking real dollars off the table.
  • The tape is confirming with size: 96% into the 52-week range, 19% above the 50-day and 48% above the 200-day, and volume 0.84x average — this is a top-of-range name with real earnings backing the move; the question is only how much room is left before the cycle turns.

The forward test is Nov 4 Q3 earnings — crack-spread realization, buyback cadence, and any Venezuela-deal read-through detail. A repeat beat with stable crack-spread commentary keeps the story compounding; a Brent break below $80 or refined-product inventory build is where the momentum resets from these levels. The $5.50 refining-cost target for 2027 is the operational metric that decides multi-year re-rating.

Agrees with X sentimentThe fresh all-time highs and Venezuela read-through framing lines up with the tape, and the refiner-cohort leadership call is right. The absence of any bear voice combined with $30M+ of insider selling in August is exactly the setup the crowd should be more cautious on — the fundamentals are real but the trim into strength is the honest counter.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — crack-spread realization, buyback pace, and any US refined-product export-ban commentary. Brent below $80 is the macro risk that hits regardless of ops.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

refining cycleinsider selling clusternear 52w high

Read the AI verdict on $PSX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Diversified US energy company with midstream pipelines, petroleum refining, and chemicals manufacturing operations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PSX.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

Refinery crack spreads have normalised from 2022 peaks but remain above mid-cycle; renewable-diesel mandates are a medium-term structural driver for complex refiners. Gasoline-demand ceiling and biofuel transition are mounting secular headwinds.

What this means for $PSX

Direct beneficiary — Phillips 66; refining + chemicals + midstream + renewables diversification sustains cash flow across crack-spread cycle.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+47.2%YTD
+79.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
7.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$9.41$7.50+25.5%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.49$-0.54+190.3%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$2.47$2.15+14.9%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$2.52$2.14+17.8%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $9.83

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$34.1B+11.7%10.6%8.4%$0.51$-2.8B
Q4 FY25$34.0B+0.9%6.3%4.4%$7.21$2.1B
Q3 FY25$34.5B-2.2%5.5%2.6%$0.32$637.0M
Q2 FY25$33.2B-12.9%5.7%3.3%$2.15$258.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$166.5B$160.2B – $174.4B$26.11$19.48 – $32.516
FY27$154.0B$118.7B – $190.6B$22.77$19.47 – $29.466
FY28$155.4B$133.1B – $169.2B$18.34$17.85 – $18.694
FY29$173.4B$147.0B – $197.7B$21.56$17.29 – $25.482
FY30$185.6B$157.3B – $211.5B$26.00$20.85 – $30.732

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.96%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+19.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+48.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 400.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.705-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 12Richard G HarbisonEVP, Refining52.1K sh$11.7MSellAug 11Brian MandellPresident30.0K sh$6.5MSellAug 10Brian MandellPresident3.3K sh$706KSellAug 10Davis Lisa AnnDirector1.5K sh$315KSellAug 10Ann M KluppelSVP and Controller6.0K sh$1.3MSellAug 7Ann M KluppelSVP and Controller1.8K sh$369KSellJul 21Sutherland Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and Secretary7.0K sh$7.4BSellJul 20Sutherland Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and Secretary563 sh$119KSellJul 9Kevin J MitchellCFO11.0K sh$2.1MSellMay 11Kevin J MitchellCFO600 sh$103K
1–10 of 16
+ 13 other (10 exempts · 2 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $PSX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Phillips 66 (PSX), through its subsidiary Phillips 66 Company, amended its accounts receivable securitization program via the Fifth Amendment to its Receivables Purchase and Financing Agreement (dated September 30, 2024) on August 20, 2026. The specific changes to facility size, pricing, or maturity are not visible in the excerpt. This is an administrative refinancing of an existing off-balance-sheet securitization facility; routine in nature with no expected immediate material financial impact.

8-KShareholder voteMay 148-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Apr 3SC 13D
8-KMaterial agreementMar 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 123
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 123
+ 12 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Is Phillips 66 (PSX) Up 23.9% Since Last Earnings Report?zacks.com·3d agoWhy Phillips 66 (PSX) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·3d agoPhillips 66, Target, and Wells Fargo Just Paid Shareholders. Here's What They Got.247wallst.com·3d agoLasting Energy Chokeholds Present Buy Opportunities Across Sectoryoutube.com·5d agoCan Phillips 66 Reach Its $5.50 Refining Cost Target in 2027?zacks.com·7d ago

More in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$DINO$WKC$VLO$MPC$SUN$PBF$DK$SAFX
Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport