TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$PSX
PSPSX

Phillips 66

$PSX·$83B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$206.98-2.1%YTD+60.4%1Y+61.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-17: 55 posts2026-07-18: 12 posts2026-07-19: 7 posts2026-07-20: 22 posts2026-07-21: 19 posts2026-07-22: 23 posts2026-07-23: 18 posts166
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 9h ago
PSPSX
$PSXPhillips 66
$206.98-2.10%166 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PSX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-24

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Phillips 66 is a $83B refiner up 60% year-to-date; capital-return story is intact, X is silent.

Phillips 66 is an $83B integrated refiner and midstream operator with Q1 revenue of $34.1B at a 10.6% gross margin and EPS of $0.51. P/E is 20.3, price-to-sales is 0.61, and debt-to-equity is 0.95. The tape is up 60% year-to-date and 62% over twelve months on refining-margin strength across the sector.

  • Zacks features Phillips 66 as a Strong Value Stock at the current multiple, and follow-on notes ask whether the company is positioned to continue returning capital to shareholders (buyback plus dividend growth)
  • The stock has been outpacing the broader market on multiple recent daily prints, consistent with sector tailwinds from record refining margins across Valero, Marathon and peer refiners
  • ABN Amro Investment Solutions added shares recently, adding one more institutional data point on the bull side; the tape is trending well without a clear near-term catalyst
  • No trusted-X sentiment in the window; refiners are generally not retail-chatter names unless a specific corporate event (activist filing, divestiture) hits

The core question is whether refining-margin strength sustains into the second half of the year and whether Phillips 66 executes on the midstream-monetization plan Elliott and Elliott-adjacent investors have been pushing. Watch monthly crack-spread prints, any midstream-asset transaction, and buyback pace; the multiple has expanded but the earnings power is real.

What to watch: Monthly crack-spread prints; midstream-monetization transaction announcements; capital-return update including buyback pace and dividend growth; Gulf Coast maintenance calendar; refined-product export commentary.

On the calendar: Q2 2026 earnings release

no sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PSX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Phillips 66 operates as a diversified energy company, specializing in both manufacturing and logistics. Its comprehensive business model is structured across four primary segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing & Specialties (M&S). The Midstream division manages the vital infrastructure for transporting and processing various energy commodities. This includes moving crude oil and other feedstocks, delivering refined petroleum products to market, offering terminaling and storage solutions, and handling natural gas liquids (NGLs) through processes like transportation, storage, fractionation, export, and marketing. It also provides fee-based processing services and oversees the gathering, processing, transportation, and marketing of natural gas. The Chemicals segment is dedicated to the production and distribution of a broad spectrum of chemical products. This encompasses olefins like ethylene, aromatics and styrenics such as benzene, cyclohexane, styrene, and polystyrene, alongside various specialty chemicals. These specialty products include organosulfur compounds, solvents, catalysts, and chemicals utilized in drilling and mining operations. Through its Refining segment, Phillips 66 transforms crude oil and other feedstocks into essential petroleum products. These include different grades of gasoline, distillates, aviation fuels, and renewable fuels, processed at its network of 12 refineries located in the United States and Europe. The Marketing & Specialties (M&S) segment focuses on the procurement, resale, and marketing of refined petroleum products like gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels, primarily serving markets in the United States and Europe. This segment also manufactures and distributes specialized products, including base oils and lubricants. Phillips 66, founded in 1875, is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PSX.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

No material change from last week — California LCFS credit market softening and elevated feedstock costs continue compressing renewable fuel margins, while traditional crack spreads remain modest.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+46.9%YTD
+60.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
7.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.49$-0.54+190.3%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$2.47$2.15+14.9%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$2.52$2.14+17.8%
Q2 2025Jul 25, 2025$2.38$1.72+38.4%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $7.50

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$34.1B+11.7%10.6%8.4%$0.51$-2.8B
Q4 FY25$34.0B+0.9%6.3%4.4%$7.21$2.1B
Q3 FY25$34.5B-2.2%5.5%2.6%$0.32$637.0M
Q2 FY25$33.2B-12.9%5.7%3.3%$2.15$258.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$154.2B$139.4B – $172.7B$19.46$17.46 – $20.846
FY27$145.1B$114.7B – $184.4B$18.00$13.89 – $22.366
FY28$146.9B$141.4B – $152.4B$17.31$17.07 – $17.563
FY29$173.4B$147.0B – $202.6B$21.56$17.30 – $26.292
FY30$185.6B$157.4B – $216.9B$26.00$20.86 – $31.701

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.91%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+13.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+31.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 400.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.685-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 21Sutherland Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and Secretary7.0K sh$7.4BSellJul 20Sutherland Vanessa AllenEVP, GC and Secretary563 sh$119KSellJul 9Kevin J MitchellCFO11.0K sh$2.1MSellMay 11Kevin J MitchellCFO600 sh$103KSellMay 8Kevin J MitchellCFO29.4K sh$5.0MBuyMay 6Meyers Kevin OmarDirector175 sh$30KSellMar 30Kevin J MitchellCFO15.6K sh$3.0MBuyMar 17Meyers Kevin OmarDirector175 sh$30KSellMar 13Davis Lisa AnnDirector3.8K sh$663KSellMar 12Brian MandellPresident42.8K sh$7.3M
1–10 of 14
+ 24 other (9 awards · 8 inkinds · 7 exempts) in window

See when $PSX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 148-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Apr 3SC 13D
8-KMaterial agreementMar 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 123
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 123
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 12 other (3 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's Why Phillips 66 (PSX) is a Strong Value Stockzacks.com·21h agoABN Amro Investment Solutions Buys 3,147 Shares of Phillips 66 $PSXdefenseworld.net·1d agoWhy Phillips 66 (PSX) Outpaced the Stock Market Todayzacks.com·3d agoAI Has Entered a Bear Marketinvestorplace.com·4d agoIs Phillips 66 Positioned to Return Capital to Its Shareholders?zacks.com·4d ago

More in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$VVV$DINO$VLO$PBF$MPC$CLMT$MOHCF
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $PSX on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport