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PBPBF

PBF Energy Inc.

$PBF·$9.6B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$89.34+6.8%YTD+195.6%1Y+200.0%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
PBPBF
$PBFPBF Energy Inc.
$89.34+6.76%180 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $PBF on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

180X posts · last 7 days
Sep 21Oct 4
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $PBF's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-09

PBF Energy hit a fresh high (+$0.73 to $76.21 on 367K shares) and Todd Gordon called out the refiner group ($COP, $PBF, $VLO, $MPC, $PSX) as one that never seems to fall. Bulls call energy a permanent risk-parity anchor to the rest of the equity book. One large insider sale is a small caution flag.

Read what X is saying about $PBF

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $PBF — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

A refiner with a 50% EPS surprise and the crude-plus-crack cycle finally cooperating — up 196% YTD and still running.

PBF Energy is a US refining pure-play — operations in Delaware, Louisiana, Ohio, New Jersey, and California, each exposed to regional crack spreads and crude basis differentials. The 2026 move is a classic refining-cycle setup, with cracks widening into tighter diesel and distillate markets.

  • The P&L has turned on a dime: Q2 revenue grew 12% YoY to $7.9B at a 5% operating margin and $1.69 EPS, and the latest print beat Street estimates by 50% — refining EPS surprises of that size are the direct read on crack-spread expansion, which the sell-side consistently underestimates.
  • The chart confirms institutional and retail recognition: at 96% of 52-week range and 67% above the 200-day, up 196% YTD, Todd Gordon's refiner-group callout and the risk-parity-anchor framing all point to a group being treated as a durable allocation, not a one-off cycle trade.

Oct 29 earnings is where the cycle validation gets reaffirmed. Another 25%+ EPS surprise plus any color on diesel-shortage economics is the trigger for the next leg; a sharp crack-spread compression or any management guide on utilization pullback is the first real risk.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish refiner-group framing and the Todd Gordon callout line up with the fundamentals. The large insider sale is the one honest caution flag — worth noting, but routine on a 196% YTD move.

What to watch: Oct 29 Q3 earnings — realized crack spreads, operating-utilization rate, maintenance schedule, and any distillate-market commentary. 25%+ EPS surprise plus diesel-market color is the trigger; a crack-spread compression is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30drefining cycle

Read the AI verdict on $PBF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Independent petroleum refiner operating six U.S. refineries producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PBF.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

No material change from last week — Crude above $100/bbl tightening refined product markets and sustaining refinery crack spreads above mid-cycle.

What this means for $PBF

Partial — Independent petroleum refiner operating six U.S. refineries producing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+77.6%YTD
+83.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
14.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-10.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
8.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
1.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$6.22$4.15+49.9%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.88$-0.79-11.4%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.49$-0.15+426.7%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$-0.52$-0.69+24.6%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $10.81

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$7.9B+11.9%6.1%5.0%$1.69$-673.1M
Q4 FY25$7.1B-2.9%-1.8%1.8%$0.67$77.0M
Q3 FY25$7.7B-8.7%0.5%3.7%$1.47$-122.8M
Q2 FY25$7.5B-14.4%-0.8%0.6%$-0.05$35.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$38.7B$35.0B – $44.8B$20.11$15.94 – $23.738
FY27$34.6B$28.9B – $44.6B$14.55$4.60 – $26.218
FY28$34.1B$28.5B – $40.3B$6.09$5.60 – $6.577
FY29$31.8B$27.2B – $38.1B$5.93$4.82 – $7.473
FY30$32.1B$27.5B – $38.5B$4.18$3.40 – $5.265

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.100%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+21.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+80.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 100.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.105-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 5Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1120.0K sh$10.1MSellOct 1Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1100.0K sh$8.2MSellSep 11Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1150.0K sh$12.1MSellSep 10Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1315.8K sh$24.6MSellSep 9Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-13.5K sh$270KSellSep 2Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1100.0K sh$7.7MSellAug 19Thomas J. NimbleyDirector116.0K sh$8.6MSellAug 18Thomas J. NimbleyDirector125.0K sh$9.3MSellAug 17Thomas J. NimbleyDirector100.0K sh$7.5MSellAug 17Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1120.0K sh$9.0M
1–10 of 46
+ 37 other (16 exempts · 11 inkinds · 10 awards) in window

See when $PBF insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementOct 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KMaterial agreementSep 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

PBF Holding Company LLC (subsidiary of PBF Energy Inc.) issued $550 million of 0% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2032 on September 17, 2026, including $50 million from full overallotment exercise; net proceeds of approximately $533.6 million will fund capped call transactions, redeem the 7.875% Senior Notes due 2030 in full, and cover general corporate purposes. The 0% coupon eliminates cash interest on this tranche while creating future equity dilution at exchange; redemption of the 7.875% notes meaningfully reduces near-term cash interest expense for PBF Energy.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KMaterial agreementMay 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

PBF Holding Company LLC and PBF Finance Corporation (PBF) completed the issuance of new senior unsecured notes, using the proceeds to redeem in full the outstanding 6.00% Senior Notes due 2028, on May 28, 2026. The new notes are guaranteed by eleven PBF subsidiaries, including Delaware City Refining, Toledo Refining, Chalmette Refining, Torrance Refining, Martinez Refining, PBF Services, PBF Investments, PBF Power Marketing, Paulsboro Refining, PBF International, and PBF Energy Western Region. This is a material refinancing transaction that replaces higher-cost near-term debt. The transaction closed on May 28, 2026.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 268-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

PBF Holding Company LLC and PBF Finance Corporation (PBF) announced on May 26, 2026, the commencement of a private offering of $500 million aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes due 2034. The proceeds of the offering, combined with cash on hand, are intended to fully redeem the outstanding 6.00% Senior Notes due 2028. This disclosure was furnished under Item 7.01 (Regulation FD) and Item 8.01 (other events). The offering pricing announcement (May 27 filing) followed the next day.

8-KShareholder voteApr 308-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

5 Attractive Low Price-to-Sales Stocks With Promising Upside Potentialzacks.com·1d agoPBF Energy (NYSE:PBF) Reaches New 1-Year High – Here’s What Happeneddefenseworld.net·1d agoWarren Blamed Trump’s Iran War for $500 Heating Oil Bills, So Why Are Refiner Stocks Up Over 160%?247wallst.com·2d agoPBF Energy Inc (PBF) Stock Up 4.2% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 48/100gurufocus.com·4d agoPBF Energy (PBF) Is Up 9.62% in One Week: What You Should Knowzacks.com·4d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $PBF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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