TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$PBF
PBPBF

PBF Energy Inc.

$PBF·$6.3B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$53.18-0.2%YTD+94.6%1Y+90.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-04: 1 posts2026-07-05: 9 posts2026-07-06: 18 posts2026-07-07: 20 posts2026-07-08: 62 posts2026-07-09: 30 posts2026-07-10: 40 posts180
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 13h ago
PBPBF
$PBFPBF Energy Inc.
$53.18-0.24%180 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PBF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-11

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Independent refiner up 95% YTD — Carlos Slim's Control Empresarial cashed $110M this week.

PBF Energy is one of the largest US independent oil refiners, operating multiple East and West Coast refineries plus a logistics business. The current setup is a cyclical trade at a specific moment: strong refining margins meeting a very large insider-adjacent sale from the largest shareholder.

  • Fundamentals confirm the refining-cycle strength: revenue grew 12% year-over-year last quarter to $7.9B at a 6% gross margin, 5% operating margin, and last EPS surprise was a 12% beat — the refining spreads are working, and this is a business genuinely levered to that cycle.
  • The valuation is unusually cheap: 14x TTM earnings and 0.21x sales for a business with a 6% ROIC — priced as a distressed cyclical, though the recent tape and estimates ($7.70 FY26 EPS) contradict that framing.
  • The Carlos Slim signal is the specific structural risk: Control Empresarial de Capitales (Slim's fund) sold approximately $110M in three days across July 6-9 — this is a real large-shareholder step-down into strength, and it's the specific tell into the July 30 print.
  • The tape confirms the cyclical rally: shares at the 95th percentile of the 52-week range, 24% above the 50-day and 43% above the 200-day moving average — a genuine cyclical trend that has run hard, with the tape now testing whether the recent strong quarter can extend.

The July 30 earnings is the fulcrum. Refining-margin capture with clean East-and-West-Coast segment commentary and any Iran-tension pricing benefit keeps the cyclical trade intact toward the FY26 $7.70 EPS estimate. A margin compression signal or the Slim selling extending turns event-ahead into a real cooling from the 95th percentile — cyclicals at all-time highs punish disappointment quickly.

What to watch: July 30 earnings — refining-margin capture with clean East-and-West-Coast segment commentary and any Iran-tension pricing benefit keeps the cyclical trade intact toward the FY26 $7.70 EPS estimate; a margin-compression signal or Slim selling extending turns event-ahead into real cooling from the 95th percentile, and cyclicals at ATH punish disappointment.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 2026 earnings

no sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PBF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

PBF Energy Inc., operating through its subsidiaries, primarily focuses on the refinement and distribution of various petroleum products. Its business is structured into two core segments: Refining and Logistics. The company's extensive product portfolio encompasses gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, standard diesel fuel, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemicals, and asphalt. Additionally, it provides unbranded transportation fuels, essential petrochemical feedstocks, blending components, and other petroleum derivatives. PBF Energy distributes these products across the United States, specifically targeting the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast regions, with further market penetration into other domestic areas, Canada, and Mexico. Beyond its refining activities, the company offers a comprehensive suite of logistics services, including rail, truck, and marine terminaling, alongside pipeline transportation and storage solutions. As of December 31, 2021, PBF Energy Inc. owned and operated six oil refineries and associated infrastructure. The company was established in 2008 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PBF.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

No material change from last week — California LCFS credit market softening and elevated feedstock costs continue compressing renewable fuel margins, while traditional crack spreads remain modest.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+32.8%YTD
+46.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
14.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-10.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
8.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
1.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$-0.88$-0.79-11.4%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.49$-0.15+426.7%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$-0.52$-0.69+24.6%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$-1.03$-1.19+13.4%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $3.49

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$7.9B+11.9%6.1%5.0%$1.69$-673.1M
Q4 FY25$7.1B-2.9%-1.8%1.8%$0.67$77.0M
Q3 FY25$7.7B-8.7%0.5%3.7%$1.47$-122.8M
Q2 FY25$7.5B-14.4%-0.8%0.6%$-0.05$35.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$35.2B$28.5B – $45.4B$7.70$4.72 – $11.968
FY27$33.2B$27.5B – $42.9B$6.21$3.60 – $7.588
FY28$33.9B$33.7B – $34.0B$4.39$3.35 – $5.705
FY29$31.8B$26.0B – $39.0B$5.28$4.02 – $6.842
FY30$32.1B$26.2B – $39.4B$4.18$3.19 – $5.422

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.95%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+24.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+42.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 98.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.105-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 9Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1270.0K sh$14.4MSellJul 8Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1380.0K sh$19.9MSellJul 6Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1200.0K sh$9.8MSellJul 1Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1200.0K sh$9.4MSellJun 30Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1280.0K sh$13.1MSellJun 29Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1570.0K sh$26.4MSellJun 26Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1200.0K sh$8.6MSellJun 25Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1205.6K sh$8.6MSellJun 5Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1100.0K sh$4.3MSellJun 3Empresarial De ControlAdd'l Rep. Persons-see Ex.99-1220.0K sh$9.6M
1–10 of 18
+ 22 other (10 awards · 10 inkinds · 2 exempts) in window

See when $PBF insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's Why PBF Energy Stock Gushed Higher This Weekfool.com·1d agoHere's Why PBF Energy (PBF) is a Strong Growth Stockzacks.com·3d agoWhy PBF Energy (PBF) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·4d agoHere's Why PBF Energy (PBF) is a Strong Momentum Stockzacks.com·9d agoSurging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for PBF Energy (PBF) Stockzacks.com·11d ago

More in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$VVV$VLO$CLMT$AMTX$MOHCF
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $PBF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport