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AMAMTX

Aemetis, Inc.

$AMTX·$121M·Chemicals - Specialty·Basic Materials
$1.86-0.5%YTD+12.5%1Y-31.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 2 posts2026-08-21: 5 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts2026-08-24: 0 posts21+12%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 5d ago
AMAMTX
$AMTXAemetis, Inc.
$1.86-0.53%21 posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AMTX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Too early to tellWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-22

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Renewable-fuels smallcap with an EPS-turning-positive-in-2028 model, needs revenue to more than double from here

Aemetis is a renewable fuels smallcap where the analyst model requires a step-change in revenue and margin to convert the current losses to the projected 2028 profitability.

  • Q1 revenue $54.6M was up 27% YoY, and Q2 EPS $-0.13 beat sell-side by 55% — the operational trajectory is improving off a low base
  • Sell-side FY26 revenue $285M requires roughly $170M in H2 2026 versus H1's $115M — a 48% acceleration in the back half
  • Sell-side FY27 revenue $408M and FY28 $629M with FY28 EPS turning positive at $0.77 — the ramp is essentially a doubling of revenue over two years plus margin expansion of ~20 points
  • Debt-to-equity is negative at -1.07 (indicating negative book equity), and free-cash-flow yield is -24% — the balance sheet is a genuine constraint on how patient the ramp can be
  • Stonegate Capital updated coverage on August 10 following Q2; sell-side voice remains thin but constructive
  • Stock at $2.07 is +13% YTD but -17% over 12 months, sitting at 31% of 52-week range and +21% vs 50-day MA — the recent tape is warming but hasn't cleared major resistance

Only a credible bet with a view on renewable-fuel policy tailwinds (RNG tax credits, SAF blending mandates) — the internal cash generation isn't there yet to fund the pipeline organically.

What to watch: H2 2026 revenue trajectory to hit the $285M sell-side number; any RNG dairy project ramp updates and sustainable aviation fuel offtake announcements. Balance-sheet color on debt refinancing or equity capital raise — with negative book equity, the funding path matters more than the operating beat.

On the calendar: Q3 2026 earnings — November 5, 2026

sentiment missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Neutral sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Aemetis chatter is thin and mostly technical. Two chartists flag active sell signals and rejected resistance zones, one wants to see a hard retest of a grey buy zone hold, and one poster pairs it with ANNA as an asymmetric Hormuz-continuation play (AMTX for diesel exposure). One counter-signal notes a fresh buy signal with all six indicators pointing up but resistance at the EMA 200. The tone is watchful and directional signals are mixed.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AMTX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Produces renewable natural gas from dairy waste and low-carbon ethanol in California, plus biodiesel in India.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals - Specialty sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMTX.

Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — lithium price recovery as EV battery demand growth slowly rebalances Atacama supply gluts, and US government rare earth/critical mineral investment ($725M..

What this means for $AMTX

Neutral — Produces renewable natural gas from dairy waste and low-carbon ethanol in California, plus biodiesel in India; limited read-through from chemicals - specialty macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
+33.8%YTD
+48.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-2.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-11.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-12.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-24.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
3.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-1.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.13$-0.29+55.3%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.33$-0.27-22.2%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$-0.08$-0.27+70.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.37$-0.25-48.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $-0.20

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$54.6M+27.4%5.0%-11.6%$-0.33$-17.1M
Q4 FY25$53.7M+14.2%14.4%-4.6%$-0.08$-10.8M
Q3 FY25$59.2M-27.3%-0.1%-14.4%$-0.37$-1.0M
Q2 FY25$52.2M-21.5%-6.4%-20.4%$-0.41$-9.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$284.7M$248.3M – $324.7M-$1.01-$1.19 – -$0.833
FY27$407.9M$392.9M – $428.0M-$0.53-$0.70 – -$0.313
FY28$628.5M$516.9M – $740.2M$0.77$0.27 – $1.262
FY29$759.9M$682.1M – $834.6M$1.64$1.42 – $1.851
FY30$1.1B$959.2M – $1.2B$2.87$2.49 – $3.241

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.22%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+9.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 65.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.445-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 10Simon Timothy AlanDirector10.0K sh$21K
+ 6 other (6 awards) in window

See when $AMTX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AMTX filed an 8-K (Item 2.02) reporting its financial results, filed 2026-08-06. The actual financial figures are in the attached press release (Exhibit 99.1), not reproduced in the body excerpt. This is a material disclosure; investors should review the press release for beat/miss details and guidance.

8-KShareholder voteMay 268-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Aemetis, Inc. held its Annual Meeting on May 20, 2026. Elected Class II director Lydia I. Beebe (18.1M for, 628K withheld) for a term through 2029; ratified KPMG LLP as independent auditor for FY2026 (37.8M for, 85K against). High broker non-votes (~19.5M) on the director proposal reflect low retail participation. Routine annual meeting with no unusual outcomes.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AMTX reported period ending 2026-05-07 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KMaterial eventMar 168-K — Item 4.01
8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 128-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 6 other (2 10-Qs · 1 13G · 1 proxy · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) 2Q26newsfilecorp.com·20d agoAemetis, Inc. (AMTX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·23d agoAemetis Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·23d agoAemetis (AMTX) Reports Q2 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimateszacks.com·24d agoAemetis Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsprismmediawire.com·24d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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