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VVVVV

Valvoline Inc.

$VVV·$3.7B·Auto - Dealerships·Consumer Cyclical
$31.48-0.4%YTD-1.1%1Y-10.3%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
VVVVV
$VVVValvoline Inc.
$31.48-0.38%1.0k posts1.3×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $VVV on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

1,004X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.3×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $VVV's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 92% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data23 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Sentiment is split on Venice.ai's $VVV — bulls point to the chart breakout, BlackRock calling compute "a potentially large digital-asset market," and VVV being named among the cycle's "chosen" alts (ZEC, NEAR, HYPE). The real bear voice is a paying user flaming the product ("GLM 5.2 says context too big after 12 prompts, this shouldn't happen on pro") and the reminder that serving retail inference at scale is brutal economics.

Read what X is saying about $VVV

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $VVV — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Quick-lube rollup is accelerating but the stock went nowhere this year — and the X chatter is about an altcoin.

Valvoline runs the Valvoline Instant Oil Change retail service network (quick-lube franchise and company-owned shops) after divesting its lubricant brand. The stock is flat YTD despite 25% revenue growth — a disconnect worth looking at, especially since the X chatter under the ticker isn't actually about this company.

  • The business is accelerating: revenue grew 25% YoY to $504M last quarter at 17.9% operating margin — this is a franchise-store rollup compounding at the kind of rate that normally gets a growth multiple, but the stock just hit a new 1-year low.
  • At 49x trailing earnings with a $600M senior notes raise and an increased share buyback authorization, the capital allocation is confident — management is choosing to lever up to buy back stock at these prices, which is a real-money bull signal.
  • No meaningful insider selling and the Q2 EPS estimate at $0.42 against $0.29 TTM run-rate implies analysts expect sequential improvement — the setup is quietly constructive.

Stalled holds until Nov 18 earnings show same-store service revenue reaccelerating or until the market reads through the ticker confusion with the altcoin. A sequential same-store comp above 8%, or any specific unit-economics improvement, is what restarts the move. Absent that, this drifts further toward the $28 support.

Differs from X sentimentThe X thread describing Venice VVV, context-window errors, BlackRock bullish compute framing, and KAS/PENDLE comparisons is about an AI-compute altcoin — Valvoline the quick-lube retailer has zero connection to any of it; the stock's own actual tape is a quiet growth-at-reasonable-price setup.

What to watch: Nov 18 earnings — same-store service revenue growth (needs to clear 8%), new store openings pace, and any color on the increased buyback execution. A comp miss, or margin compression on labor costs, is what breaks the stalled tape downward.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q4 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $VVV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates Valvoline Instant Oil Change quick-lube service centers; pivoted to pure service-center business after selling the lubricants products unit.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Dealerships sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VVV.

Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Wholesale used-vehicle digital auction consolidation is the structural story: Copart's $1.

What this means for $VVV

Partial — Operates Valvoline Instant Oil Change quick-lube service centers; pivoted to pure service-center business after selling the lubricants products unit.

Industry benchmark

5-name peer basket
-8.1%YTD
-6.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
17.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
28.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
38.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.57$0.50+13.5%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.41$0.35+17.1%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$0.37$0.34+8.8%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$0.45$0.47-3.8%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $0.42

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$503.8M+25.0%37.1%17.5%$0.29$37.6M
Q1 FY26$461.8M+11.5%37.4%14.2%$-0.26$7.4M
Q4 FY25$453.8M+4.2%39.1%18.6%$0.20$23.0M
Q3 FY25$439.0M+4.2%40.5%21.6%$0.44$32.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1B$2.1B – $2.1B$1.76$1.74 – $1.8011
FY27$2.3B$2.3B – $2.4B$1.99$1.79 – $2.1211
FY28$2.5B$2.5B – $2.6B$2.47$2.46 – $2.487
FY29$2.7B$2.7B – $2.8B$2.62$2.54 – $2.703
FY30$2.9B$2.9B – $3.0B$2.96$2.86 – $3.045

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.36%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-7.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.045-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 21O'daniel Julie MarieChief Legal Officer3.7K sh$125KBuyAug 12Jordan M. DennyChief Accounting Officer1.5K sh$50KSellJun 25Jonathan L. CaldwellChief People Officer2.9K sh$114KBuyMay 15Slater Jennifer LynnDirector1.0K sh$33KBuyMay 14Freeland Richard JosephDirector3.1K sh$100KBuyMay 14Willis J KevinCFO10.0K sh$318K
+ 18 other (14 awards · 2 exempts · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $VVV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Valvoline closed a $600 million offering of 6.125% Senior Notes due 2034 on August 24, 2026, with proceeds designated to repay in full its senior secured term loan A facility and partially repay its term loan B facility. The notes are unsubordinated unsecured obligations guaranteed by subsidiaries that also guarantee Valvoline's existing senior secured facilities and 3.625% notes due 2031. Material refinancing that extends Valvoline's debt maturity profile and shifts the capital structure from secured term loans to unsecured notes.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

VVV (VVV) reported Q2 2026 financial results on 2026-08-05, reporting results detailed in attached press release. The press release notes: mission as to the materiality of any information in this For. Additional items: Item 7.01. Quarterly earnings are a material disclosure; investors should review the full press release for segment details and management commentary.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 243
AI summary

Scott Mezvinsky filed a Form 3 with the SEC on July 24, 2026 disclosing his status as a newly appointed director of Valvoline Inc. (ticker: VVV). Table I of the Form 3 shows no non-derivative securities beneficially owned, and Table II shows no derivative securities, indicating he received no shares or equity grants as of the filing date. This is a routine initial ownership statement required of all new Section 16 reporting persons within 10 days of appointment to the board of a public company. Valvoline is a Louisville, Kentucky-based quick-lube and preventive-maintenance service franchise.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 243
AI summary

Katherine Fogertey filed a Form 3 with the SEC on July 24, 2026 disclosing her status as a newly appointed director of Valvoline Inc. (ticker: VVV). Table I of the Form 3 shows no non-derivative securities beneficially owned, and Table II shows no derivative securities, indicating she received no shares or equity grants as of the filing date. This is a routine initial ownership statement required of all new Section 16 reporting persons within 10 days of appointment to the board of a public company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

VVV filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 announcing the appointment of to the as members of the Board on such date. Additionally, Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. The filing also covers Item(s) 9.01. Personnel changes at the executive or board level are typically administrative but can signal strategic shifts depending on context.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) entered into Amendment No. 1 to its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on June 30, 2026, modifying a revolving credit facility originally established December 1, 2025; the amendment also created or modified a direct financial obligation per Item 2.03. Specific capacity, rate, or covenant changes are not detailed in the excerpt. This is routine credit facility maintenance for the vehicle service company and is unlikely to carry material operational significance.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) reported quarterly financial results via an 8-K under Items 2.02 and 7.01. The automotive services company disclosed revenue, same-store sales growth, and profitability for its quick-lube service center network. The Regulation FD disclosure ensures related investor communications are simultaneously publicly available. A full earnings press release is attached as an exhibit.

+ 9 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 routine 8-K · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Valvoline Inc. Marks 10 Years as a Public Company and 40 Years in Retail Servicebusinesswire.com·4d agoValpak Clipp Puts the Keys in Your Mailbox with Its Largest Consumer Giveaway Ever: A Brand-New Carprnewswire.com·17d agoValvoline Inc. Announces Increase in Share Repurchase Authorizationbusinesswire.com·18d agoValvoline (NYSE:VVV) Reaches New 1-Year Low – What’s Next?defenseworld.net·24d agoMAC Alpha Capital Management LP Acquires 25,100 Shares of Valvoline $VVVdefenseworld.net·26d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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