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VVVVV

Valvoline Inc.

$VVV·$4.9B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$39.97-0.7%YTD+37.4%1Y+10.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-11: 369 posts2026-07-12: 178 posts2026-07-13: 90 posts2026-07-14: 103 posts2026-07-15: 143 posts2026-07-16: 105 posts2026-07-17: 118 posts1,132+9%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 4h ago
VVVVV
$VVVValvoline Inc.
$39.97-0.74%1.1k posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $VVV, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Quick-lube consolidator quietly running at 25% top-line growth — the X 'VVV' noise is a crypto token, not this.

Valvoline is the pure-play quick-lube service chain (Valvoline Instant Oil Change) whose 2026 tape has been the quiet outperformer up 35% YTD. The setup is real-business + accelerating with the underlying store-count expansion driving the numbers.

  • The core business is executing at scale: Q1 2026 revenue grew 25% YoY to $504M, gross margin held at 37%, and operating margin was 17.5% — this is a company that's compounding through service-mile expansion and same-store ticket growth, exactly the retail-services thesis bulls have been underwriting.
  • The valuation reflects the growth: 49x TTM P/E is high but on FY26 EPS growth projected at ~30%, forward multiple is ~35x — for a services chain adding stores at a 10-12% annualized rate with 17% operating margins, the multiple is defensible if the store-count trajectory continues.
  • The insider action is mixed but scale-manageable: three insider events in the quarter (grants + small F-InKind tax-withholds), no scale open-market distribution near the current $39 level — the setup rewards continued store-count and same-store ticket affirmation, not a catalyst trade.

The August 5 Q3 FY26 earnings are the near-term test — Q3 revenue growth vs the 25% Q1 pace, same-store ticket growth, and any FY26 unit-growth commentary extend the setup toward $45. A same-store miss or unit-growth guidance cut stalls the tape near current 52-week highs.

What to watch: The August 5 Q3 FY26 earnings. Watch Q3 revenue growth vs the 25% Q1 pace, same-store ticket growth, and FY26 unit-growth commentary. Same-store miss or unit-growth cut stalls the tape at 52-week highs; steady growth extends toward $45.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q3 FY26 earnings

ticker collision

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Venice.AI's $VVV is a downtrending Base-chain AI token. Bulls flag it as one of only a couple of names outperforming the AI meta on Base and cite it as a top three appcoin on the Base app. Traders describe interest starting around $8-9 as RSI reaches sub-30 levels. Bears counter with copy-trade PnL evidence (David Hoffman's disclosed positions had $VVV down -47.57%, one of the worst in his set), and a large $VVV wallet was disclosed selling 10k $VVV to buy $DOT (Dot Loom). An aixbt_agent AI-ranking output ordered VVV third among BNKR, CLANKER and VVV based on chain activity, which bulls read as validation and bears as diminished relative dominance. Sentiment is a genuine two-camp technical debate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $VVV

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates Valvoline Instant Oil Change quick-lube service centers; pivoted to pure service-center business after selling the lubricants products unit.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VVV.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

No material change from last week — California LCFS credit market softening and elevated feedstock costs continue compressing renewable fuel margins, while traditional crack spreads remain modest.

What this means for $VVV

Neutral — Operates Valvoline Instant Oil Change quick-lube service centers; pivoted to pure service-center business after selling the lubricants products unit; limited exposure means the California LCFS credit softening and feedstock cost dynamics is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+43.1%YTD
+60.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
17.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
28.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
38.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.41$0.35+17.1%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$0.37$0.34+8.8%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$0.45$0.47-3.8%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$0.47$0.46+2.2%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $0.50

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$503.8M+25.0%37.1%17.5%$0.29$37.6M
Q1 FY26$461.8M+11.5%37.4%14.2%$-0.26$7.4M
Q4 FY25$453.8M+4.2%39.1%18.6%$0.20$23.0M
Q3 FY25$439.0M+4.2%40.5%21.6%$0.44$32.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1B$2.0B – $2.1B$1.75$1.71 – $1.8010
FY27$2.3B$2.2B – $2.4B$2.06$1.83 – $2.1710
FY28$2.5B$2.5B – $2.5B$2.49$2.40 – $2.565
FY29$2.7B$2.6B – $2.7B$2.75$2.66 – $2.842
FY30$2.9B$2.8B – $3.0B$3.10$2.99 – $3.202

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.92%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+18.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 127.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.005-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 25Jonathan L. CaldwellChief People Officer2.9K sh$114KBuyMay 15Slater Jennifer LynnDirector1.0K sh$33KBuyMay 14Freeland Richard JosephDirector3.1K sh$100KBuyMay 14Willis J KevinCFO10.0K sh$318KSellMar 3Jonathan L. CaldwellChief People Officer2.7K sh$101KSellMar 2Jonathan L. CaldwellChief People Officer983 sh$37KSellFeb 20O'daniel Julie MarieChief Legal Officer4.3K sh$166K
+ 28 other (18 awards · 5 exempts · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $VVV insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) entered into Amendment No. 1 to its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on June 30, 2026, modifying a revolving credit facility originally established December 1, 2025; the amendment also created or modified a direct financial obligation per Item 2.03. Specific capacity, rate, or covenant changes are not detailed in the excerpt. This is routine credit facility maintenance for the vehicle service company and is unlikely to carry material operational significance.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) reported quarterly financial results via an 8-K under Items 2.02 and 7.01. The automotive services company disclosed revenue, same-store sales growth, and profitability for its quick-lube service center network. The Regulation FD disclosure ensures related investor communications are simultaneously publicly available. A full earnings press release is attached as an exhibit.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 93
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 93
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
3New insider — initial holdingsJan 293
+ 10 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 11-K · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

New Valvoline Inc. Report: Americans Feel Confident but 4 in 10 Are Overwhelmed by Everyday Decisionsbusinesswire.com·24d agoValvoline Instant Oil Change® Named 12-Time Winner of the Association for Talent Developments Best of the BEST Awardbusinesswire.com·39d agoValvoline Instant Oil Change® Introduces The Ride Wrangler℠ to Remind Drivers to Change Wisely℠gurufocus.com·40d agoValvoline Inc. (VVV) Presents at TD Cowen 10th Annual Future of the Consumer Conference Transcriptseekingalpha.com·44d agoValvoline Inc. (VVV) Presents at 2026 Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference Transcriptseekingalpha.com·45d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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