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KMKMX

CarMax, Inc.

Buzzing onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketBacked by solid revenue growthBullish-leaning chatter
$KMX·$8.1B·Auto - Dealerships·Consumer Cyclical
$57.21-2.0%YTD+50.6%1Y-4.7%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
KMKMX
$KMXCarMax, Inc.
$57.21-2.00%36 posts1.4×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $KMX on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

36X posts · last 7 days
Sep 1Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1.4×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $KMX's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 99% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-12

Posts describe CarMax popping in the Early Morning Movers bullish scan alongside SE, and forming an LL-HL Structure 1st Pivot on watchlists. One contributor jokes CBRL and KMX being the best-looking breakouts of the day is worrying. Bears flag lots of vehicles coming off lease in the next year adding used-auto supply pressure, and used-auto listings going parabolic implying prices need to collapse.

Read what X is saying about $KMX

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $KMX — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-19

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Used-auto retailer up 51% YTD with a 36% Q1 EPS beat heading into a Sept 29 print

CarMax is running an operational turnaround the tape has already noticed.

  • Q1 FY27 EPS $1.31 vs $0.965 estimate (+36%); revenue up 6.2% YoY marks the return-to-growth quarter after two down quarters.
  • PE 34 is elevated because trailing earnings dipped, but 13% FCF yield and Zacks value-stock coverage suggest the multiple normalizes as the cycle recovers.
  • Bernstein Liebhard shareholder investigation announcement is a modest overhang; the CFO departure with modified severance package is the governance blemish to weigh.

At 77% of the 52-week range, the setup is a coil into the Sept 29 print — bulls need the beat cadence to extend, not just repeat.

Agrees with X sentimentX flags KMX in the Early Morning Movers bullish scan with an LL-HL Structure first pivot; bears counter with vehicles-coming-off-lease supply pressure. That mixed-but-leaning-bullish read matches the setup — real EPS acceleration against genuine cycle-supply overhang.

What to watch: The Sept 29 Q2 FY27 print for revenue growth extending above 6% and used-vehicle unit trajectory; whether the Bernstein Liebhard investigation produces any material findings.

On the calendar: 2026-09-29 — Q2 FY27 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $KMX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest US used-car retailer with in-house auto financing and a digital-first buying experience.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Dealerships sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KMX.

Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical

Wholesale used-vehicle market consolidation is the week's dominant signal: Copart's $1.9B acquisition of ACV Auctions validates digital auction platform economics. Traditional dealership margins continue to normalise from COVID-era peaks; EV transition creates mixed dynamics with lower service revenue per vehicle.

What this means for $KMX

Neutral — largest US used-car retailer faces normalising used-vehicle margins and rising auction competition from digital platforms; in-house CarMax Auto Finance provides interest income buffer.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
+2.8%YTD
-7.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
34.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-1.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
13.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
3.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
10.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 17, 2026$1.31$0.96+35.8%
Q1 2026Apr 14, 2026$0.34$0.23+48.9%
Q3 2025Dec 18, 2025$0.51$0.31+66.4%
Q2 2025Sep 25, 2025$0.64$1.04-38.5%
Next earningsTue, Sep 29·consensus EPS $0.72

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$8.0B+6.2%10.7%1.9%$1.31$-85.7M
Q4 FY26$5.9B-1.0%10.2%-4.2%$-0.77$-687.3M
Q3 FY26$5.8B-6.9%10.2%-2.3%$0.43$1.1B
Q2 FY26$6.6B-6.0%10.9%-1.8%$0.64$654.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$25.7B$25.2B – $26.0B$2.69$2.62 – $2.7812
FY27$27.2B$26.1B – $28.5B$2.71$2.50 – $2.9814
FY28$27.7B$26.4B – $28.8B$3.11$2.69 – $3.3913
FY29$28.7B$27.6B – $30.5B$3.00$1.96 – $4.266

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.2.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.77%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+20.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 131.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 25Sona ChawlaDirector2.0K sh$107KBuyJun 25Marcella ShinderDirector574 sh$30KBuyJun 24Mark F OneilDirector9.6K sh$503KBuyJun 22Peter J BensenDirector2.5K sh$131KBuyJun 22Keith BarrCEO9.4K sh$498K
+ 29 other (18 awards · 8 inkinds · 3 exempts) in window

See when $KMX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 318-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CarMax Inc. (KMX) disclosed the departure of Ms. Cafritz (likely CFO or senior executive) with a modified severance package: the standard formula of 1.5× (salary + target bonus) was amended to remove the target bonus component, replaced with her actual FY2027 annual bonus at year-end. Additionally, Cafritz entered a 6-month consulting agreement at half her current base salary, during which non-solicitation and non-competition covenants are extended by an additional six months (total 2.5 years from departure). The modification substituting actual for target bonus in the severance formula reduces the company's guaranteed payout.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 243
AI summary

Robert O'Shaughnessy filed a Form 3 as a newly appointed Director of CarMax, Inc. (KMX) on June 24, 2026, triggered by his election at the 2026 Annual Meeting on June 23, 2026. The filing discloses no securities beneficially owned. Administrative disclosure with no share holdings reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 243
AI summary

James Francis Kessler filed a Form 3 as a newly appointed Director of CarMax, Inc. (KMX) on June 24, 2026, triggered by an event on June 23, 2026. The filing discloses no securities beneficially owned — both the non-derivative and derivative tables are blank. Administrative filing accompanying CarMax's 2026 Annual Meeting director elections; no share holdings to note.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 243
AI summary

William C. Cobb filed a Form 3 as a newly elected Director of CarMax, Inc. (KMX) on June 24, 2026, triggered by his election on June 23, 2026. Cobb beneficially owns 300 shares of CarMax common stock indirectly through the William & Carole Cobb 2000 Family Trust. Routine director ownership disclosure; negligible holding relative to CarMax's outstanding share count.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 23, 2026 with all nine director nominees re-elected with strong support (109–115 million votes for out of ~115 million cast; Thomas Folliard received the lowest support at ~95%). Shareholders also approved an amended 2002 Stock Incentive Plan, adding 1,842,000 shares reserved for issuance, extending the plan termination date to June 23, 2036, adding minimum vesting requirements, and prohibiting dividends on unvested awards. The share increase is modestly dilutive but is a standard compensation-plan renewal.

8-KMaterial debt obligationJun 178-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

CarMax (KMX) reported Q1 FY2026 financial results via press release on June 17, 2026 (Item 2.02). Concurrently, the company executed a $500 million term loan with MUFG as sole lender and administrative agent, maturing June 15, 2029, guaranteed by CarMax and its subsidiaries (Item 2.03). Proceeds were used to repay outstanding amounts under the company's revolving credit facility. This adds fixed-rate term debt to the balance sheet in exchange for revolving capacity.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CarMax (KMX) filed an 8-K on June 8, 2026 disclosing two board and leadership changes. Jill Livesay (VP Controller and Principal Accounting Officer) will retire July 31, 2026; CFO Enrique Mayor-Mora will serve as interim PAO. Robert O'Shaughnessy (age 60, former EVP at PulteGroup, retired March 2026) has been appointed to the board pending shareholder approval at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Directors Shira Goodman and Mitchell Steenrod are not standing for re-election.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CarMax (KMX) disclosed on May 12, 2026 that it intends to nominate Robert O'Shaughnessy (age 60, retired EVP at PulteGroup as of March 2026) to its board of directors at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Incumbent directors Shira Goodman and Mitchell Steenrod are not standing for re-election. This is a pre-meeting director change disclosure preceding the formal election.

+ 13 other (5 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 S-8 · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Comparing CarMax (NYSE:KMX) and MarineMax (NYSE:HZO)defenseworld.net·2d agoWhy CarMax (KMX) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·4d agoCarMax Announces Second Quarter Conference Callbusinesswire.com·10d agoCARMAX, INC. (NYSE: KMX) SHAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION ALERT: Bernstein Liebhard Investigates Potential Breaches of Fiduciary Dutyglobenewswire.com·17d agoWill CarMax (KMX) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?zacks.com·19d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $KMX on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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