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PAPAG

Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

$PAG·$14B·Auto - Dealerships·Consumer Cyclical
$220.01+2.0%YTD+35.7%1Y+26.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-21: 0 posts2026-07-22: 33 posts2026-07-23: 17 posts2026-07-24: 5 posts2026-07-25: 5 posts2026-07-26: 1 posts2026-07-27: 1 posts62+9%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
PAPAG
$PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.
$220.01+2.00%62 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PAG, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-27

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Auto-dealer group hitting 52-week highs on a 23rd straight dividend hike — quiet compounder doing its job.

Penske Automotive is a $14.3B franchised auto/truck dealer at $216.48, sitting at 98% of the 52-week range with beta 0.87. Recent +9.9% pop is not just noise — the fundamentals support it.

The operating case:

  • Q1 revenue $7.86B, +3.4% YoY; prior quarter $8.85B, +14.6% YoY.
  • Op margin ~3.6-3.7%, EPS $3.56 and $2.83 respectively.
  • PE 16.2, P/S 0.45 — cheap on both metrics for a business earning ROE 16.4%.
  • FCF yield 3.3%.
  • 23rd consecutive quarterly dividend increase — the compounder track record most bulls trade on.
  • Wall Street analyst call flow this Friday included PAG among the featured names.

What tempers the setup:

  • D/E 1.64 is elevated (dealer inventory financing).
  • 98% into 52w range means reward/risk is asymmetric to the downside on a soft comps quarter.
  • Recent 8-Ks (7/22 and 7/23) have empty summaries in the bundle — worth reading the actual filings for detail.

Quiet quality compounder at the top of its range.

What to watch: Next quarterly print — same-store sales, gross-per-unit trends in used vehicles, and commercial-truck mix.

dividend hike streakcheap valuationquiet compounder

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PAG

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) is a comprehensive transportation services enterprise, primarily involved in running automotive and commercial truck dealerships. Its business activities are organized into four main segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. The company operates a network of automotive dealerships under franchise agreements with various vehicle manufacturers, facilitating the sale of new and pre-owned automobiles. These dealerships also provide essential related services, including vehicle and collision repair, assisting with finance and lease agreements, offering third-party insurance products, and selling various aftermarket items, alongside wholesale parts distribution. In the commercial truck sector, Penske manages dealerships that offer new heavy and medium-duty trucks, notably Freightliner and Western Star brands, as well as a selection of used trucks, complemented by maintenance and repair services. Expanding its global reach, the company imports and distributes Western Star heavy-duty trucks, MAN heavy and medium-duty trucks and buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse collection vehicles, along with their associated parts, across Australia, New Zealand, and parts of the Pacific. Additionally, Penske acts as a distributor for diesel and gas engines and various power systems. Globally, Penske Automotive Group oversees 320 retail automotive franchises, comprising 146 in the United States and 174 internationally. It also operates 23 CarShop used vehicle centers in both the U.S. and the U.K., and 37 commercial truck dealerships situated in Texas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Georgia, Utah, Idaho, Kansas, Missouri, Oregon, and Canada. The company was established in 1990 and maintains its headquarters in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Auto - Dealerships sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PAG.

Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Carvana's proprietary inspection, reconditioning, and financing infrastructure creates cost efficiency that legacy dealers cannot match at scale.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-40.3%YTD
-50.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
16.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$3.05$2.91+4.8%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$2.91$3.19-8.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$3.23$3.48-7.2%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$3.78——
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $3.38

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$7.9B+3.4%16.5%3.7%$3.56$152.4M
Q4 FY25$8.8B+14.6%15.9%3.6%$2.83$-34.0M
Q3 FY25$7.7B+1.4%16.2%3.9%$3.23$227.4M
Q2 FY25$7.7B-0.4%16.9%4.5%$3.78$118.9M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$32.1B$31.7B – $32.3B$13.38$13.15 – $13.638
FY27$33.1B$31.8B – $34.3B$14.44$13.93 – $15.008
FY28$33.5B$32.2B – $34.9B$15.49$14.80 – $16.494

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.95%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+19.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+29.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 17.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 22SC 13D/A
AI summary

Penske Corporation, the controlling parent entity of Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG), filed Amendment No. 33 to its Schedule 13D on PAG on July 22, 2026, updating its longstanding large-stake filing. As the 33rd amendment over many years, this is a routine periodic update to reflect changes in Penske Corporation's share count or ownership structure; the specific adjustments to share holdings or reported intentions are in the full filing.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 22SC 13D/A
AI summary

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. (Tokyo, Japan), a major strategic partner and shareholder of Penske Automotive Group, Inc., filed Amendment No. 14 to its Schedule 13D on PAG on July 22, 2026. As the 14th amendment to a longstanding position, this is a routine periodic update; the specific changes to Mitsui's stake percentage or stated intentions are in the full filing.

8-KShareholder voteMay 148-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 118-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 7 other (2 routine 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 11-K · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

PENSKE INVESTIGATION ALERT: Kaskela Law Firm is Investigating Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) and Encourages PAG Stockholders to Contact the Firmbusinesswire.com·1d agoHere Are Friday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Albertsons, Blue Owl Capital, Cleveland-Cliffs, Chime Financial, Digital Realty, Dover, PayPal Holdings, SpaceX, and More247wallst.com·5d agoPENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP ANNOUNCES 23RD QUARTERLY DIVIDEND INCREASEprnewswire.com·6d agoPenske (PAG) Soars 9.9%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?zacks.com·6d agoPENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP CONFIRMS RECEIPT OF UNSOLICITED, PRELIMINARY AND NON-BINDING TAKE PRIVATE PROPOSALprnewswire.com·6d ago

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