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QCQCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated

$QCOM·$184B·Semiconductors·Technology
$172.11-3.5%YTD+1.8%1Y+9.5%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
QCQCOM
$QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated
$172.11-3.53%1.4k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $QCOM on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

1,448X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $QCOM's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

The Qualcomm crowd is bullish on the "AI at the edge" thesis — the Snapdragon Summit, +54% six-month move, a textbook cup-and-handle breaking the neckline on the daily, and framing as the uncrowded alternative to NVDA/AVGO. Longs are modeling $300+ by year-end. The honest counter: one post flags that revenue is down 4%, net income down 25% and EPS down 23% while the stock still ripped — "I'm confused."

Read what X is saying about $QCOM

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $QCOM — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

A $60B Amazon warrant turned the mobile-chip comp into a serious AI data-center player — the chart finally believes it.

Qualcomm designs the Snapdragon chips in most Android phones and the modems in nearly every phone globally — including, via royalty, iPhones. The story just changed with a 10-year Amazon warrant tied to $60B of QCT server-chip purchases, pushing the stock through a cup-and-handle at $200 with +40% in under 60 days.

  • The Amazon warrant is the real catalyst: 25M shares at a $161.26 strike that vest only as Amazon buys server chips — so the dilution and the revenue show up together, with the first 3.75M shares already vested on initial commitments.
  • The fundamentals today are mixed: last quarter revenue was down 3.5% YoY to $10.6B at 22% operating margin, and FY27 analyst estimates sit at $10.1 EPS (versus $10.5 for FY26) — the business was contracting before this re-rating; the forward story is doing all the lifting.
  • CEO Amon sold $4M across two September tranches at $195-$200 — a small trim relative to his position, but notable as the first visible profit-taking around the breakout.

Accelerating holds while the "AI at the edge" narrative plus the Amazon warrant keep expanding the P/E (currently 23x, cheap for a hot-momentum semi). A soft Nov 4 guide, or any sign that Amazon's QCT server adoption lags the warrant milestones, is what invalidates the setup.

Agrees with X sentimentX chartists targeting $300+ on the AI-at-the-edge pitch have the right catalyst (Amazon warrant), but the "revenue, net income and EPS are all down YoY" voice is correct that the trailing numbers don't back the setup yet — this is a forward-promise trade right now.

What to watch: Nov 4 earnings — QCT revenue trajectory (needs to flip to growth) and any color on the Amazon warrant vesting pace. A guide below the $43B FY26 revenue consensus is what breaks the breakout.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q4 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $QCOM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Licenses smartphone modem patents and sells Snapdragon chips for phones, PCs, and automotive applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $QCOM.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural driver with Blackwell supply still packaging-constrained. Jensen Huang publicly named memory bandwidth as AI's next bottleneck, reinforcing HBM3e pricing power. AVGO custom ASIC demand broadens AI beneficiaries beyond NVDA's GPU allocation.

What this means for $QCOM

Neutral — Licenses smartphone modem patents and sells Snapdragon chips for phones, PCs, and automotive applications.; RF/wireless revenue is tied to smartphone volumes, not hyperscaler AI buildout.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+64.5%YTD
+63.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
23.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
25.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
40.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
54.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$2.21$2.23-0.9%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$2.65$2.56+3.5%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$3.50$3.39+3.2%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$3.00$2.87+4.5%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $2.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$10.6B-3.5%53.8%21.8%$6.92$1.9B
Q1 FY26$12.3B+5.0%54.6%27.5%$2.81$4.4B
Q4 FY25$11.3B+10.0%55.3%25.9%$-2.84$3.6B
Q3 FY25$10.4B+10.3%55.6%26.6%$2.44$2.6B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 25 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$43.0B$42.6B – $43.3B$10.54$10.43 – $10.8124
FY27$45.0B$42.0B – $47.0B$10.14$9.43 – $12.2525
FY28$52.3B$45.3B – $56.9B$13.12$11.38 – $14.7923
FY29$62.8B$58.2B – $65.7B$17.75$16.05 – $18.7811
FY30$68.4B$63.4B – $71.5B$22.02$19.91 – $23.3111

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.37%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.655-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 2Patricia Y GrechSVP, Chief Accounting Officer98 sh$18KSellSep 25Cristiano R AmonCEO10.0K sh$2.0MSellSep 21Cristiano R AmonCEO10.0K sh$1.9MSellSep 11Akash J. PalkhiwalaCFO2.5K sh$457KSellAug 31Patricia Y GrechSVP, Chief Accounting Officer208 sh$35KSellAug 21Patricia Y GrechSVP, Chief Accounting Officer625 sh$102KSellAug 12Akash J. PalkhiwalaCFO2.5K sh$408KSellAug 3Heather S AceEVP, Chief HR Officer3.2K sh$471KSellJul 14Akash J. PalkhiwalaCFO2.5K sh$452KSellJun 11Akash J. PalkhiwalaCFO1.4K sh$279K
1–10 of 16
+ 8 other (4 awards · 2 exempts · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $QCOM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

S-3Shelf registrationOct 2S-3
8-KUnregistered equity saleSep 88-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

Qualcomm disclosed on September 3, 2026, that it issued a 10-year warrant to Amazon entitling it to acquire up to 25 million Qualcomm shares at $161.26 per share, vesting based on Amazon's cumulative purchases of QTI server chip products and services up to $60 billion. An initial 3,750,000 shares vested upon issuance based on initial purchase commitments. The warrant was issued under the Section 4(a)(2) exemption, with Amazon holding customary registration rights for any Warrant Shares acquired upon exercise.

8-KUnregistered equity saleJun 248-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale
AI summary

Qualcomm entered a definitive agreement on June 21, 2026 to acquire Modular Inc., with consideration of up to 19.2 million QCOM shares issued via private placement under Section 4(a)(2)/Reg D to Modular equity holders. The acquisition is subject to customary closing conditions. Material — a stock-based M&A transaction that will dilute QCOM shareholders by approximately 1.6% at current share counts; signals continued AI/edge compute expansion strategy.

+ 11 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Intel vs. Qualcomm: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·2d agoQualcomm Vs. Intel: The Market is Refuting Both AI Rebrand Attempts247wallst.com·2d agoQualcomm at $175: The Narrative Shift Sending Capital Out The Door247wallst.com·3d agoQualcomm (QCOM) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Factszacks.com·3d agoSemiconductor Equipment Stocks Slide as Investors Take Profits on a Huge Year: Applied Materials Sinks 7%, Lam Research and KLA Drop 4%247wallst.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum Computing

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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