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PAPARR

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Buzzing onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$PARR·$3.5B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$79.89+2.7%1Y+176.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-05: 5 posts2026-08-06: 4 posts2026-08-07: 2 posts2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 9 posts2026-08-11: 7 posts28-22%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
PAPARR
$PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.
$79.89+2.71%28 posts-22%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PARR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-08

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Par Pacific Q2 blowout with 57% revenue growth — Hawaii/US-West refining margins are the specific cycle catalyst.

Par Pacific Holdings is a specialty petroleum refining and marketing operator focused on Hawaii, Washington, and Wyoming markets — logistics-and-refining operations with meaningful exposure to Pacific Rim fuel demand. Shares are up 144% over twelve months, sitting at the 66th percentile of the 52-week range on a Q2 that was extraordinary.

  • Q2 was a monster print: revenue $2.97B (+56.8% YoY) with 21% operating margin, and Q1 grew 4.5% at 7% margin — the Q2 acceleration reflects both refining-margin strength and specific volume/mix improvements.
  • The economics are cycle-strong for refining: 23% gross margin, 14% operating margin, 33% ROIC, 0.80x D/E, and 6.6% FCF yield — the 3.9x trailing PE is a base-effect reflecting the extraordinary Q2 EPS of $9.53.
  • The refining-margin strength framing captures the specific structural driver — Pacific Basin refining margins have been strong, and Par Pacific's Hawaii geographic advantage is meaningful in the current environment.
  • No specific insider or filings signals in the bundle to add or subtract from the picture — the tape is trading pure refining-margin cycle strength.

Nov 3 Q3 earnings is the next data point, and the story is whether refining-margin strength continues plus specific Hawaii-market fuel-demand trends hold — that combination sustains the +144% 12-month position. A refining-margin cycle rollover, or a specific Hawaii-market fuel-demand disruption, is what would end the current run. This is a real cyclical-refining name with strong current-cycle economics; the entry math is fair for the cycle-position combination, and the FCF-yield anchor provides real support.

What to watch: The Nov 3 Q3 report — refining-margin strength continuing plus specific Hawaii-market fuel-demand trends holding sustains the +144% 12-month position; a refining-margin cycle rollover or Hawaii-market fuel-demand disruption ends the run.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PARR

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Integrated energy company refining crude oil in Hawaii, Montana, and Wyoming while operating retail fuel stations and midstream logistics.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PARR.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

No material change from last week — California LCFS credit market softening and elevated feedstock costs continue compressing renewable fuel margins, while traditional crack spreads remain modest.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+47.2%YTD
+72.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
3.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
33.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
57.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
22.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$10.10$8.22+22.9%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.78$0.99-21.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$1.17$1.21-3.3%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$5.95$1.98+200.5%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $5.76

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$3.0B+56.8%28.7%21.4%$9.53$159.1M
Q1 FY26$1.8B+4.5%8.8%7.4%$1.12$-209.6M
Q4 FY25$1.8B-1.0%21.0%5.5%$1.53$172.7M
Q3 FY25$2.0B-6.1%27.8%17.8%$5.29$107.4M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.1B$7.7B – $8.4B$16.65$13.43 – $18.974
FY27$7.4B$7.4B – $7.4B$10.61$7.44 – $14.174
FY28$7.1B$6.8B – $7.6B$7.70$7.25 – $8.473
FY29$7.4B$7.1B – $8.0B$9.59$9.03 – $10.552

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.84%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+18.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+47.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 48.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.795-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 7Danielle MattiussiSee Remarks3.3K sh$221KSellAug 6Richard CreamerEVP - Refining and Logistics14.1K sh$957KSellMar 16William MonteleoneCEO108.9K sh$5.9MSellMar 16Flores Shawn DavidSee Remarks7.2K sh$387KSellMar 13Timothy ClosseyDirector6.1K sh$330KSellMar 5Terrill PitkinSVP, Planning & Commercial11.8K sh$606KSellMar 2Timothy ClosseyDirector4.2K sh$193KSellFeb 27Hollis Jeffrey RyanSee Remarks15.3K sh$639KSellFeb 27Richard CreamerEVP - Refining and Logistics14.5K sh$619K
+ 30 other (19 awards · 5 exempts · 4 others · 1 inkind · 1 return) in window

See when $PARR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 118-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KShareholder voteMay 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 12 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Par Petroleum (PARR) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·3d agoPar Pacific Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·5d agoHere's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Par Petroleum (PARR) Q2 Earningszacks.com·7d agoPar Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·8d agoPARR Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Refining Margin Strengthzacks.com·8d ago

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