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OBOBE

Obsidian Energy Ltd.

$OBE·$716M·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$10.18-5.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-25: 7 posts2026-07-26: 4 posts2026-07-27: 3 posts2026-07-28: 4 posts2026-07-29: 4 posts2026-07-30: 13 posts2026-07-31: 9 posts45
Price updated 15m ago·X counts updated 3d ago
OBOBE
$OBEObsidian Energy Ltd.
$10.18-5.04%45 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is primarily engaged in the discovery, extraction, and improvement of crude oil and natural gas assets throughout the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The company, formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd., adopted its current name in June 2017. Its corporate base is located in Calgary, Canada.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OBE.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
+39.2%YTD
+24.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
35.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
13.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-18.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
2.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.44$0.25+73.5%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.20$0.07-392.8%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$-0.13$0.10-227.6%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.17$0.20-13.9%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$176.2M+25.7%40.8%32.9%$0.63$-98.7M
Q1 FY26$151.4M-29.8%60.9%19.6%$-0.28$-40.3M
Q4 FY25$127.2M-41.6%45.5%-6.7%$-0.18$-22.5M
Q3 FY25$130.8M-32.4%53.1%1.8%$0.25$-20.2M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$648.8M$648.8M – $648.8M$1.21$1.21 – $1.211
FY27$715.8M$715.8M – $715.8M$1.39$1.39 – $1.391
FY28$1.0B$1.0B – $1.0B$0.62$0.62 – $0.621

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+26.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 59.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 13SC 13D/A
+ 19 other (16 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 13G · 1 40-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Obsidian Energy Announces Closing of $75 Million Add-On to Our Senior Unsecured Notesnewsfilecorp.com·12d agoObsidian Energy Announces $75 million Add-On to our Existing Senior Unsecured Notesnewsfilecorp.com·19d agoObsidian Energy: Peace River Growth And New Acquisition To Drive Valueseekingalpha.com·31d agoObsidian Energy Closes Belly River Acquisition and Increases 2026 Production Guidancenewsfilecorp.com·33d agoObsidian Energy: One Of The Cheapest Oil Producersseekingalpha.com·39d ago

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